Anonymous Oscar Ballot Time, 2023 Edition

[MD Joined: Dec 25th, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 478 View Predictions]

#1205324737

Setia_Yasmine_Khalil wrote:

green book also didn’t get a single ballot

It did though. Even Goldderby published GB favourable ballots.  
It was 1917 that barely got any mentions.

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[Chris Beachum Joined: May 22nd, 2011 Topics: 829 Posts: 1387 View Predictions]

#1205326850

We will just have the top 8 categories like we always do. It’s very difficult to get people to commit, and I can’t imagine asking them to give us more time and effort than that.

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[George Ehret Joined: Sep 3rd, 2019 Topics: 5 Posts: 2478 View Predictions]

#1205327147

wrote:

Before anyone takes these too seriously, a quick reminder:

Lol this could so easily repeat with Riseborough this year. A bunch of voters say “yeah you know what she’s actually my favorite” and then pundits predict her to win. Now I acknowledge that we all live in glass houses, I fell for this trick last year; but now that I know better I feel like it may just be hilarious to see this unfold.

FYC
Everything Everywhere All at Once for everything, everywhere, all at once

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[George Ehret Joined: Sep 3rd, 2019 Topics: 5 Posts: 2478 View Predictions]

#1205327149

nevkm wrote:

The SAG ballots this year also told us about Fraser. Sure, as a rule it’s for the best to not predict based on them but completely disregarding them can be a mistake.

I do generally agree with this. I think it’s more important to consider consistent themes and sentiments amongst voters than it is to actually take the votes themselves and say “well clearly so and so is winning”. It wasn’t just that people were voting for Hopkins it’s that they were all saying “I know Chadwick’s gonna win but I love Hopkins more”. It also really only helps in split races anyway, and even then it doesn’t always turn out that way.

FYC
Everything Everywhere All at Once for everything, everywhere, all at once

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[SnookTheWay Joined: Sep 16th, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 2703 View Predictions]

#1205327335

Chris Beachum wrote:

We will not publish any of ours until after voting is over. I can’t believe some of these other websites are willing to post earlier than that.

Thanks Chris and that’s how it should be.

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[Archie Leach Joined: Dec 7th, 2022 Topics: 0 Posts: 128 View Predictions]

#1205327454

I think Todd Field is stronger than some people think.

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[babypook Joined: Nov 4th, 2010 Topics: 22 Posts: 3754 View Predictions]

#1205327463

Is it sacrilege to say that Todd is the star of Tar?

The Sunne in Splendour.
I prefer my roses white

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[bledsoe Joined: Oct 3rd, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 155 View Predictions]

#1205327480

It is up to each one to make a mistake with these ballots. My tip is to base it on what we’ve actually seen happening in guilds and bafta. LA Times working on Tar’s behalf by releasing this before the vote is over, shame.

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[macchiato Joined: Feb 6th, 2023 Topics: 0 Posts: 188 View Predictions]

#1205327484

bledsoe wrote:

It is up to each one to make a mistake with these ballots. My tip is to base it on what we’ve actually seen happening in guilds and bafta. LA Times working on Tar’s behalf by releasing this before the vote is over, shame.

not surprising considering tár won best picture, director, actress, and screenplay at LAFCA

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[Freeman_DC3 Joined: Nov 4th, 2022 Topics: 1 Posts: 167 View Predictions]

#1205327525

These are just 3 ballots and people are quick to jump to conclusions. Todd Field is not winning anything.

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[CuriousHedgehog Joined: Mar 15th, 2018 Topics: 3 Posts: 687 View Predictions]

#1205328402

I’m back with a document of anonymous ballots (year three!)! Obviously, this is mostly for fun, but it’s nice to keep track of them. I’ll make a spreadsheet in due time.

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1mtW0FWQRTPYE-arOhuiWU9RJZNV60yjEJ6aDU2XGXhw/edit?usp=sharing

If anyone’s by chance interested in the previous two years, here they are: 2022 and 2021.

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[Dan Jo Joined: Aug 16th, 2017 Topics: 3 Posts: 450 View Predictions]

#1205333298

We only have 1 week before the Oscars and I’m still waiting for more to read.

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[Moviebuff22 Joined: Jan 17th, 2016 Topics: 1 Posts: 1106 View Predictions]

#1205333303

babypook wrote:

Is it sacrilege to say that Todd is the star of Tar?

Tar has by far the best direction of any film. Blanchett is amazing but Tar is just a well made film.

Academy Award Winner Brendan Fraser

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[Rachel615 Joined: Sep 20th, 2018 Topics: 6 Posts: 2500 View Predictions]

#1205333433

babypook wrote:

Is it sacrilege to say that Todd is the star of Tar?

No. To me, it’s similar to saying that Emerald Fennell is the star of Promising Young Woman. They are both films with a dominant lead performance which would not have existed without the writer/director.

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[Ernest Mah Joined: Jan 9th, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 7 View Predictions]

#1205334585

I listened to Matt Neglia’s podcast over at NextBestPicture. When discussing the Director race, he said that he has spoken to several anonymous Oscar voters, and NONE of them voted for Daniels.

 

I have long suspected that EEAAO can’t have it that easy come Oscar night, and I’ve always thought Director could very well be the most likely category where either Todd Field or Steven Spielberg could upset. Am I reading too much or is this very much a cause for concern? Thoughts?

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