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BAFTA 2022 Nomination Predictions

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    LLLhawks
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    #1204730708

    Hi. Can you guys post your predictions here? The BAFTA longlist reaction thread is almost full, and I really don’t know how to do this.

    So just drop your guesses here, and I’ll base my answers off of your wisdom. LOL. My guesses as of now. Very wild.

     

    Best Picture
    Belfast
    Dune
    No Time to Die
    The Power of the Dog
    West Side Story

    Predicting No Time to Die because it’s the last Craig film, it was a pretty good movie, and it’s British as hell. I’m surprised movies like After Love and Ali & Ava aren’t here.

    Best Director
    Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
    Julia Ducournau, Titane
    Maggie Gyllenhaal, The Lost Daughter
    Ryusuke Hamaguchi, Drive My Car
    Aleem Khan, After Love
    Denis Villeneuve, Dune

    Best Lead Actor
    Adeel Akhtar, Ali and Ava
    Daniel Craig, No Time to Die
    Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dog
    Andrew Garfield, Tick Tick Boom
    Stephen Graham, Boiling Point
    Denzel Washington, The Tragedy of Macbeth

    Best Lead Actress
    Olivia Colman, The Lost Daughter
    Jennifer Hudson, Respect
    Joanna Scanlan, After Love
    Kristen Stewart, Spencer
    Tessa Thompson, Passing
    Rachel Zegler, West Side Story

    Best Supporting Actor
    David Alvarez, West Side Story
    Bradley Cooper, Licorice Pizza
    Jamie Dornan, Belfast
    Ciaran Hinds, Belfast
    Troy Kotsur, CODA
    Kodi Smit-McPhee, The Power of the Dog

    Best Supporting Actress
    Caitriona Balfe, Belfast
    Jessie Buckley, The Lost Daughter
    Ariana DeBose, West Side Story
    Kathryn Hunter, The Tragedy of Macbeth
    Ruth Negga, Passing
    Vinette Robinson, Boiling Point

    I can’t even begin to guess the rest. LOL. Leaning towards all the NTTD noms, Green Knight, etc.

    I just love movies. And awards.

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    wolfali
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    #1204730714

    I’m surprised movies like After Love and Ali & Ava aren’t here.

    Rocks wasn’t long-listed here last year so I don’t think it’s too surprising. The former film seems to be on a similar level of visibility to it whilst the latter film hasn’t even been released in the UK yet.

    FYC:

    "The Good Fight", "The Other Two" and "Station Eleven" in all categories, Sarah Lancashire ("Julia"), William Jackson Harper ("Love Life") and Luke Kirby ("The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel")

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    LLLhawks
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    #1204730766

    Rocks wasn’t long-listed here last year so I don’t think it’s too surprising. The former film seems to be on a similar level of visibility to it whilst the latter film hasn’t even been released in the UK yet.

    Ahhh.. would be interested to see your lists when you’re ready. It’s probably in the other thread but… just in case you update your predictions.

    I just love movies. And awards.

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    The Oscarguy
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    #1204731092

    I’m pretty confident Renate Reinsve is getting in. No way the jury will pass up on the only non-english language performance in the longlists.

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    M
    Joined:
    Sep 27th, 2017
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    #1204731127

    Thompson, Renate and Scanlan are locks as jury picks. Stewart, Zegler and Colman could sneak it as jury picks.

    Gaga and Kidman must make top 2 to be nominated (and one of them will).

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    wilfredpickles
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    #1204731146

    I remember last year when the jury randomly nominated Clarke Peters for Da 5 Bloods. Without taking another look at those longlists, it makes me wonder if they could do something similar this time in the acting categories and go for a less obvious pick from a film with multiple contenders. David Alvarez or Al Pacino?

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    abelfenty
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    #1204731363

    BEST FILM
    Belfast
    Don’t Look Up
    Dune
    The Power of the Dog
    West Side Story

    DIRECTOR
    Aleem Khan, After Love
    Paolo Sorrentino, The Hand of God
    Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
    Joanna Hogg, The Souvenir Pt. 2
    Steven Speilberg, West Side Story
    Janicza Bravo, Zola

    LEADING ACTRESS
    Olivia Colman, The Lost Daughter
    Lady Gaga, House of Gucci
    Nicole Kidman, Being the Ricardos
    Renate Reinsve, The Worst Person in the World
    Joanna Scanlan, After Love
    Tessa Thompson, Passing

    LEADING ACTOR
    Riz Ahmed, Encounter
    Adeel Akhtar, Ali & Ava
    Daniel Craig, No Time To Die
    Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dog
    Stephen Graham, Boiling Point
    Will Smith, King Richard

    SUPPORTING ACTRESS
    Ariana DeBose, West Side Story
    Ann Dowd, Mass
    Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the Dog
    Kathryn Hunter, The Tragedy of Macbeth
    Ruth Negga, Passing
    Vinette Robinson, Boiling Point

    SUPPORTING ACTOR
    Benico del Toro, The French Dispatch
    Ciarán Hinds, Belfast
    Mike Faist, West Side Story
    Troy Kotsur, CODA
    Woody Norman, C’mon C’mon
    Kodi Smit-McPhee, The Power of the Dog

    ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
    After Love
    Belfast
    Don’t Look Up
    The French Dispatch
    Licorice Pizza

    ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
    CODA
    The Lost Daughter
    No Time To Die
    The Power of the Dog
    West Side Story

    CASTING
    After Love
    Belfast
    CODA
    The Hand of God
    The Power of the Dog

    CINEMATOGRAPHY
    Belfast
    Dune
    The Power of the Dog
    The Tragedy of Macbeth
    West Side Story

    COSTUME DESIGN
    Cruella
    Dune
    House of Gucci
    Last Night in Soho
    West Side Story

    EDITING
    Belfast
    Dune
    The Power of the Dog
    Summer of Soul (Or, When The Revolution Could Not Be Televised)
    West Side Story

    MAKE UP & HAIR
    Coming 2 America
    Cruella
    The Eyes of Tammy Faye
    House of Gucci
    No Time To Die

    ORIGINAL SCORE
    Don’t Look Up
    Dune
    The French Dispatch
    No Time To Die
    The Power of the Dog

    PRODUCTION DESIGN
    Belfast
    Dune
    The French Dispatch
    The Tragedy of Macbeth
    West Side Story

    SPECIAL VISUAL EFFECTS
    Dune
    Free Guy
    Last Night in Soho
    No Time To Die
    Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings

    SOUND
    Belfast
    Dune
    Last Night in Soho
    No Time To Die
    West Side Story

    FILM NOT IN THE ENGLISH LANGUAGE
    Drive My Car
    Flee
    The Hand of God
    Petite Maman
    The Worst Person in the World

    DOCUMENTARY
    Flee
    The Rescue
    The Sparks Brothers
    Summer of Soul (Or, When The Revolution Could Not Be Televised)
    The Velvet Underground

    ANIMATED FILM
    Encanto
    Flee
    Luca
    The Mitchell’s vs. The Machines

    OUTSTANDING BRITISH FILM
    After Love
    Ali & Ava
    Belfast
    Boiling Point
    The Duke
    House of Gucci
    The Electrical Life of Louis Wain
    Last Night in Soho
    No Time To Die
    Passing

    OUTSTANDING BRITISH DEBUT
    After Love
    Boiling Point
    Censor
    Passing
    Sweetheart

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    Manav
    Joined:
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    #1204731385

    Daniel Craig needs to be top 2 to get nominated because a jury isn’t going to go for a performance like that.

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    FreemanGriffin
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    Feb 19th, 2012
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    #1204731505

    Best Picture:

    Belfast
    Don’t Look Up
    The Lost Daughter
    The Power of the Dog
    West Side Story

    Best Director:

    After Love
    Belfast
    Drive My Car
    The Lost Daughter
    The Power of the Dog
    West Side Story

    Best Actress:

    Olivia Colman, The Lost Daughter
    Lady Gaga, House of Gucci
    Jennifer Hudson, Respect
    Renate Reinsve, The Worst Person in the World
    Claire Rushbrook, Ali & Ava
    Joanna Scanlan, After Love

    Best Actor:

    Adeel Akhtar, Ali & Ava
    Daniel Craig, No Time To Die
    Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dog
    Adam Driver, House of Gucci
    Andrew Garfield, tick, tick…BOOM!
    Stephen Graham, Boiling Point

    Best Supporting Actress:

    Caitriona Balfe, Belfast
    Jessie Buckley, The Lost Daughter
    Ariana DeBose, West Side Story
    Judi Dench, Belfast
    Kathryn Hunter, The Tragedy of Macbeth
    Anya Taylor-Joy, Last Night in Soho

    Best Supporting Actor:

    David Alvarez, West Side Story
    Jamie Dornan, Belfast
    Mike Faist, West Side Story
    Ciaran Hinds, Belfast
    Mark Rylance, Don’t Look Up
    Kodi Smit-McPhee, The Power of the Dog

    Best British Film:

    After Love
    Ali & Ava
    Belfast
    Boiling Point
    Last Night in Soho
    No Time To Die

    Best Adapted Screenplay:

    Drive My Car
    The Lost Daughter
    Passing
    The Power of the Dog
    West Side Story

    Best Original Screenplay:

    After Love
    Belfast
    Don’t Look Up
    Last Night in Soho
    The Worst Person in the World

    Best Cinematography:

    Belfast
    Last Night in Soho
    No Time To Die
    The Tragedy of Macbeth
    West Side Story

    Best Editing:

    Belfast
    Don’t Look Up
    Last Night in Soho
    No Time To Die
    West Side Story

    Best Costume Design:

    Cyrano
    Dune
    House of Gucci
    Last Night in Soho
    West Side Story

    Best Makeup & Hairstyling:

    Cruella
    Cyrano
    Dune
    Last Night in Soho
    West Side Story

    Best Production Design:

    Cyrano
    Dune
    The Last Duel
    The Tragedy of Macbeth
    West Side Story

    Best Original Score:

    Don’t Look Up
    Dune
    The French Dispatch
    No Time To Die
    Spencer

    Best Sound:

    Belfast
    Dune
    Last Night in Soho
    No Time To Die
    West Side Story

    Best Special Visual Effects:

    Dune
    The Matrix Resurrections
    No Time To Die
    Shang-Chi…
    The Suicide Squad

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    wolfali
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    #1204732078

    The other thread is full so I’ll just post in here from now on haha.

    Adapted Screenplay

    1. The Power of the Dog – Probably winning.

    2. The Lost DaughterThe Lost Daughter has the right amount of visibility and support and Gyllenhaal’s screenplay is at the crux of the film’s acclaim. Could upset if it lands in best film although that does seem unlikely at this stage. Perhaps also the most “adapted” screenplay in contention here.

    3. CODA – Although BAFTA have gone for darker and grittier choices in the past in these screenplay categories, they have gone for more crowd pleasing “lighter” films (like Booksmart, Paddington 2) and this ultimately is an auteur driven indie so there’s plenty of appeal here. CODA is the type of film that I can imagine under-performing with the actual nominations but its performance on the long-lists does make me feel content having it in my predictions here.

    4. West Side Story – The writers branch just showed last year how snobbish they can be towards theatre adaptations that don’t have “as much adaptation” as other scripts in the field so I don’t feel as confident as I do at West Side Story‘s screenplay getting in at the Oscars. That being said Tony Kushner’s name alone is quite respectable and the film is the most long-listed film of the year so it would be crazy for me to predict it getting snubbed here lol.

    5. No Time to Die – Like The Dig it just feels too big to ignore in a category like this (even if it misses something like best film last year). The film itself was well received and BAFTA did nominate Casino Royale in this category so it’s not as if there is some sort of genre bias there. Helps that it has quite a prestigious pedigree (PWB!)

    ———————————————————————————————

    6. Drive My Car – I don’t feel the slightest bit confident predicting this to miss because critically raved films not in the English language have shown up here before and this film seems primed to break into both BAFTA and Oscar directing races. But the field does feel somewhat competitive and the film itself missing the best film long-list when Another Round made it in last year makes me wonder if it is seen widely enough.

    7. Dune – With its acting shut out I’m unsure whether the film itself has enough consensus to make it into best film but I can most certainly see its screenplay slipping in because of how much sci-fi/fantasy films have been embraced by BAFTA in the past. If Inception can garner enough support to get nominated here, why can’t Dune (unless of course the field is too competitive)?

    8. Passing – A high brow “critics choice” and Rebecca Hall is the type of auteur we’ve seen show up in this category in the past. That being said do people really feel as much passion towards Passing‘s screenplay as its other aspects (I say this as someone who loved the film)? Both the LFCC and the Spirits snubbed Hall’s screenplay. Feels like a film that the BAFTA membership overall could have taken to more than the AMPAS but at the same time I’m not entirely convinced Tessa Thompson wasn’t a jury save in the first round of voting.

    9. Tick, Tick…BOOM! – Was long-listed in best film and it is a film about a playwright so there could be some interesting appeal here. Then again with how Tick, Tick…BOOM! performed on these long-lists, I just wonder whether it has only gotten in here because of visibility rather than overall passion for the film.

    10. House of Gucci – Well it’s clear people in the British film industry loved this movie. Just like Last Night in Soho on the original screenplay side (perhaps even more so) and with The Mauritanian last year, the love for the film amongst the entire membership might just be too big for it to not translate here.

    11. The Tragedy of Macbeth – Shakespeare or not and whether it over-performs (which is what I’m predicting in other categories) or not, I just don’t find it convincing that the same branch who snubbed Fences and Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom is going to take to a screenplay of a Shakespeare adaptation with not much adaptation. We’re not in 1996 anymore.

    12. The Last Duel – There seems to be a lot of love for this film’s screenplay and it does strike me as something that could be the film that is the “this had Oscar buzz but still performs well at the BAFTAs” we see almost every year. Then again that doesn’t seem like an accurate statement to describe this film when its female lead who is one of the most respected and popular actors of her generation in this country missed the long-list completely.

    13-15. Cyrano, The Green Knight and The Eyes of Tammy Faye – Congratulations on participating!

    FYC:

    "The Good Fight", "The Other Two" and "Station Eleven" in all categories, Sarah Lancashire ("Julia"), William Jackson Harper ("Love Life") and Luke Kirby ("The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel")

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    federico rubachin
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    #1204732106

    Best Picture

    1)The Power of the Dog
    2)Belfast
    3)Dune
    4)West Side Story

    5)CODA or No Time to Die or House of Gucci

     

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    coopC
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    #1204732161

    I think one of No Time to Die and House of Gucci will get into BP,  as far as I’m concerned, Belfast, Power of the Dog and West Side Story are locked. A tech-heavy film and a commercially successful comedy/drama will probably take the remaining two spots, so far dune and don’t look up seem like the perfect option, but I’m not sure about putting only one British film on the list, so probably one of NTtD and HoG will get in.

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    federico rubachin
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    #1204732191

    yeah fells that is for gucci the last spot but many thought the same for the globes but CODA gets in

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    braydenfitzsimmons
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    #1204732220

    I remember last year when the jury randomly nominated Clarke Peters for Da 5 Bloods. Without taking another look at those longlists, it makes me wonder if they could do something similar this time in the acting categories and go for a less obvious pick from a film with multiple contenders. David Alvarez or Al Pacino?

    Alvarez is likely getting imo but not for similar reasons that Peters did. Peters was journeyman character actor for years, with both a performance and a film that a juries would eat up. Additionally, his other shortlisted co-star was Boseman (whom was near guaranteed a nom in lead), that made him the easy choice. Had anyone of Lewis, Majors, or Whitlock also been shorlisted, I’m not sure he would’ve been the obvious jury pick.

    Vis-à-vis Pacino, I’m doubtful at him being top 2 and his performance isn’t one that inspires passion with a jury vote.

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    alittle03
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    #1204732223

    Best Picture: Belfast Don’t Look Up The Lost Daughter The Power of the Dog West Side Story Best Director: After Love Belfast Drive My Car The Lost Daughter The Power of the Dog West Side Story Best Actress: Olivia Colman, The Lost Daughter Lady Gaga, House of Gucci Jennifer Hudson, Respect Renate Reinsve, The Worst Person in the World Claire Rushbrook, Ali & Ava Joanna Scanlan, After Love Best Actor: Adeel Akhtar, Ali & Ava Daniel Craig, No Time To Die Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dog Adam Driver, House of Gucci Andrew Garfield, tick, tick…BOOM! Stephen Graham, Boiling Point Best Supporting Actress: Caitriona Balfe, Belfast Jessie Buckley, The Lost Daughter Ariana DeBose, West Side Story Judi Dench, Belfast Kathryn Hunter, The Tragedy of Macbeth Anya Taylor-Joy, Last Night in Soho Best Supporting Actor: David Alvarez, West Side Story Jamie Dornan, Belfast Mike Faist, West Side Story Ciaran Hinds, Belfast Mark Rylance, Don’t Look Up Kodi Smit-McPhee, The Power of the Dog Best British Film: After Love Ali & Ava Belfast Boiling Point Last Night in Soho No Time To Die Best Adapted Screenplay: Drive My Car The Lost Daughter Passing The Power of the Dog West Side Story Best Original Screenplay: After Love Belfast Don’t Look Up Last Night in Soho The Worst Person in the World Best Cinematography: Belfast Last Night in Soho No Time To Die The Tragedy of Macbeth West Side Story Best Editing: Belfast Don’t Look Up Last Night in Soho No Time To Die West Side Story Best Costume Design: Cyrano Dune House of Gucci Last Night in Soho West Side Story Best Makeup & Hairstyling: Cruella Cyrano Dune Last Night in Soho West Side Story Best Production Design: Cyrano Dune The Last Duel The Tragedy of Macbeth West Side Story Best Original Score: Don’t Look Up Dune The French Dispatch No Time To Die Spencer Best Sound: Belfast Dune Last Night in Soho No Time To Die West Side Story Best Special Visual Effects: Dune The Matrix Resurrections No Time To Die Shang-Chi… The Suicide Squad

    I would really recommend putting Tessa Thompson in Actress, Denzel Washington in Actor, and Ruth Negga and Vinette Robinson in Supporting Actress.

    • FYC: Everything Everywhere All at Once in any and every single category, especially Best Picture, Michelle Yeoh in Actress, Stephanie Hsu in Supporting Actress, The Daniels in Director/Screenplay, Paul Rogers in Editing, and Son Lux in Score.

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