Anonymous Oscar Ballot Time, 2023 Edition

[ScreamingFirehawk22 Joined: Apr 28th, 2022 Topics: 41 Posts: 365 View Predictions]

#1205324076

https://www.latimes.com/entertainment-arts/awards/story/2023-02-27/super-secret-oscar-ballots-from-three-academy-voters

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[Marcel Carneiro Joined: Dec 30th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 105 View Predictions]

#1205324094

Interesting. Todd Field and JLC are a lot stronger than we think

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[Manav Joined: Dec 21st, 2019 Topics: 60 Posts: 6668 View Predictions]

#1205324105

Before anyone takes these too seriously, a quick reminder:

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[Chris Beachum Joined: May 22nd, 2011 Topics: 794 Posts: 1318 View Predictions]

#1205324125

We will not publish any of ours until after voting is over. I can’t believe some of these other websites are willing to post earlier than that.

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[estrelas Joined: Jul 25th, 2018 Topics: 1 Posts: 6819 View Predictions]

#1205324138

Manav wrote:

Before anyone takes these too seriously, a quick reminder:

The Worst Person in the World leading Original Screenplay, Kirsten Dunst finishing ahead of Ariana, Adapted Screenplay being literally a circus, Spielberg being extremely close to Jane (I actually think they tied?), I mean…

I honestly don’t remember a year where the ballots were so wrong lmao.

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[iskandarrzull Joined: Feb 8th, 2022 Topics: 0 Posts: 14 View Predictions]

#1205324172

Manav wrote:

Before anyone takes these too seriously, a quick reminder:

Still ringing lol

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[PlanetTexas Joined: Jan 20th, 2023 Topics: 0 Posts: 51 View Predictions]

#1205324181

not one of the three mentions Brendan Fraser for Best Actor… which can only mean Brendan Fraser in a landslide.

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[Setia Yasmine Khalil Joined: Jan 14th, 2022 Topics: 1 Posts: 1664 View Predictions]

#1205324296

Manav wrote:

Before anyone takes these too seriously, a quick reminder:

green book also didn’t get a single ballot

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[federico rubachin Joined: Jan 22nd, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 783 View Predictions]

#1205324300

Manav wrote:

Before anyone takes these too seriously, a quick reminder:

yeah last year the anonymous oscar ballot were a disaster. But in the parasite year, they were very true that 1917 was getting low votes in picture  ( was very reflecting when the movie lost director despite being ” locked”)

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[Atypical Joined: Dec 1st, 2011 Topics: 91 Posts: 5998 View Predictions]

#1205324302

Lots of love for Todd Field (extending to Cate Blanchett) and Jamie Lee Curtis, it looks like. I was burned last year by Penélope Cruzgate lol, but these races are too tight to immediately dismiss any intel from “secret” Oscar ballots.

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[Mattjp1097 Joined: Feb 28th, 2023 Topics: 0 Posts: 52 View Predictions]

#1205324558

estrelas wrote:

The Worst Person in the World leading Original Screenplay, Kirsten Dunst finishing ahead of Ariana, Adapted Screenplay being literally a circus, Spielberg being extremely close to Jane (I actually think they tied?), I mean… I honestly don’t remember a year where the ballots were so wrong lmao.

Anonymous ballots were not that off last year except for actress. It is just 30 or so voters while the voting body is around 10k, they can’t be 100% accurate unless you read them as indicators. TWPITW was #1 in OS with 11 but Belfast was #2 with 7 or 8 while LP had just one vote, it kinda told us that LP was not that strong. CODA was leading AS but it was practically an almost tie and I am sure it won by few votes. CODA was also leading BP which ended up winning. The year before they told us about Hopkins and McDormand was #2 and the race, by the ballots, was very much on. That told us: look, don’t think her out ’cause she won 3 years ago, she is getting votes.

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[Mattjp1097 Joined: Feb 28th, 2023 Topics: 0 Posts: 52 View Predictions]

#1205324561

Chris Beachum wrote:

We will not publish any of ours until after voting is over. I can’t believe some of these other websites are willing to post earlier than that.

Please, share with us more than just the 8 usual categories. Appreciate a lot the choice of not publlishing before the voting deadline. Everybody should do that or, at least, not before the last day of voting.

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[nevkm Joined: Jan 3rd, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 1202 View Predictions]

#1205324566

Mattjp1097 wrote:

Anonymous ballots were not that off last year except for actress. It is just 30 or so voters while the voting body is around 10k, they can’t be 100% accurate unless you read them as indicators. TWPITW was #1 in OS with 11 but Belfast was #2 with 7 or 8 while LP had just one vote, it kinda told us that LP was not that strong. CODA was leading AS but it was practically an almost tie and I am sure it won by few votes. CODA was also leading BP which ended up winning. The year before they told us about Hopkins and McDormand was #2 and the race, by the ballots, was very much on. That told us: look, don’t think her out ’cause she won 3 years ago, she is getting votes.

The SAG ballots this year also told us about Fraser. Sure, as a rule it’s for the best to not predict based on them but completely disregarding them can be a mistake.

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[Mattjp1097 Joined: Feb 28th, 2023 Topics: 0 Posts: 52 View Predictions]

#1205324649

nevkm wrote:

The SAG ballots this year also told us about Fraser. Sure, as a rule it’s for the best to not predict based on them but completely disregarding them can be a mistake.

I have found just one sag ballot, unfortunately. Where did you find others?

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[nevkm Joined: Jan 3rd, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 1202 View Predictions]

#1205324651

Mattjp1097 wrote:

I have found just one sag ballot, unfortunately. Where did you find others?

All of them were posted in the SAG thread.

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