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I watched Atonement for the first time the other day (just one of those films I missed at the time and never caught up on). Really good film and story. The only bits that lagged slightly were the war sequences and I was keen for the action to get back to Cecilia and Briony.
It’s interesting that No Country won Best Picture when Atonement is far more of an Academy friendly film. No Country is one of my favourite films and it deserved its win but what are people’s theories behind why Atonement didn’t pull through here?
Atonement won the Drama Golden Globe (not televised that year) and the BAFTA. No Country won SAG ensemble. Atonement would have had the famous British block. In hindsight I’m surprised Atonement didn’t win Picture and the Coens Director.
Curious for people’s thoughts on this race.
ReplyNo Country won PGA+DGA+SAG+WGA, so it winning BP was a done deal. GG/BAFTA/CC are immaterial and only relevant for predicting upsets in a somewhat close year (which this year wasn’t, since No Country swept the four big guilds.)
For the same reason, TSN vs. Kings Speech and Boyhood vs. Birdman weren’t close, either.
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No Country won PGA+DGA+SAG+WGA, so it winning BP was a done deal. GG/BAFTA/CC are immaterial and only relevant for predicting upsets in a somewhat close year (which this year wasn’t, since No Country swept the four big guilds.) For the same reason, TSN vs. Kings Speech and Boyhood vs. Birdman weren’t close, either.
People seriously undervalue the guilds when predicting Best Picture winners. They’re one of the reasons why even though 1917 won PGA and DGA I knew Parasite would win, because it had the most guild wins overall and just as many big ones. Same goes for Spolight (WGA + SAG vs Big Short’s PGA only and Revenant’s DGA only) and The Shape of Water (PGA + DGA vs Three Billboards’ SAG only).
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People seriously undervalue the guilds when predicting Best Picture winners. They’re one of the reasons why even though 1917 won PGA and DGA I knew Parasite would win, because it had the most guild wins overall and just as many big ones. Same goes for Spolight (WGA + SAG vs Big Short’s PGA only and Revenant’s DGA only) and The Shape of Water (PGA + DGA vs Three Billboards’ SAG only).
I think a lot of people got tripped up by the quadruple whammy of Golden Globes, BAFTAs, DGA and PGA. As we learned this year, that combo can’t overcome lacking support where it matters the most: in 1917’s case, the acting branch.
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