2023 Oscars: Best Supporting Actress (Part 4)

[crabbie Joined: Feb 26th, 2021 Topics: 1 Posts: 4729 View Predictions]

#1205196289

Manav wrote:

One Asian, one black veteran, one white veteran, one black rising star and one steady working underrated actress. Love the diversity. None of them previous nominees.

Darling Bassett was snubbed for What’s Love Got To Do With It😭

Michelle (Yeoh, Williams) Oscar campaign manager.

FYC:
Best Picture: Banshees of Inisherin, Everything Everywhere All At Once, Decision to Leave
Best Director: Park Chan-Wook Todd Field
Best Original Screenplay: Banshees of Inisherin, Everything Everywhere All At Once
Best Actor: Colin Farrell
Best Actress: Michelle Yeoh, Cate Blanchett, Tang Wei
Best Supporting Actor: Brendan Gleeson, Ke Huy Quan
Best Supporting Actress: Kerry Condon, Nina Hoss

[Setia Yasmine Khalil Joined: Jan 14th, 2022 Topics: 1 Posts: 1669 View Predictions]

#1205196294

Manav wrote:

One Asian, one black veteran, one white veteran, one black rising star and one steady working underrated actress. Love the diversity. None of them previous nominees.

All are amazing too and 4 are comedic performances which is atypical of the academy

[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 245 Posts: 37549 View Predictions]

#1205196315

I don’t know if anyone has pointed this out but recently we’ve usually had someone in this category who makes it in at the Globes and SAG but misses at the Oscars:

2022: Caitriona Balfe and Ruth Negga
2021: Helena Zengel
2020: Jennifer Lopez
2019: No one
2018: Hong Chau
2017: No one
2016: Helen Mirren

I’m expecting Carey Mulligan to continue this trend this year and get in at SAG but get snubbed at the Oscars but if there’s a second person who joins her, like in this category last year, who would it be?

FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.

[JV Joined: Dec 31st, 2019 Topics: 9 Posts: 5254 View Predictions]

#1205196319

Supporting Actress – AACTA International
Kerry Condon – The Banshees of Inisherin
Jamie Lee Curtis – Everything Everywhere All At Once
Olivia DeJonge – Elvis
Stephanie Hsu – Everything Everywhere All At Once
Jean Smart – Babylon

Last year’s winner was… Judi Dench

[UmOkaaayyyyy Joined: Sep 1st, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 261 View Predictions]

#1205196331

This is a fascinating race and very exciting…

Current thinking:
1. Kerry Condon
2. Angela Bassett
3. Jamie Lee Curtis
~
then who on earth knows anymore… but I’ll hazard a guess…
4. Jessie Buckley
5. Stephanie Hsu
6. Janelle Monae
7. Clare Foy
8. Dolly DeLeon
9. Carrie Mulligan
10. Thuso Mbedu
11. Hong Chau
12. Jean Smart
13. Gabrielle Union
14. Lashana Lynch
15. Nina Hoss

Current thoughts on who might win…
Globes: Jamie Lee Curtis
Critics: Kerry Condon
SAG: Angela Bassett
BAFTA: Condon
Oscar: Condon or Bassett

[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 245 Posts: 37549 View Predictions]

#1205196354

Lol imagine if Jean Smart wins and then shows up at the Oscars like Dench did in spite of getting blanked by the precursors. Interesting they spammed Babylon in acting but ignored the film and Chazelle.

Obviously not changing predictions based on these but I think Hsu getting in here feels very telling as to how much passion she has. AACTA is even poorer than the HFPA when it comes to recognising BIPOC contenders (if I’m not mistaken they didn’t even nominate Yuh-jung Youn two years ago) and they have a STRONG bias towards their British/Irish veterans even randomly nominating Saoirse Ronan for Ammonite a couple of years ago. For them to recognise Hsu when they could have just ignored her for Buckley or for Mulligan or Foy (or even their vice-president Nicole Kidman who they randomly threw a nomination for Nine Perfect Strangers last year or any eligible Australian actor) is quite a feat.

FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.

[jujutoobootie Joined: Jan 17th, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 668 View Predictions]

#1205196397

Not that AACTA is the Hail Mary but Hsu getting in here is astounding! She’s going to comfortably stay in my top 5. And if Curtis is already comfortable for a nom, Hsu only coattails (could possibly rank above her in final voting, that’s assuming both are nominated).

[FreemanGriffin Joined: Feb 19th, 2012 Topics: 70 Posts: 5271 View Predictions]

#1205196410

JV wrote:

Supporting Actress – AACTA International
Kerry Condon – The Banshees of Inisherin
Jamie Lee Curtis – Everything Everywhere All At Once
Olivia DeJonge – Elvis
Stephanie Hsu – Everything Everywhere All At Once
Jean Smart – Babylon

Last year’s winner was… Judi Dench

I love that Kerry Condon is getting in everywhere! (: This is the first I have seen of Jean Smart being nominated anywhere – so looking forward to seeing Babylon!

[crabbie Joined: Feb 26th, 2021 Topics: 1 Posts: 4729 View Predictions]

#1205196430

Hsu and Curtis are getting in if racist AACTA nominated Hsu. Also its the first industry award unlike the Globes.

Michelle (Yeoh, Williams) Oscar campaign manager.

FYC:
Best Picture: Banshees of Inisherin, Everything Everywhere All At Once, Decision to Leave
Best Director: Park Chan-Wook Todd Field
Best Original Screenplay: Banshees of Inisherin, Everything Everywhere All At Once
Best Actor: Colin Farrell
Best Actress: Michelle Yeoh, Cate Blanchett, Tang Wei
Best Supporting Actor: Brendan Gleeson, Ke Huy Quan
Best Supporting Actress: Kerry Condon, Nina Hoss

[ejaru1810 Joined: Sep 10th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 2724 View Predictions]

#1205196502

When Condon wins GG, CC, AACTA and BAFTA on her way to the Oscar stage.

"EGOT" and "Triple Crown of Acting" winner: VIOLA DAVIS!!!!

[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 245 Posts: 37549 View Predictions]

#1205196507

Globe: Jamie Lee Curtis
CC: Jamie Lee Curtis
SAG: Angela Bassett
BAFTA: Kerry Condon
Oscar: Kerry Condon

FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.

[MD Joined: Dec 25th, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 476 View Predictions]

#1205196540

ejaru1810 wrote:

When Condon wins GG, CC, AACTA and BAFTA on her way to the Oscar stage.

Praying it happens. GG loves Banshees so I’m feeling her there. I don’t buy three acting Globes for EEAAO.

[Vicki Leekx Joined: Aug 3rd, 2019 Topics: 3 Posts: 1869 View Predictions]

#1205196564

As a fan since this movie I gotta say it still feels surreal and amazing that Kerry is finally going to get her dues 😍

FYC:

Zar Amir Ebrahimi - Holy Spider (Best Actress)
Ana de Armas, Julianne Nicholson - Blonde (Best Actress, Supporting Actress)
Samantha Morton - She Said (Best Supporting Actress)
Kerry Condon - The Banshees of Inisherin (Best Supporting Actress)

[Heptapod Joined: Sep 8th, 2021 Topics: 3 Posts: 1053 View Predictions]

#1205196676

Starting to think Jean Smart will sneak in at SAG. They love a good double nomination (she did it just last year), and she’s probably winning again for Hacks. She also feels JUST like Cate Blanchett in Nightmare Alley / Bradley Cooper in Licorice Pizza, both in who she is (a veteran they love) and her position in the race (a very buzzy contender earlier in the season that we’ve largely written off by now but is still poised to surprise). Those other two actors were the only nominations for their films, and I am expecting at least Robbie to also make it in here, but I think the comparison still stands.

FYC: The Bear (Ayo Edebiri) Industry (Marisa Abela) OMITB (Jayne Houdyshell) Physical (Rose Byrne) WWDITS (Natasia Demetriou)

[shedidnothing92 Joined: Jan 9th, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 20 View Predictions]

#1205196678

Ugh I’m sorry just gonna say it: I think Condon is deserving of a nomination, but this is 100% a performance people will forget once this awards season is over. I just don’t get why it should win when we have people who played more interesting characters and nailed it (Hsu and De Leon specifically).