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Watch out for Ashley Park and Stephanie Hsu. Joy ride is getting the raves it deserves. Would be nice if they get a comedy/musical nomination.
As seen on awardsinsights.com:
BEST PICTURE
Killers of the Flower Moon (Apple TV+)Oppenheimer (Universal)
The Color Purple (Warner Bros.)
Past Lives (A24)
Dune: Part Two (Warner Bros.)
Saltburn (Amazon)
Poor Things (Searchlight)
Napoleon (Apple TV+)
How Do You Live? (Studio Ghibli)
Blitz (Apple TV+)
Rustin (Netflix) (if Blitz doesn’t release this year)
Could Jump In: Lee (Sky), The Bikeriders (20th Century), The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar (Netflix), Ferrari (STX), Maestro (Netflix), Shirley (Netflix), Next Goal Wins (Searchlight), The Killer (Netflix), Monster (Toho), Asteroid City (Focus), May December (Sky Cinema), Beau is Afraid (A24), Barbie (Warner Bros.), A Thousand and One (Focus), Wonka (Warner Bros.), Strangers (Searchlight), The Holdovers (Focus), The Piano Lesson (Netflix), One Life (See-Saw)
Longer Shots: Flint Strong (Amazon), Nyad (Netflix), Leave the World Behind (Netflix), The Actor (Netflix), Challengers (MGM), The Zone of Interest (A24), The Iron Claw (A24), About Dry Grasses (Atmo), Limonov: The Ballad of Eddie (Vision), Are You There God? It’s Me Margaret (Lionsgate), Spider-Man: Across the Universe (Sony), Firebrand (MBK), Magazine Dreams (Searchlight), The Bastard (Magnolia), Io Capitano (01), Memory (MUBI), The Perfumed Hill, The New Boy (CAA/UTA), The Book of Clarence (Legendary), La Chimera (NEON)
BEST DIRECTOR
Martin Scorsese – Killers of the Flower MoonSteve McQueen – Blitz
Blitz Bazawule – The Color Purple
Celine Song – Past Lives
Hayao Miyazaki – How Do You Live?
Could Jump In: Emerald Fennell – Saltburn, Yorgos Lanthimos – Poor Things, Christopher Nolan – Oppenheimer, Denis Villeneuve – Dune: Part Two, Blitz Bazawule – The Color Purple, Ridley Scott – Napoleon, Jeff Nichols – The Bikeriders, Ellen Kuras – Lee, Michael Mann – Ferrari, David Fincher – The Killer, Greta Gerwig – Barbie, Ari Aster – Beau is Afraid, Wes Anderson – The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar, Todd Haynes – May December, George C. Wolfe – Rustin, Nuri Bilge Ceylan – About Dry Grasses
BEST ACTOR
Colman Domingo – RustinBradley Cooper – Maestro
Leonardo DiCaprio – Killers of the Flower Moon
Michael Fassbender – The Killer
Adam Driver – Ferrari
Could Jump In: Paul Giamatti – The Holdovers, Barry Keoghan – Saltburn, Cillian Murphy – Oppenheimer, Austin Butler – The Bikeriders, Benedict Cumberbatch – The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar, Anthony Hopkins – One Life, Joaquin Phoenix – Beau is Afraid, Andre Holland – The Actor, Song Kang-Ho – Cobweb, Andrew Scott – Strangers, Timothee Chalamet – Wonka
BEST ACTRESS
Kate Winslet – LeeNatalie Portman – May December
Greta Lee – Past Lives
Saoirse Ronan – Blitz
Carey Mulligan – Maestro
Could Jump In: Regina King – Shirley, Annette Bening – Nyad, Fantasia Barrino – The Color Purple, Emma Stone – Poor Things, Zendaya – Challengers, Margot Robbie – Barbie, Vanessa Kirby – Napoleon, Teyana Taylor – A Thousand and One, Alicia Vikander – Firebrand, Jessica Chastain – Memory, Sakura Ando – Monster
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Robert De Niro – Killers of the Flower MoonTom Hardy – The Bikeriders
John Magaro – Past Lives
Colman Domingo – The Color Purple
Jesse Plemons – Killers of the Flower Moon
Could Jump In: Richard E. Grant – Saltburn, Willem Dafoe – Poor Things, Glynn Turman or Jeffrey Wright – Rustin, Stephen Graham – Blitz, Louis Gossett Jr. – The Color Purple, Lakeith Stanfield – The Book of Clarence, Andy Samberg – Lee, Paul Mescal – Strangers, Josh O’Connor or Mike Faist – Challengers, Peter Sarsgaard – Memory, Jude Law – Firebrand, Mahershala Ali – Leave the World Behind
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Taraji P. Henson – The Color PurpleLily Gladstone – Killers of the Flower Moon
Rosamund Pike – Saltburn
Jodie Comer – The Bikeriders
Julianne Moore – May December
Could Jump In: Jodie Foster – Nyad, Tilda Swinton – The Killer, Penelope Cruz – Ferrari Audra McDonald – Rustin, Danielle Brooks – The Color Purple, Claire Foy – Strangers, Margaret Qualley – Poor Things, Carey Mulligan – Saltburn, Helena Bonham Carter – One Life
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Past LivesBlitz
Saltburn
Rustin
May December
Could Jump In: Maestro, Asteroid City, The Holdovers, Beau is Afraid, Monster
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Killers of the Flower MoonPoor Things
The Bikeriders
Oppenheimer
How Do You Live?
Could Jump In: The Color Purple, The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar, Strangers, Lee, Dune: Part Two
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
How Do You Live?Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse
Elemental
Wish
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem
Could Jump In: Migration, Suzume
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Poor ThingsDune: Part Two
Saltburn
Oppenheimer
Napoleon
Could Jump In: The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar, Killers of the Flower Moon, The Color Purple, Blitz, Wonka,
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Dune: Part TwoKillers of the Flower Moon
Saltburn
Poor Things
Napoleon
Could Jump In: Oppenheimer, The Color Purple, The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar, Maestro, The Killer
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Dune: Part TwoPoor Things
Saltburn
The Color Purple
Barbie
Could Jump In: The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar, Napoleon, Wonka, Blitz, Lee
BEST FILM EDITING
Dune: Part TwoKillers of the Flower Moon
The Killer
Ferrari
Oppenheimer
Could Jump In: The Color Purple, Napoleon, Blitz, Maestro, Poor Things
BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
MaestroBarbie
Dune: Part Two
Poor Things
Wonka
Could Jump In: The Color Purple, Ferrari, Napoleon, The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar, The Bikeriders
BEST SOUND
Dune: Part TwoOppenheimer
Ferrari
The Color Purple
Blitz
Could Jump In: Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One, Maestro, Wonka, The Marvels. Barbie
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Dune: Part TwoTransformers: Rise of the Beasts
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3
Oppenheimer
Wonka
Could Jump In: Barbie, The Little Mermaid, The Marvels, Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny, Blue Beetle
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Dune: Part TwoHow Do You Live?
Oppenheimer
The Killer
Asteroid City
Could Jump In: Elemental, Barbie, Challengers, Lee, Killers of the Flower Moon
Fantasia being excluded from any early Best Actress line up is wild. It’s an iconic role that was famously Oscar nominated & won a Tony. I understand voters snubbed Viola & Danielle but c’mon.
Fantasia being excluded from any early Best Actress line up is wild. It’s an iconic role that was famously Oscar nominated & won a Tony. I understand voters snubbed Viola & Danielle but c’mon.
What’s wild is people making a Top 5 at this stage, no? No need to make it about race already when literally a POC just won…
FYC:
Zar Amir Ebrahimi - Holy Spider (Best Actress)
Ana de Armas, Julianne Nicholson - Blonde (Best Actress, Supporting Actress)
Samantha Morton - She Said (Best Supporting Actress)
Kerry Condon - The Banshees of Inisherin (Best Supporting Actress)What’s wild is people making a Top 5 at this stage, no? No need to make it about race …
Fantasia’s exclusion is not wild due to the race factor of it but because of how revered and award winning the role has been. Goldberg came close to a win and Erivo won. It’s just BAIT with a capital T
Fantasia’s exclusion is not wild due to the race factor of it but because of how revered and award winning the role has been. Goldberg came close to a win and Erivo won. It’s just BAIT with a capital T
I’m just loving the “exclusion” narrative already based on a few GD posters opinions regarding a movie that hasn’t even screened… people need to chill…it’s totally understandable that not all musicals translate well to cinema…like we have enough evidence for this?
FYC:
Zar Amir Ebrahimi - Holy Spider (Best Actress)
Ana de Armas, Julianne Nicholson - Blonde (Best Actress, Supporting Actress)
Samantha Morton - She Said (Best Supporting Actress)
Kerry Condon - The Banshees of Inisherin (Best Supporting Actress)Fantasia’s exclusion is not wild due to the race factor of it but because of how revered and award winning the role has been. Goldberg came close to a win and Erivo won. It’s just BAIT with a capital T
This! Not to mention it’s an all-star Spielberg/Winfrey produced film. It will be a top priority screener for voters.
Y’all know what happened with the Razzies results?
Watch out for Ashley Park and Stephanie Hsu. Joy ride is getting the raves it deserves. Would be nice if they get a comedy/musical nomination.
Picture, Screenplay and Hsu (afterglow nom) feels like a solid possibility right now with a pretty easy pathway. Multiple Globe noms; (Sup.) Actress + SAG Ensemble and WGA who love nominating mainstream comedies.
Joy Ride feels like another Booksmart to me
At the very least, it should be a contender in Original Screenplay
93 year old Oscar Nominated Actress Fernanda Montenegro could be in the running for Best Actress for her film Dona Vitoria. It’s the true story of how a woman taped the drug cartel for over two years and helped to bring them down. I hope she does get nominated since she was robbed in winning for Central Station.
I was skeptical of Past Lives the last few pages but I checked and it seems there’s always at least one major Oscar contender from Sundance so I’m just wondering if there’s any other viable options because otherwise I think it’s almost a lock for at least one Oscar nomination
Once there was only Dark. If you ask me, the Light's winning.
Film critics have been a bit harsher to movies lately (see Tár and Nomadland being the only BP nominees from this decade so far to get 90s scores on metacritic whilst 2019 alone had 4 films in the early to mid 90s) so I think the rapturous reception to Past Lives alone, which many critics have already claimed is going to be one of the best films of the year when all is said and done, makes it a contender imo even if it were to say get The Farewell‘d because of A24’s mixed track record prior to this year.
FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.
i hope Rye Lane at least gets some BAFTA love
Luca Guadagnino's tennis drama CHALLENGERS, starring Zendaya, Josh O'Connor and Mike Faist, is set to hit theaters on September 15, just after of the Venice and Telluride film festivals pic.twitter.com/LWfgeQr2Af
— Erik Anderson (@awards_watch) March 18, 2023
Zendaya is coming.
The topic ‘2024 Early Oscar Predictions’ is closed to new replies.
