2024 Oscars: Best Actor (Part 1)

[RIDLEY SCOTT Joined: Dec 12th, 2020 Topics: 110 Posts: 3302 View Predictions]

#1205362934

SarahvsAwards wrote:

Yeah I mean, I was saying elsewhere recently that I think the “slap the stud” term is over-used and over-cited as a significant factor anyway and we’ve gotten far too liberal with applying it. But I especially don’t see it for Cooper at this age and stage of his career. He’s plenty established, respected, and recognized by his peers and awards bodies. Maestro will definitely be his blitz play to finally win that Oscar. I have no problem with him winning but it seems just so perfectly awards-baity, Academy-friendly, easy lock nomination and frontrunner I’m half expecting it to blow up The Son style lmao. It’s usually the ones that seem like the surest bets on paper.

This. He directed it. Produced by Martin Scorsese and Steven Spielberg. Too easy. Maybe The Oscars want a crazier performance like Leo, Joaquin Phoenix or Michael Fassbender. And don’t forget Jonathan Majors

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[Setia Yasmine Khalil Joined: Jan 14th, 2022 Topics: 1 Posts: 1788 View Predictions]

#1205362936

SarahvsAwards wrote:

Yeah I mean, I was saying elsewhere recently that I think the “slap the stud” term is over-used and over-cited as a significant factor anyway and we’ve gotten far too liberal with applying it. But I especially don’t see it for Cooper at this age and stage of his career. He’s plenty established, respected, and recognized by his peers and awards bodies. Maestro will definitely be his blitz play to finally win that Oscar. I have no problem with him winning but it seems just so perfectly awards-baity, Academy-friendly, easy lock nomination and frontrunner I’m half expecting it to blow up The Son style lmao. It’s usually the ones that seem like the surest bets on paper.

if Cooper doesn’t win for this one he is never gonna win it’s his most baitiest role

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[Brayfers Joined: Oct 19th, 2018 Topics: 17 Posts: 1734 View Predictions]

#1205362943

March Predix:

• Bradley Cooper, Maestro
• Jonathan Majors, Magazine Dreams
• Colman Domingo, Rustin
• Leonardo DiCaprio, Killers of the Flower Moon
• Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer

Letterboxd: Brayfers

!EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE!
- SEVEN OSCARS
- BEST PICTURE
- Michelle Yeoh, Best Actress
- Ke Huy Quan, Best Supporting Actor
- Jamie Lee Curtis, Best Supporting Actress
- Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert, Best Director & Best Original Screenplay
- Paul Rogers, Best Film Editing

FYC (TV):
- Abbott Elementary
- House of the Dragon
- The White Lotus
- The Last of Us

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[Vicki Leekx Joined: Aug 3rd, 2019 Topics: 3 Posts: 1973 View Predictions]

#1205363012

SarahvsAwards wrote:

With complete acceptance of the risk of eating crow, I really don’t think any Oppenheimer actors are going to be in play when we come around to Oscar season. Same lineup as BAPS very early on, just swipe in Giamatti for Barry. It’s great to see Searchlight going in on Majors, though, and I really hope it pays off with a nom!

I’m reading the source material which is surprisingly baity. Oppenheimer was much more of a fascinating person than I expected. If they do justice to the text  it’s the role of a lifetime with all those layers

FYC 2023:

Zar Amir Ebrahimi - Shayda (Best Actress)
Helen Mirren - Golda (Best Actress)
Cillian Murphy, Emily Blunt - Oppenheimer (Best Actor/Actress)

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[Setia Yasmine Khalil Joined: Jan 14th, 2022 Topics: 1 Posts: 1788 View Predictions]

#1205363020

Vicki Leekx wrote:

I’m reading the source material which is surprisingly baity. Oppenheimer was much more of a fascinating person than I expected. If they do justice to the text it’s the role of a lifetime with all those layers

and a sag ensemble nom

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[SarahvsAwards Joined: Jun 14th, 2021 Topics: 3 Posts: 928 View Predictions]

#1205363049

Vicki Leekx wrote:

I’m reading the source material which is surprisingly baity. Oppenheimer was much more of a fascinating person than I expected. If they do justice to the text it’s the role of a lifetime with all those layers

Oh! Hmmm ok…noted! I’m not familiar with the source material at all (outside of, obviously, history classes and texts). Really just guessing based on Nolan’s track record and other release factors. And won’t be upset at all if I’m proven foolish on this one.

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[Mladen Joined: Dec 11th, 2013 Topics: 0 Posts: 752 View Predictions]

#1205363062

Bradley Cooper winning for “Maestro” after Blanchett lost for TAR would not sit well for me. No disrespect to Cooper, he is an amazing actor.

Jonathan Majors or Cillian Murphy would be interesting choices.

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[Evan Joined: May 16th, 2022 Topics: 2 Posts: 346 View Predictions]

#1205363069

Cillian Murphy finally got his first BAFTA nomination for Peaky Blinders after being overlooked for 5 seasons.

One of the most talented actors in the industry and so underrated. This year we’ll get you that Oscar nomination too.

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[Foolio Joined: Jan 24th, 2017 Topics: 2 Posts: 679 View Predictions]

#1205363167

First, utterly ridiculous predicts:

Frontunners

Jonathan Majors, Magazine Dreams
Colman Domingo, Rustin
Adam Driver, Ferrari
Leonardo DiCaprio, Killers of the Flower Moon

On the brink

Paul Mescal, Strangers
Bradley Cooper, Maestro
Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer

Next in line

Joaquin Phoenix, Napoleon
Lakeith Stanfield, The Book of Clarence*
Andre Holland, The Actor
Barry Keoghan, Saltburn

Strong possibilities

Austin Butler, The Bikeriders
Joaquin Phoenix, Beau Is Afraid
Mahershala Ali, Leave the World Behind*
Ed Harris, Long Day’s Journey Into Night
Dennis Quaid, Reagan
Michael Fassbender, The Killer
Timothee Chalamet, Dune: Part Two
Matt Damon, Air
Paul Dano, Dumb Money*
Michael Caine, The Great Escaper
David Strathairn, A Little Prayer
Timothee Chalamet, Wonka
Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers
Michael Fassbender, Next Goal Wins
Geza Rohrig, The Last Planet
Demian Bichir, Without Blood

Longer shots

Jacob Fortune-Lloyd, Midas Man
Seth Rogen, Dumb Money*
Mark Ruffalo, Poor Things
Adam Sandler, Spaceman
Gael Garcia Bernal, Cassandro
Rhys Ifans, Nyad
Wagner Moura, Civil War*
Benedict Cumberbatch, The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar
Tom Hardy, The Bikeriders*

Theoretical possibilities

Tom Hanks, Asteroid City
Harrison Ford, Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny
Sean Penn, Black Flies
John David Washington, True Love*
Charlie Hunnam, Rebel Moon
Chris Evans, Pain Hustlers
Leslie Odom, Jr., The Exorcist

* Could go supporting

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[Vicki Leekx Joined: Aug 3rd, 2019 Topics: 3 Posts: 1973 View Predictions]

#1205363224

SarahvsAwards wrote:

Oh! Hmmm ok…noted! I’m not familiar with the source material at all (outside of, obviously, history classes and texts). Really just guessing based on Nolan’s track record and other release factors. And won’t be upset at all if I’m proven foolish on this one.

I’m guessing by the run time of the movie it will go at least into some depth of character, but I understand our misgivings with it being Nolan. I’ve only started the text really but already feel Robert’s early years would be enough material for a baity biopic; he was something of a child prodigy and in his student years experienced severe depression and generally has eccentric qualities. I can’t wait to see how Cillian portrays this…

FYC 2023:

Zar Amir Ebrahimi - Shayda (Best Actress)
Helen Mirren - Golda (Best Actress)
Cillian Murphy, Emily Blunt - Oppenheimer (Best Actor/Actress)

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[Archie Leach Joined: Dec 7th, 2022 Topics: 0 Posts: 128 View Predictions]

#1205363281

He’s coming. I’ve heard from people who have seen the movie he’s Cate Blanchett in TÁR level of good.

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[Moviebuff22 Joined: Jan 17th, 2016 Topics: 1 Posts: 1106 View Predictions]

#1205363298

Some people are already in denial about Bradley Cooper lmao

Sometimes wins are really obvious. I thought DDL, LDC, Casey Affleck, Oldman, Joaquin, Hopkins, Will Smith, Fraser were winning at this stage of the season the last several years. I do think Majors may snag a nom though. I don’t trust Nolan enough to predict Cillian Murphy

Academy Award Winner Brendan Fraser

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[Archie Leach Joined: Dec 7th, 2022 Topics: 0 Posts: 128 View Predictions]

#1205363302

Oh yeah I’m still predicting Bradley. But Majors will for sure be nominated.

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[Aint2Proud2Beg Joined: Jan 15th, 2017 Topics: 1 Posts: 535 View Predictions]

#1205363327

Moviebuff22 wrote:

Some people are already in denial about Bradley Cooper lmao Sometimes wins are really obvious. I thought DDL, LDC, Casey Affleck, Oldman, Joaquin, Hopkins, Will Smith, Fraser were winning at this stage of the season the last several years. I do think Majors may snag a nom though. I don’t trust Nolan enough to predict Cillian Murphy

Yes this seems like a slam dunk at the moment. Unless the movie is panned, but then again that didn’t stop Fraser.

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[Miguel Marrero Joined: Nov 3rd, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 523 View Predictions]

#1205363331

Elvis was the baitiest role and still lost. By no means do I dislike Cooper but I feel like there are more exciting options. I’d be perfectly fine with a Cooper win.

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