80th Golden Globe Awards Discussion (2023)

[laslo Joined: Oct 19th, 2021 Topics: 1 Posts: 1434 View Predictions]

#1205186227

juniperberry wrote:

a link? I’m just imagining someone watching this tech behemoth of a film on a little laptop screen lol

These guest voters are all over the world, so I don’t know if they would have private screenings in so many different locations. I find it unlikely.
But yeah, the movie was made to be seen in 3D. Something like this deserves to be seen in IMAX. There would be no way to have a corresponding experience with a small screen, but at least they will have an idea of ​​the material.

[laslo Joined: Oct 19th, 2021 Topics: 1 Posts: 1434 View Predictions]

#1205186231

wrote:

That’s because they had a splashy Australia premiere weeks ago already. That doesn’t mean the movie was made available to everyone outside of the U.S. Also Clayton is NOT to be trusted. His Globes scoop in 2020/21 was wrong from head to toe, from them supposedly hating Promising Young Woman to Ma Rainey supposedly being nearly considered in comedy/musical.

Well but he said he hadn’t seen the movie 3 days ago. And by now he’s seen the movie. And there would be no reason for him to give his first opinion of it now if he saw it weeks ago, because the embargo on social media reactions had already been lifted before he made the first tweet saying that the film had not been made available to him.

And about Clayton Davis, I made a disclaimer in my post saying that it’s up to each one to decide whether or not to trust what he says.

[federico rubachin Joined: Jan 22nd, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 783 View Predictions]

#1205186251

wrote:

That’s because they had a splashy Australia premiere weeks ago already. That doesn’t mean the movie was made available to everyone outside of the U.S. Also Clayton is NOT to be trusted. His Globes scoop in 2020/21 was wrong from head to toe, from them supposedly hating Promising Young Woman to Ma Rainey supposedly being nearly considered in comedy/musical.

it depends in where he said it and how. If he said it in variety as info( instead of said it in twitter or said it as rumors) then is trade info

[Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 0 Posts: 224 View Predictions]

#1205186270

This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.

[Archie Leach Joined: Dec 7th, 2022 Topics: 0 Posts: 118 View Predictions]

#1205186359

Clayton Davis is so bad at predicting. Anyway, here are my Final Golden Globes Predictions:

Best Film Drama:
1. The Fabelmans
2. Women Talking
3. Top Gun: Maverick
4. Elvis
5. TÁR

Best Film Drama Actress:
1. Cate Blanchett (TÁR)
2. Michelle Williams (The Fabelmans)
3. Danielle Deadwyler (Till)
4. Viola Davis (The Woman King)
5. Ana de Armas (Blonde)

Best Film Drama Actor:
1. Austin Butler (Elvis)
2. Tom Cruise (Top Gun: Maverick)
3. Brendan Fraser (The Whale)
4. Paul Mescal (Aftersun)
5. Gabriel LaBelle (The Fabelmans)

Best Film Comedy/Musical:
1. The Banshees of Inisherin
2. EEAAO
3. Glass Onion
4. Babylon
5. The Menu

Best Film Comedy/Musical Actress:
1. Margot Robbie (Babylon)
2. Michelle Yeoh (EEAAO)
3. Anya Taylor-Joy (The Menu)
4. Emma Thompson (Good Luck to You, Leo Grande)
5. Lesley Manville (Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris)

Best Film Comedy/Musical Actor:
1. Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)
2. Daniel Craig (Glass Onion)
3. Diego Calva (Babylon)
4. Adam Sandler (Hustle)
5. Ralph Fiennes (The Menu)

Best Film Supporting Actress:
1. Janelle Monae (Glass Onion)
2. Claire Foy (Women Talking)
3. Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin)
4. Jamie Lee Curtis (EEAAO)
5. Kate Hudson (Glass Onion)

Best Film Supporting Actor:
1. Ke Huy Quan (EEAAO)
2. Brendan Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin)
3. Paul Dano (The Fabelmans)
4. Barry Keoghan (The Banshees of Inisherin)
5. Ben Whishaw (Women Talking)

Best Director:
1. Steven Spielberg (The Fabelmans)
2. Damien Chazelle (Babylon)
3. Sarah Polley (Women Talking)
4. Todd field (TÁR)
5. Daniels (EEAAO)

Best Screenplay:
1. The Banshees of Inisherin
2. The Fabelmans
3. Glass Onion
4. Women Talking
5. EEAAO

[Skyler Lindquist Joined: Oct 1st, 2016 Topics: 1 Posts: 110 View Predictions]

#1205186449

Aaron Kalloo wrote:

https://platform.twitter.com/embed/Tweet.html?dnt=true&embedId=twitter-widget-0&features=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%3D%3D&frame=false&hideCard=false&hideThread=false&id=1601366829318172677&lang=en&origin=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.goldderby.com%2Fforum%2Fmovies%2F80th-golden-globe-awards-discussion-2023%2F&sessionId=7949ef859ae9253fbd4c3f5dd8e9730bc3a01e2b&siteScreenName=GoldDerby&theme=light&widgetsVersion=a3525f077c700%3A1667415560940&width=550px

https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js Keke Palmer is Supporting and NOPE is a DRAMA.

Also worth noting that their HFPA contact confirmed Babylon, RRR, and Hustle as comedy/musical players, not drama, which is think was already suspected by most. Source

[Chris Beachum Joined: May 22nd, 2011 Topics: 794 Posts: 1319 View Predictions]

#1205186987

That was already confirmed in our predictions center weeks ago.

[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 245 Posts: 37554 View Predictions]

#1205187040

Final predictions

Motion Picture – Drama

– The Fabelmans
– Tár
– Top Gun : Maverick
– The Woman King
– Women Talking

Spoiler: Avatar : The Way of Water

Actress – Drama

– Cate Blanchett, Tár
– Viola Davis, The Woman King
– Danielle Deadwyler, Till
– Jennifer Lawrence, Causeway
– Michelle Williams, The Fabelmans

Spoiler: Naomi Ackie

Actor – Drama

– Austin Butler, Elvis
– Tom Cruise, Top Gun : Maverick
– Brendan Fraser, The Whale
– Paul Mescal, Aftersun
– Bill Nighy, Living

Spoiler: Hugh Jackman

Motion Picture – Comedy/Musical

– Babylon
– The Banshees of Inisherin
– Everything Everywhere All at Once
– Glass Onion : A Knives Out Mystery
– Triangle of Sadness

Spoiler: Matilda

Actress – Comedy/Musical

– Lesley Manville, Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris
– Margot Robbie, Babylon
– Anya Taylor-Joy, The Menu
– Emma Thompson, Good Luck to You, Leo Grande
– Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All at Once

Spoiler: Julia Roberts

Actor – Comedy/Musical

– Diego Calva, Babylon
– Daniel Craig, Glass Onion : A Knives Out Mystery
– Billy Eichner, Bros.
– Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin
– Adam Sandler, Hustle

Spoiler: Ralph Fiennes

Supporting Actress

– Jessie Buckley, Women Talking
– Hong Chau, The Whale
– Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin
– Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All at Once
– Claire Foy, Women Talking

Spoiler: Janelle Monae

Supporting Actor

– Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin
– Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All at Once
– Brian Tyree Henry, Causeway
– Eddie Redmayne, The Good Nurse
– Ben Whishaw, Women Talking

Spoiler: Paul Dano

<b>Director</b>

– James Cameron, Avatar : The Way of Water
– The Daniels, Everything Everywhere All at Once
– Martin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin
– Sarah Polley, Women Talking
– Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans

Spoiler: Gina Prince-Bythewood

Screenplay

– The Banshees of Inisherin
– Everything Everywhere All at Once
– The Fabelmans
– Tár
– Women Talking

Spoiler: Glass Onion

Animated Feature

– Marcel the Shell with Shoes On
– Pinocchio
– Puss in Boots: The Last Wish
– Turning Red
– Wendell and Wild

Spoiler: Strange World

I had Manville in from the very beginning and even had 100/1 odds on her but took her out for Keke Palmer only for her to move down to supporting! I think supporting actress is the trickiest race to predict here. Only bullish about Condon and Curtis and with the latter it is only really because of her history here (she spoke at their ceremony last year in spite of all the controversies going on with them!). Really wanted to drop one of Buckley and Foy for Monae who I’m becoming increasingly convinced is not only a nominations contender but can even win but I wasn’t sure which to do. Buckley has never been nominated by the HFPA and is now a 3 time BAFTA nominee and an Academy Award nominee for The Lost Daughter so in a sense she has an iou here but Foy has the awards history here and was even nominated for First Man even as she wasn’t at the Oscars. I think Monae will ultimately get in but I just don’t know who to keep out and I think Chau is going to be that surprise nominee everyone expects to miss but ends up getting in due to individual support (like Negga last year). Are they going to buy into Foy’s arguably stronger narrative of never having been nominated for an Oscar or are they going to try and make it up to Buckley who they’ve never nominated before. It will be interesting in particular to see what happens with Foy and Whishaw also being on the ballot on the TV side for A Very British Scandal and This is Going to Hurt. I don’t think the former is going to get nominated for limited/movie actress (although I’d probably be predicting her had she landed an Emmy nod seeing as she otherwise has the right role, show and network behind her) but I have the latter in my limited/movie actor predictions. Could the HFPA see them over there and try to award them to make room for other contenders? Could they split votes? I don’t expect it to have much impact but it was something that I was definitely thinking about when revising my film predictions for the final time.

Hoss, Hsu and Mulligan were also compelling predictions I considered in supporting actress. The former feels like someone who could benefit from the change in membership demographics, Hsu I can see benefitting from EEAO love (and the HFPA wanting to cover their bases) and Mulligan feels like someone who could end up showing up at all the precursors but then missing at the Oscars because their film is too weak as a contender. That being said I also had a quick look back at her history with the body and (unlike with say BAFTA or CCA) the only times she has been nominated were for both her Oscar nominations so it felt a bit hard for me to justify predicting her without predicting She Said to get a surprise drama picture nomination (which I don’t think will happen but it wouldn’t surprise me either if it did).

They always have a populist director pick and Cameron makes the most sense for that slot this year although I wouldn’t be surprised to see Luhrmann get it or even Kosinski (although the latter not even making it in with critics groups who are otherwise showering Top Gun : Maverick with love could be telling) Predicting Elvis to only get Butler in feels like a big. risk seeing how it is essentially Globes bait but yolo. Very curious to see how Aftersun and The Woman King perform here. I think Davis is looking good and I have Mescal in but I can see them doing anything from completely over-performing to getting nearly shut-out. Ditto with Babylon. I have Robbie in 2nd and Calva in 3rd but with how unpredictable its run has been so far it wouldn’t surprise me if it just got into musical/comedy picture and that was it.

FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.

[Caelin Cripps Joined: Apr 28th, 2016 Topics: 19 Posts: 475 View Predictions]

#1205187056

Here’s what I’m going with (assuming Avatar did not screen in time as rumored):

MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA
Elvis
The Fabelmans
Tár
Top Gun: Maverick
Women Talking

MOTION PICTURE – MUSICAL / COMEDY
Babylon
The Banshees of Inisherin
Everything Everywhere All at Once
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
Matilda the Musical

ACTOR – MOTION PICTURE DRAMA
Austin Butler, Elvis
Tom Cruise, Top Gun: Maverick
Brendan Fraser, The Whale
Hugh Jackman, The Son
Bill Nighy, Living

ACTRESS – MOTION PICTURE DRAMA
Cate Blanchett, Tár
Viola Davis, The Woman King
Danielle Deadwyler, Till
Jennifer Lawrence, Causeway
Michelle Williams, The Fabelmans

ACTOR – MOTION PICTURE MUSICAL / COMEDY
Diego Calva, Babylon
Daniel Craig, Glass Onion
Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin
Ralph Fiennes, The Menu
Tom Hanks, A Man Called Otto

ACTRESS – MOTION PICTURE MUSICAL / COMEDY
Lesley Manville, Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris
Margot Robbie, Babylon
Emma Thompson, Good Luck to You, Leo Grande
Alisha Weir, Matilda the Musical
Michelle Yeoh, EEAAO

SUPPORTING ACTOR – MOTION PICTURE
Paul Dano, The Fabelmans
Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin
Ke Huy Quan, EEAAO
Brad Pitt, Babylon
Eddie Redmayne, The Good Nurse

SUPPORTING ACTRESS – MOTION PICTURE
Hong Chau, The Whale
Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin
Jamie Lee Curtis, EEAAO
Claire Foy, Women Talking
Janelle Monáe, Glass Onion

DIRECTOR
Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert, EEAAO
Baz Luhrmann, Elvis
Sarah Polley, Women Talking
Gina Prince-Bythewood, The Woman King
Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans

SCREENPLAY
The Banshees of Inisherin
EEAAO
The Fabelmans
Tár
Women Talking

SCORE
Babylon
The Fabelmans
Pinocchio
Women Talking
White Noise

SONG
“Carolina” (Where the Crawdads Sing)
“Hold My Hand” (Top Gun: Maverick)
“Lift Me Up” (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever)
“Til You’re Home” (A Man Called Otto)
“Vegas” (Elvis)

ANIMATED FEATURE
The Bad Guys
Marcel the Shell with Shoes On
Pinocchio
Puss in Boots: The Last Wish
Turning Red

INTERNATIONAL FEATURE
All Quiet on the Western Front
Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths
Close
Decision to Leave
RRR

I may change some little things here and there before Monday morning and taking some risks, but excited to find out.

[OneAndOnly Joined: Mar 21st, 2017 Topics: 12 Posts: 1169 View Predictions]

#1205187223

When they do a BAFTA 2020 and everyone is completely wrong…

Have a great day if you see this!

FYC:
EEAAO
Andor

[Bonehead Joined: Jan 20th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 1693 View Predictions]

#1205187236

OneAndOnly wrote:

When they do a BAFTA 2020 and everyone is completely wrong…

lol, when the FIPRESCI influence rebrands the Golden Globes as a Highbrow International awards show

How awesome would it be to see Picture lineups that include films like Bardo, RRR, Triangle of Sadness, All Quiet on the Western Front, Close, EO, and Decision to Leave, and acting nominees like Vicky Krieps, Felix Kammerer, Song Kang-ho, Park Hae-il, Tang Wei, and Zar Amir Ebrahimi instead of things that would have been nominated before by the old HFPA like Julia Roberts in Ticket to Paradise

[Bonehead Joined: Jan 20th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 1693 View Predictions]

#1205187297

Does anybody know what the last film was that was nominated for Golden Globes Best Film (either Drama or Comedy/Musical) and recieved 0 other nominations?

If I include Triangle of Sadness in Best Film Comedy, then surely I have to include it for Screenplay, Director, or Dolly de Leon… right?

 

[Sir Shaw Joined: Aug 1st, 2019 Topics: 7 Posts: 1386 View Predictions]

#1205187303

Comedy was Sing Street in 2016. Drama was The Great Debaters in 2007

[Butz Joined: Oct 15th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 1543 View Predictions]

#1205187523

I just noticed that Harris Dickinson and Charlbi Dean didn’t even get in at the European Film Awards where Triangle of Sadness swept and Zlatko Buric won for Best Male Performance. I don’t know what to make of their chances. I think I’ll be taking them out for Fiennes and ATJ.

For Your Consideration:
The Banshees of Inisherin in ALL categories, including:
- Best Picture
- Best Director
- Best Actor (Colin Farrell)
- Best Supporting Actor (Brendan Gleeson)
- Best Supporting Actor (Barry Keoghan)
- Best Supporting Actress (Kerry Condon)
- Best Supporting Actress (Sheila Flitton)
- Best Original Screenplay

Letterboxd: Ray_In_Bruges

[abelfenty Joined: Jul 14th, 2018 Topics: 5 Posts: 1294 View Predictions]

#1205187531

I’m still convinced either Jessie Buckley or Claire Foy is missing but I’m not sure which one.