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November 13, 2020 at 1:19 pm #1203834787
Probably. I still have Saoirse in cuz I love her and the competition is weak, but I’m basically just waiting to see who to replace her with.
ReplyCopy URLFYC: Riz Ahmed + Paul Raci (Sound of Metal)
Sidney Flanigan (Never Rarely Sometimes Always)
Youn Yuh-jung (Minari)November 13, 2020 at 1:20 pm #1203834795Incredible how a Ronan and Kate vehicle has literaly 0 buzz.
ReplyCopy URLNovember 13, 2020 at 1:35 pm #1203834879Incredible how a Ronan and Kate vehicle has literaly 0 buzz.
Not writing them off just yet, but the fact that their film’s buzz pretty much died out before festival season could even end is not good for their chances at all.
ReplyCopy URLNovember 13, 2020 at 2:06 pm #1203834992People, we don’t yet know how well-received (or not) this movie’s going to be with the awarding bodies. Remember when Phantom Thread was nominated? It was virtually non-existent at the precursors, yet it wound up with a handful of Oscar nominations including Best Picture. Nobody saw that coming. Stop guiding yourselves by what the critics say or do. The critics are NOT Oscar voters. And as someone said above, there’s always a token LGBT film. This is likely it.
ReplyCopy URLNovember 13, 2020 at 3:22 pm #1203835377People, we don’t yet know how well-received (or not) this movie’s going to be with the awarding bodies. Remember when Phantom Thread was nominated? It was virtually non-existent at the precursors, yet it wound up with a handful of Oscar nominations including Best Picture. Nobody saw that coming. Stop guiding yourselves by what the critics say or do. The critics are NOT Oscar voters. And as someone said above, there’s always a token LGBT film. This is likely it.
But Phantom Thread had much better reviews, not to mention the (supposedly) final performance of Daniel Day Lewis.
I’ve recently slotted Winslet and Ronan back into my predictions, but the Phantom Thread comparison is definitely flawed.
ReplyCopy URLNovember 13, 2020 at 4:32 pm #1203835546People, we don’t yet know how well-received (or not) this movie’s going to be with the awarding bodies. Remember when Phantom Thread was nominated? It was virtually non-existent at the precursors, yet it wound up with a handful of Oscar nominations including Best Picture. Nobody saw that coming. Stop guiding yourselves by what the critics say or do. The critics are NOT Oscar voters. And as someone said above, there’s always a token LGBT film. This is likely it.
That comparison doesn’t make any sense. Phantom Thread was literally one of the most acclaimed movies of the year, not mention it has a 91% on RT and score of 90 on Metacritic. And the only precursor the movie failed to get in was SAG, and that was because of its late screeners. Also, like Greg said, it had a big push due to being Daniel Day-Lewis last perfomance on screen.
ReplyCopy URLNovember 13, 2020 at 6:43 pm #1203835735I still have Kate in my predictions, plus Costume Design and Cinematography.
Reviews are not that good, but other films with similar receptions received nominations in the past.
ReplyCopy URLNovember 14, 2020 at 5:45 am #1203836246The film is very austere and those expecting some swooning romance a la Call Me By Your Name or Portrait Of A Lady On Fire will be disappointed. It even makes Lee’s previous film God’s Own Country appear passionate. But this is one of Kate’s best performances.
ReplyCopy URLDecember 4, 2020 at 5:28 pm #1203895104The performances are better than the actual film. It’s a beautifully shot movie but it drags in certain places. Kate was great. Saoirse was OK. I don’t see it getting in anywhere but Lead, Supporting, & maybe Cinematography.
ReplyCopy URLDecember 4, 2020 at 5:58 pm #1203895144Lol I am subscribed to London Film Festival emails and in the email (where everything is outlined more or less) this isn’t even described as a highlight even thought IT’S CLOSING LONDON FILM FESTIVAL and stars Saoirse f**king Ronan and Kate Winslet! In fact last month Kate and Saoirse’s face were plastered all over the emails they sent and now their film isn’t even mentioned and it’s Frances’s face that’s plastered. I won’t be surprised if Kate gets snubbed at BAFTA now. She has too much competition and considering how much they like Viola Davis and Amy Adams I’d say they’re the frontrunners to win their now and that Kirby is at the very worst going to be their annual Jessie Buckley/Jamie Bell nominee.
BAFTA doesn’t love Viola Davis. Davis was nominated for Widows, because the film was British and was directed by Steve McQueen.
And BAFTA LOVES Winslet.
ReplyCopy URLDecember 4, 2020 at 9:08 pm #1203895444It’s no masterpiece but I actually enjoyed this. It’s more of a character study than a romance, and, sure, It could’ve used some more dialogue, but I cared enough about Kate’s character, her feeling of loneliness and her inabillity to scape from it.
This film deserves a few technical noms like Sound, Costume Design and Cinematography. Kate is fucking fantastic, without a doubt one of the best perfomances I’ve seen from her. But it’s sooooo subtle for the Oscars, and of course, nobody seems to care about this film. I’ll be very surprised (and pleased) if she gets in.
ReplyCopy URLFYC
Best Actor: Mads Mikkelsen (Another Round)
Best Actress: Carey Mulligan (Promising Young Woman)
December 4, 2020 at 11:16 pm #1203895534I saw this today and unfortunately, it just fell flat for me. I wanted to like it, but was underwhelmed… Both Winslet and Ronan were good, but I don’t see the film or their performances factoring into the race after all is said and done.
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