September 14, 2014 at 10:52 am #161724
What do you think of Tariq’s argument that ‘Boyhood’ can’t win the Oscar for Best Picture?September 14, 2014 at 11:08 am #161726
I absolutely agree. It will absolutely get nominated, and it will get some awards at critics groups, but it doesn’t seem like a runaway BP winner like Unbroken has the potential to. The word extravaganza is very appropriate based on the trailer. I feel like anyone who isn’t predicting it is just hoping it turns out badly, but I hope it’s as amazing as it looks. I loved Boyhood, but it seems like a long shot to me, and not like a front runner.
Come participate in this year's Goldderby Rankings! http://www.goldderby.com/forum/movies/2017-goldderby-rankings/September 14, 2014 at 11:14 am #161727
I’ve seen Boyhood four times. It screams “masterpiece” as much as it screams “pretentiousness”. The movie stayed with me the first time (but not for as long as it should’ve) but it lacked something all the other times. The direction is good, some of the performances are great (Coltrane’s is horrible but whatever)… I think my problem with it was the screenplay. Or the overall vibe.
Did I enjoy it while I was watching? Yeah I think so. Did I like it after I watched it? No I don’t think so. It’s a very strong film but not a Best Picture winner on my books.September 14, 2014 at 11:14 am #161728
Tariq makes valid points, and truth be told, there’s isn’t really any hard evidence that Boyhood is the frontrunner. But honestly I can’t think of another contender which fits the bill. Birdman should get across-the-board noms but might confound some Oscar members, which doesn’t help on a preferential ballot. Foxcatcher might be too dark to win, Theory of Everything too lightweight, Imitation Game… maybe? But it seems almost too Oscarific in a way, and it could even lose out in key categories like Director. I’m also not sold on Unbroken, which I could see being this year’s War Horse in the derby, or worse. And Boyhood, despite the factors working against it, does inspire a strong emotional reaction. So I might as well stick with it until things start to clear up.September 14, 2014 at 11:20 am #161729
Interesting. He doesnt say anything some of we posters havent said already…..September 14, 2014 at 11:21 am #161730
I mean, truth be told you can probably come up with five similarly nebulous reasons why any of the contenders we know of out there won’t win.September 14, 2014 at 11:26 am #161731
”Boyhood” is one of the frontrunners for Best Picture, but it’s a little tough for it to win over ”Unbroken”, ”Birdman” or ”Foxcatcher”. I’m not saying it can’t, but its biggest chances are in Directing, Writing and of course Supporting Actress. I think it will be close, but not the final winner of the night. I think it can win Supporting Actress and either Directing/Writing. Writing is more likely than Directing. Supporting Actress is almost a lock if it’s not a lock already.September 14, 2014 at 11:44 am #161732
Surprised this is controversial. If Imitation Game gets better reviews down the line, it’ll be the softball down the middle.September 14, 2014 at 11:50 am #161733
Its September!!! There could be an article like this for any of the contenders. I guess this sets up a Khan/Tom battle on a slugfest if/when “Boyhood” builds momentum.Riley (the normal one, not the one who won the predictions contest)ParticipantSeptember 14, 2014 at 3:01 pm #161734
Sorry, did I miss the part where Boyhood is more than a placeholder frontrunner? I thought that it was just leading the predictions centre because its overwhelming critical acclaim makes it unlikely not to be nominated at the least.September 14, 2014 at 4:02 pm #161735
This thing with Boyhood is getting ridiculous. It’s over.
It’s not the best picture of the year right now and with so many out there still comming it won’t be the best picture by the end of the year either. Sure it will end up the best reviewed, but something “better” will come along and steal whatever thunder it has right now BECAUSE THERE ISN’T ANYTHING ELSE!
Toronto came and went and with it everybody forgot about Boyhood and went with something else. It’s only a matter of time when everybody else, including GoldDerby starts seeing those films.
Stop it with the Best Picture Oscar conversation already and concentrate all your efforts and comments on LA, NY and National Society, because that’s about as far as “Boyhood” and “Best Picture Winner” will go together.
Now onto the next thread because YES!, there are FOUR Boyhood threads on the Oscar forum right now…September 14, 2014 at 4:24 pm #161736
lol ‘Boyhood’ will be a placeholder at best by the time the Oscars arrive. With the premire of frankly more exciting films at festivals, it’ll just be an after thought at the end, and then when it gets snubbed, everyone will cry foul. History’s repeatin’.
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