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I listened to Matt Neglia’s podcast over at NextBestPicture. When discussing the Director race, he said that he has spoken to several anonymous Oscar voters, and NONE of them voted for Daniels. I have long suspected that EEAAO can’t have it that easy come Oscar night, and I’ve always thought Director could very well be the most likely category where either Todd Field or Steven Spielberg could upset. Am I reading too much or is this very much a cause for concern? Thoughts?
He also said that there is no second favourite in the category and everyone is voting for someone different. Daniels do have it tough considering they aren’t a well known directorial duo and this is only their second film, but we don’ have a clear alternative in sight.
ReplyCopy URLI listened to Matt Neglia’s podcast over at NextBestPicture. When discussing the Director race, he said that he has spoken to several anonymous Oscar voters, and NONE of them voted for Daniels. I have long suspected that EEAAO can’t have it that easy come Oscar night, and I’ve always thought Director could very well be the most likely category where either Todd Field or Steven Spielberg could upset. Am I reading too much or is this very much a cause for concern? Thoughts?
I’m going to trust DGA until the end. They’ve only been wrong 8 times in the last 74 years, and the last time they were wrong was Parasite which had a huge groundswell of momentum. No other film nominated for Best Director has that right now.
ReplyCopy URLI'm back bitches.
#EverythingEverywhereSweep
I listened to Matt Neglia’s podcast over at NextBestPicture. When discussing the Director race, he said that he has spoken to several anonymous Oscar voters, and NONE of them voted for Daniels. I have long suspected that EEAAO can’t have it that easy come Oscar night, and I’ve always thought Director could very well be the most likely category where either Todd Field or Steven Spielberg could upset. Am I reading too much or is this very much a cause for concern? Thoughts?
I still think it’s the Daniels but I’ll pay attention to those anonymous ballots coming these next days. Only if I see no support whatsoever I’ll start to worry a lil’ bit but even then…
ReplyCopy URLAfter all these years of secret ballots and their historical inaccuracy some insist on getting suspicions or conclusions out of them? Sample is too small for that, not until you get like 100 of them you can only then start noticing trends. Not to mention… there’s always the possibility that all these secret voters, despite anonymity, can still lie about what their final and real votes are.
As always, reading these are just for pure fun.
ReplyCopy URLAfter all these years of secret ballots and their historical inaccuracy some insist on getting suspicions or conclusions out of them? Sample is too small for that, not until you get like 100 of them you can only then start noticing trends. Not to mention… there’s always the possibility that all these secret voters, despite anonymity, can still lie about what their final and real votes are. As always, reading these are just for pure fun.
Of course we mostly read them for the fun, but I also don’t think it is fair to say that they have been awfully wrong. Belfast, Anthony Hopkins, Olivia Colman, Parasite, Bong Joon-Ho in director, Green Book, we can add Frances McDormand too. Again, I don’t think the ballots are meant to be read as “who’s in the lead is winning” but I think people read them as indicators for trends and possible upset and surprise to bet on and make some money.
ReplyCopy URLAfter all these years of secret ballots and their historical inaccuracy some insist on getting suspicions or conclusions out of them? Sample is too small for that, not until you get like 100 of them you can only then start noticing trends. Not to mention… there’s always the possibility that all these secret voters, despite anonymity, can still lie about what their final and real votes are.
As always, reading these are just for pure fun.
Pure fun or morbid curiosity.
ReplyCopy URLThe Sunne in Splendour.
I prefer my roses whiteI listened to Matt Neglia’s podcast over at NextBestPicture. When discussing the Director race, he said that he has spoken to several anonymous Oscar voters, and NONE of them voted for Daniels. I have long suspected that EEAAO can’t have it that easy come Oscar night, and I’ve always thought Director could very well be the most likely category where either Todd Field or Steven Spielberg could upset. Am I reading too much or is this very much a cause for concern? Thoughts?
The problem is that there were multiple opportunities in the precursors for a spoiler to emerge and it didn’t happen. In this situation with all of the Director and Original Screenplay nominees matching up, I really think most will default to their favorite film. It takes more effort for a voter to flip a switch in their brain and distinguish between the two categories when they’re all auteur projects.
ReplyCopy URLYou guys realize how inaccurate these ballots are, right? That they get it right half of the time, random users on Golberby have gotten better results year after year (for what I can see in past leaderboards). I’m literally not worried at all for the Daniel’s, and this is another case of building suspense like Penelope last year. Also, let’s stop for a second. The fact someone mentioned the Daniel’s have gotten zero votes, despite literally winning the freaking DGA is an absolute joke.
Well, at least for SAG, I had good experiences using ballots to predict. Last year, I could guess Kristen Stewart would miss a nomination. This year, Fraser winning was right there too.
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This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.Looking at his posts, hes obviously voting for Austin Butler, Cate Blanchett, Angela Bassett, Rihanna or Gaga for Song. It’s also very clear he loves Avatar and Top Gun but most of them all, All Quiet on the Western Front. He stated he can’t disclose what he’s voting for but it’s very obvious lol
Not Austin I see. But Farrell
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This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.Looking at his posts, hes obviously voting for Austin Butler, Cate Blanchett, Angela Bassett, Rihanna or Gaga for Song. It’s also very clear he loves Avatar and Top Gun but most of them all, All Quiet on the Western Front. He stated he can’t disclose what he’s voting for but it’s very obvious lol
I would say he is voting vor Michelle Yeoh and Colin Farrell, his last post seems very clear to me.
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