BAFTA 2023 Film Awards (Part 2)

[String Cheese Theory Joined: Aug 16th, 2020 Topics: 8 Posts: 2107 View Predictions]

#1205250607

Best Picture

1. The Banshees of Inisherin
2. TAR
3. All Quiet on the Western Front
4. Everything Everywhere All at Once
5. Living

Best Director

1. Everything Everywhere All at Once
2. TAR
3. The Banshees of Inisherin
4. All Quiet on the Western Front
5. Women Talking
6. Aftersun

Best Actress
1. Cate Blanchett
2. Michelle Yeoh
3. Naomi Ackie
4. Danielle Deadwyler
5. Michelle Williams
6. Leslie Manville

Best Actor
1. Colin Farrell
2. Austin Butler
3. Felix Kammerer
4. Bill Nighy
5. Paul Mescal
6. Daryl McCormack

Supporting Actress

1. Kerry Condon
2. Hong Chau
3. Aimee Lou Wood
4. Dolly de Leon
5. Carey Mulligan
6. Lashana Lynch

Supporting Actor

1. Brendan Gleeson
2. Barry Keoghan
3. Micheal Ward ——- that’s how you spell it
4. Ke Huy Quan
5. Ben Wishaw
6. Albrecht Schuch

Original Screenplay

1. The Banshees of Inisherin
2. Everything Everywhere All at Once
3. TAR
4. Aftersun
5. The Menu

Adapted Screenplay

1. All Quiet on the Western Front
2. Women Talking
3. Living
4. She Said
5. The Whale

Best Casting

1. The Banshees of Inisherin
2. Aftersun
3. Everything Everywhere All at Once
4. Matilda
5. Living

Animated Feature

1. Marcel the Shell with Shoes On
2. Puss in Boots
3. Turning Red
4. Pinocchio

Here for the comedies

[Ivo Stoyanov Joined: Jun 3rd, 2015 Topics: 0 Posts: 994 View Predictions]

#1205250618

I feel that the Daniels missing directing will be the big shocker.

Banshees, Tar and All Quite were the three most voted I think, Aftersun (British sensation and critical darling) and Saint Omer(won the Grand Jury Prize and Best Debut at Venice)are almost the two locks to be saved form the juries, there are gonna be two women for sure, maybe even three. And then I see Decision to Leave (won Directing at Cannes) as the prestige pick.
In this way it is pretty similar to last year, which gives me even more assurance:

1. Titane is Decision to Leave = Titane is also international and algo won big at Cannes – Palme d’Or, both are seen as visually innovative and challenging films.
2. Happening is Saint Omer = Happening also won big at Venice (Golden Lion) and it is also a French film directed by a woman and it is also a complicated story about women.
3. Aftersun is After Love = the British debut that is sensation and critical darling.
4. Drive My Car is All Quiet on the Western Front = Both international, long as a duration movies that are acclaimed (Drive My Car even won Best Screenplay at Cannes), both are adaptations of iconic book/short stories from a book of beloved authors that are fighting for a seemingly unlikely nomination in Best Adapted Screenplay that will end up happening.
5.Licorice Pizza is The Banshees of Inisherin = Both will end up winning Best Original Screenplay, both men are adored by the Academy, McDonagh already has 4 wins out of 8 nominations, while Anderson currently has 8 nominations with its first win being last year. Both movies are locks for Picture not only here, but also at the Oscars.
6. The Power of the Dog is Tar = The critical darling of the year, the most sophisticated film. Someone may say that Everything is the critical darling, but that would be a lie, Tar is the actual favorite of the real critics and it has a sophistication that Everything seriously lacks.

[gorman Joined: Dec 24th, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 1191 View Predictions]

#1205250627

I have had a feeling recently that Todd Field could win Director here. I think Banshees will win Best Film and do very well across the board, but I’m not sure it’s so beloved that it will just dominate and win everything. I think BAFTA will go pretty big for TAR.

 

[Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 0 Posts: 10 View Predictions]

#1205250646

This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.

[Bonehead Joined: Jan 20th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 1698 View Predictions]

#1205250650

wrote:

I have a feeling Brendan Fraser might be snubbed. Thoughts?

It doesn’t help Fraser that The Whale isn’t released in the UK until February…

[ejaru1810 Joined: Sep 10th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 2744 View Predictions]

#1205250660

wrote:

I have a feeling Brendan Fraser might be snubbed. Thoughts?

I feel he won’t be top 3 but I could see the jury saving him. Same with De Armas and Deadwyler.

Performances that may not be the most popular ones but the jury will save for being great.

"EGOT" and "Triple Crown of Acting" winner: VIOLA DAVIS!!!!

[CarlosEdu Joined: Jan 16th, 2019 Topics: 1 Posts: 463 View Predictions]

#1205250716

wrote:

I have a feeling Brendan Fraser might be snubbed. Thoughts?

It feels weird but I’m not predicting him while I’m predicting Hong Chau.

[estrelas Joined: Jul 25th, 2018 Topics: 1 Posts: 6824 View Predictions]

#1205250722

CarlosEdu wrote:

It feels weird but I’m not predicting him while I’m predicting Hong Chau.

I don’t think it’s weird. It could be another Olivia Colman/Jessie Buckley for The Lost Daughter type of situation.

[CarlosEdu Joined: Jan 16th, 2019 Topics: 1 Posts: 463 View Predictions]

#1205250748

I wonder if Tom Cruise could be top 3 here, especially if Top Gun: Maverick overperfoms there like Don’t Look Up did last year with Leonardo DiCaprio in this category (and he was probably top 2).

[estrelas Joined: Jul 25th, 2018 Topics: 1 Posts: 6824 View Predictions]

#1205250750

ivostoyanov wrote:

I feel that the Daniels missing directing will be the big shocker. Banshees, Tar and All Quite were the three most voted I think, Aftersun (British sensation and critical darling) and Saint Omer(won the Grand Jury Prize and Best Debut at Venice)are almost the two locks to be saved form the juries, there are gonna be two women for sure, maybe even three. And then I see Decision to Leave (won Directing at Cannes) as the prestige pick. In this way it is pretty similar to last year, which gives me even more assurance: 1. Titane is Decision to Leave = Titane is also international and algo won big at Cannes – Palme d’Or, both are seen as visually innovative and challenging films. 2. Happening is Saint Omer = Happening also won big at Venice (Golden Lion) and it is also a French film directed by a woman and it is also a complicated story about women. 3. Aftersun is After Love = the British debut that is sensation and critical darling. 4. Drive My Car is All Quiet on the Western Front = Both international, long as a duration movies that are acclaimed (Drive My Car even won Best Screenplay at Cannes), both are adaptations of iconic book/short stories from a book of beloved authors that are fighting for a seemingly unlikely nomination in Best Adapted Screenplay that will end up happening. 5.Licorice Pizza is The Banshees of Inisherin = Both will end up winning Best Original Screenplay, both men are adored by the Academy, McDonagh already has 4 wins out of 8 nominations, while Anderson currently has 8 nominations with its first win being last year. Both movies are locks for Picture not only here, but also at the Oscars. 6. The Power of the Dog is Tar = The critical darling of the year, the most sophisticated film. Someone may say that Everything is the critical darling, but that would be a lie, Tar is the actual favorite of the real critics and it has a sophistication that Everything seriously lacks.

These are actually quite good comparisons/explanations. I would, however, like to remind you only the top2 with the membership will make the Director lineup, unlike the acting categories. Also, AQOTWF is nowhere near as acclaimed as Drive My Car. In fact, the movie performed extremely poorly with critics overall. It’s definitely more of an industry darling than critics.

[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 246 Posts: 37631 View Predictions]

#1205250805

wrote:

I have a feeling Brendan Fraser might be snubbed. Thoughts?

I have him missing because I just honestly can’t find room for him. Farrell and Mescal feel like they’re solid, Butler feels like he could be top 3 if we’re going by last year’s results and the correlation between strongest best film contenders and the top 2 in the acting categories, McCormack has a very jury friendly performance and a very jury friendly profile in a very jury friendly film…

If Fraser gets in then I think he’s either top 3 here or the jury pick him over someone like Nighy but I feel like a jury will be kinder towards Living and his narrative than they will The Whale and Fraser’s (even though Fraser has never been nominated before whilst Nighy is a 2 time winner).

FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.

[NevadaR Joined: Jan 13th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 648 View Predictions]

#1205250818

Davis doesn’t seem like a jury pick at all based on the role. Surprised that so many are predicting her. Is it because of the diversity factor? Because that’s not everything when that jury picks the nominees.

Or you think she’s top 3?

[Freeman_DC3 Joined: Nov 4th, 2022 Topics: 1 Posts: 167 View Predictions]

#1205250820

Why do people think Brendan will miss?

[Manav Joined: Dec 21st, 2019 Topics: 61 Posts: 6716 View Predictions]

#1205250836

Honestly having a hard time thinking who the jury will pick between Emma Thompson and Leslie Manville.

[estrelas Joined: Jul 25th, 2018 Topics: 1 Posts: 6824 View Predictions]

#1205250855

Manav wrote:

Honestly having a hard time thinking who the jury will pick between Emma Thompson and Leslie Manville.

Emma Thompson is like the most obvious jury pick to me after Danielle Deadwyler. Looking at that longlist, I would be a bit surprised if she didn’t make it. She also hasn’t been nominated for a BAFTA in almost 10 years.