2024 Oscars: Best Supporting Actress (Part 1)

[Setia Yasmine Khalil Joined: Jan 14th, 2022 Topics: 1 Posts: 1788 View Predictions]

#1205364475

jjjmoss wrote:

so this magical crowdpleasing yes/no is based on what? your opinion?

no her role is based on Killers of flower moon book the movie isn’t a crowdpleaser it’s a 3 hour artsy  movie full of violence and blood based on a real native American tragedy  while the holdovers is a crowd pleaser in vein of green book and while color purple isn’t it’s still a tear jerking movie like the father starting actresses with showy performances including a respected veteran

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[bkcinephile2022 Joined: Jul 19th, 2022 Topics: 0 Posts: 50 View Predictions]

#1205364499

K Olivia wrote:

Taraji &/or Danielle are coming! Brooks has the more memorable musical number with “Push Da Button”, so I’m predicting her. However, Henson is a previous nominee with a lot of goodwill within the industry.

 

Henson (Shug) has Push Da Button – not Brooks.

Henson has:

Push Da Button

Too Beautiful For Words

The Color Purple

What About Love

 

Brooks has:

Hell No

Any Little Thing

*Apparently there are 4 news songs so some of this may change.

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[wolfali Joined: Apr 8th, 2023 Topics: 250 Posts: 39145 View Predictions]

#1205364507

I think Catherine O’Hara is someone who could come from behind and emerge as a contender here if Pain Hustlers ends up being a thing. She’s beloved with a B just like some of the other veterans we’ve seen triumph in this category lately (and for both her film and TV work) and this is her first major project after Schitt’s Creek swept the Emmys so if the goodwill is still there and the film isn’t a flop or her role is too small like with Jean Smart in Babylon I can see an overdue narrative develop.

Solidarity with the striking writers. Pay them the wages they are owed for bringing us the content we are all on here because of!

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[K Olivia Joined: Nov 28th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 576 View Predictions]

#1205364509

bkcinephile2022 wrote:

Henson (Shug) has Push Da Button – not Brooks. Henson has: Push Da Button Too Beautiful For Words The Color Purple What About Love Brooks has: Hell No Any Little Thing *Apparently there are 4 news songs so some of this may change.

I think “Push da Button” will be a memorable moment in the film. Henson better bring it!

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[vinny Joined: May 20th, 2011 Topics: 27 Posts: 23102 View Predictions]

#1205364783

I wish I could say that I can make an early guess here without playing favorites but I cannot.

Frontrunners:
Brooks
Henson

Possibilities:
Gladstone
Randolph
Cruz
Ellis
Kirby
Foster

Maybe:
Foy
Pugh
Blunt
Zendaya

McCarthy

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[Foolio Joined: Jan 24th, 2017 Topics: 2 Posts: 678 View Predictions]

#1205365163

Frontrunners

Carey Mulligan, Maestro*
Danielle Brooks, The Colour Purple
Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon*
Taraji B. Henson, The Colour Purple

On the brink

Rosamund Pike, Saltburn*
Jodie Foster, Nyad
Tilda Swinton, The Killer*

Next in line

Elisabeth Moss, Next Goal Wins
Julianne Moore, May December
Helena Bonham Carter, One Life
Penelope Cruz, Ferrari*
Viola Davis, Air

Strong possibilities

My’hala Herrold, Leave the World Behind
Andrea Risenborough, Lee
Da’Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers
Vanessa Kirby, Napoleon
Claire Foy, Strangers
Shaylene Woodley, Dumb Money*

Possibilities

America Ferrera, Barbie
Shaylene Woodley, Ferrari
Lena Olin, One Life
Gemma Chan, The Actor*
Danielle Brooks, The Colour Purple
Marion Cotillard, Lee
Anne Hathaway, Eileen

Longer shots

Penelope Ann Miller, Reagan
Kathy Bates, Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret
Zendaya, Dune: Part Two
Laura Linney, The Miracle Club
Kirsten Dunst, Civil War
Florence Pugh, Oppenheimer
Emily Blunt, Oppenheimer
Judy Greer, Flint Strong
Saoirse Ronan, Barbie
Rebecca Ferguson, Dune: Part Two

Theoretical possibilities

Margot Robbie, Asteroid City
Mena Suvari, Reagan
Hong Chau, Asteroid City
Catherine O’Hara, Pain Hustlers
Lesley Manville, Back to Black
Emily Watson, Midas Man
Carey Mulligan, Spaceman

* Could go lead

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[Chloe Sevigny stan <3 Joined: Jul 13th, 2019 Topics: 5 Posts: 2391 View Predictions]

#1205365263

First early predictions:

1: Lily Gladstone (Killers of the Flower Moon)
2: Julianne Moore (May/December)
3: Danielle Brooks (The Color Purple)
4: Taraji P. Henson (The Color Purple)
5: Carey Mulligan (Maestro)

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[TVFan365 Joined: Jul 12th, 2011 Topics: 1 Posts: 424 View Predictions]

#1205365528

If Danielle Brooks wins, I can see her EGOTing one day.

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[bkcinephile2022 Joined: Jul 19th, 2022 Topics: 0 Posts: 50 View Predictions]

#1205365727

TVFan365 wrote:

If Danielle Brooks wins, I can see her EGOTing one day.

I actually think Danielle might have a tough time securing the win as she has to be just as good if not better than Oprah’s version of Sophia – which is a pretty iconic version of the character.

Conversely, the mere fact that Taraji is doing her own singing (vs. Margaret Avery who was dubbed) gives her the edge.

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[Setia Yasmine Khalil Joined: Jan 14th, 2022 Topics: 1 Posts: 1788 View Predictions]

#1205365809

Lily Gladstone is probably gonna be the critics sweeper in this category i can at least see her winning new York or National society her role is what critics love

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[The EGOT Expert Joined: Jun 8th, 2022 Topics: 0 Posts: 107 View Predictions]

#1205370149

There is a pattern where black actresses have won Supporting Actress every 2-3 years since Jennifer Hudson’s win in 2007 (That’s how I knew Angela wasn’t winning this year. She would’ve disrupted that pattern). It’ll be two years since Ariana DeBose won for West Side Story, so a black actress is winning this year. Personally, I’m rooting for Audra McDonald in Rustin—if for nothing else than for her to complete her EGOT—but I’d be satisfied if Taraji won. It’s her time.

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[alittle03 Joined: Sep 16th, 2020 Topics: 7 Posts: 2425 View Predictions]

#1205373106

Pre-Cannes April predictions; assuming Gladstone goes supporting.

1. Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon 
2. Taraji P. Henson, The Color Purple 
3. Danielle Brooks, The Color Purple 
4. Emily Blunt, Oppenheimer
5. Marion Cotillard, Lee

6. Julianne Moore, May December
7. Jodie Foster, Nyad
8. Penelope Cruz, Ferrari
9. Rosamund Pike, Saltburn 
10. Da’Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers

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[K Olivia Joined: Nov 28th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 576 View Predictions]

#1205374405

Poor Carey Mulligan. Some of y’all have been setting her up to win since Promising Young Woman & she just continues to lose or be snubbed completely. I don’t think Maestro will be it for her either.

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[wolfali Joined: Apr 8th, 2023 Topics: 250 Posts: 39145 View Predictions]

#1205374481

alittle03 wrote:

Taraji P. Henson, The Color Purple

alittle03 wrote:

Emily Blunt, Oppenheimer

Solidarity with the striking writers. Pay them the wages they are owed for bringing us the content we are all on here because of!

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[Rachel615 Joined: Sep 20th, 2018 Topics: 6 Posts: 2494 View Predictions]

#1205374554

I’ve seen some predict Lily Gladstone in Lead and some in Supporting for Killers of the Flower Moon. If the film is faithful to David Grann’s book— which, of course, it might not be— what category should she appropriately be in? (Is this likely to be a case of placing a less famous actress in Supporting to improve her chances?)

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