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BAFTA 2022 Nomination Predictions

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    Manav
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    #1204756182

    Overlap between the BAFTA and Oscar Acting Winners since 2014

    2014- 4/4
    2015- 3/4
    (BAFTA winner Kate Winslet lost the Oscar to Alicia Vikander)
    2016- 3/4
    (BAFTA winner Dev Patel lost the Oscar to Mahershala Ali)
    2017- 4/4
    2018- 3/4
    (BAFTA winner Rachel Weisz lost the Oscar to Regina King)
    2019- 4/4
    2020- 4/4

    Total- 25/28

    Worth noting that the previous year,the overlap was:

    2013- 1/4
    (BAFTA winners Chiwetel Ejiofor, Barkhad Abdi and Jennifer Lawrence lost the Oscars to Matthew McConaughey, Jared Leto and Lupita Nyong’o)

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    Manav
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    #1204756187

    These BAFTA winners deserved the Oscar: Mulligan,Riva, Winslet,Weisz

    ~Not much active now due to a higher studies course
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    JV
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    #1204756190

    I’m getting this gut feeling about Plemons. He also made the London critics and I feel like his subtle performance might appeal to the jury.

    Me too. He reminds me of

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    James Gibson
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    #1204756225

    BAFTA jury was so brilliant for picking Clarke Peters last year. Great performance!

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    superbrats
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    #1204756310

    Plemons is good but the role doesn’t give him anything nomination worthy to do (except for maybe that one scene with Kirsten Dunst after they get married). The “problem” with his performance is not the subtlety, is that his character doesn’t get much to do and kind of goes away in the most important parts of the film.

    But this is such a weird category that I could see it happening if they really love TPOTD. Outside of Woody Norman and Troy Kotsur (if he’s not top 2) there’s no other obvious jury picks.

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    Anthony 🐜
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    #1204756377

    Plemons is good but the role doesn’t give him anything nomination worthy to do (except for maybe that one scene with Kirsten Dunst after they get married). The “problem” with his performance is not the subtlety, is that his character doesn’t get much to do and kind of goes away in the most important parts of the film.

    But this is such a weird category that I could see it happening if they really love TPOTD. Outside of Woody Norman and Troy Kotsur (if he’s not top 2) there’s no other obvious jury picks.

    It’s the BRITISH OSCARS. 10 of the 16 acting nominations went to British Actors last year, and at least 3 more that had some kind of connection to British cinema.

    It’s not that hard: British and or POC.

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    Melvinezq
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    #1204756383

    It’s the BRITISH OSCARS. 10 of the 16 acting nominations went to British Actors last year, and at least 3 more that had some kind of connection to British cinema. It’s not that hard: British and or POC.

    Mads Mikkelsen and Maria Bakalova are not British and/or POC, so spare some room for other European contenders.

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    Anthony 🐜
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    #1204756398

    Mads Mikkelsen and Maria Bakalova are not British and/or POC.

    I literally said 10 of the 16 acting nominations were British. 10.

    And Mikkelsen might not be British, but he has a strong connection to British cinema, having worked with countless British Directors and actors.

    Which is what I said initially?

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    Melvinezq
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    #1204756442

    I literally said 10 of the 16 acting nominations were British. 10. And Mikkelsen might not be British, but he has a strong connection to British cinema, having worked with countless British Directors and actors. Which is what I said initially?

    They didn’t like the first Borat, though. Not even SBC who is their guy in screenplay category, and they still gave it to Bakalova. The thing is that they will vote anyone they want to. Yeah, they will be more aware with diversity, but it does not mean they cannot vote Simon Rex or Renate Reinsve, especially in a voting small body this small.

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    estrelas
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    #1204756467

    They didn’t like the first Borat, though. Not even SBC who is their guy in screenplay category, and they still gave it to Bakalova. The thing is that they will vote anyone they want to. Yeah, they will be more aware with diversity, but it does not mean they cannot vote Simon Rex or Renate Reinsve, especially in a voting small body this small.

    He didn’t make the longlist bestie. Robbed wbk.

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    superbrats
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    #1204756512

    It’s the BRITISH OSCARS. 10 of the 16 acting nominations went to British Actors last year, and at least 3 more that had some kind of connection to British cinema. It’s not that hard: British and or POC.

    The only POC is David Alvarez and I have him in my predictions, but I don’t think it’s obvious because Mike Faist has more buzz. I think Ciaran Hinds is top 2 so he doesn’t need the jury save and I doubt they will pick Mark Rylance or Andrew Garfield just because they’re british. Maybe Jamie Dornan because Belfast seems strong for BP. So, out of the british actors, only Woody Norman is an obvious jury pick imo.

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    superbrats
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    #1204756526

    I forgot about Benicio del Toro (and I have him in my predictions lol). I also don’t think it’s that obvious because The French Dispatch didn’t get much attention from critics and guild awards so far, but it did well on the longlists so I’m betting on him for a jury pick.

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    M
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    #1204756623

    I replaced Gaga with Kidman. If HoG got in PGA yesterday I would’ve kept her. But Kidman is in better position now and seems to be the frontrunner now. But I think Thursday is a make-or-break day for Kidman’s frontrunner status as well. She needs the nomination.

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    wolfali
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    #1204756792

    With regards to the Plemons conversation I can definitely see it happen. I can see that “you are marvellous Rose” scene standing out with the jury but it also wouldn’t surprise me if The Power of the Dog just got in everywhere with the jury because of the type of film it is (even if I am cautious about Dunst getting in if she misses the top 2).

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    kamila
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    #1204756874

    I also think Plemons does some subtle work that helps flesh out Benedict’s character in the first chapter of the film. There’s not much flashy there until his scene with Dunst, but he’s still good and helps move the plot along.

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