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BAFTA Film Awards 2018 Predictions

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  • sofan
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    #1202444498

    lol. People are forgetting Huppert for Elle and Min Hee-Kim for The Handmaiden (BAFTA is the last place it can get something major,and they are the type of show that would award it).

    I hope you are right cause both of those performances are better than most of the frontrunners this year.

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    Hunter-ish
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    #1202444511

    Let’s just imagine for a second that Get Out is definitely winning best picture. In this reality where it happens. Is it necessary that it gets nominated for best picture at BAFTA?

    The last Best Picture winner not to be nominated at BAFTA (and only in last 20 years) was Million Dollar Baby but that came out late in the UK so was completely shut out. Get Out doesn’t have that problem. If it’s winning Picture it should be getting nominated here.

    What is it’s general reception in England? I’m assuming it near as popular and a hit as in America but was it generally popular in England? I have a hard time seeing it do well at BAFTA

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    forwardswill
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    #1202444615

    What is it’s general reception in England? I’m assuming it near as popular and a hit as in America but was it generally popular in England? I have a hard time seeing it do well at BAFTA

    Box office wise it did fairly well (nearly $13mil) but was certainly not a breakout hit by any means. Comparable films (if there are any) like Split did slightly better where they did worse than it in the US. British critics also liked it quite a lot- Guardian gave 5 stars, Telegraph and Empire both gave 4. So it wouldn’t be a complete surprise but I’d say if it gets nominated it will be a repercussion of its reception in the US and on the awards circuit thus far than because it has any significant buzz in the UK.

    FYC Gold Derby TV Awards: Michelle Dockery - Movie/Limited Series Actress. Claire Foy - Performer of the Year.

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    forwardswill
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    #1202444667

    Penultimate Predictions

    Best Film
    1. Dunkirk
    2. Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
    3. Call Me by Your Name
    4. The Shape of Water
    5. Lady Bird
    (Alt: The Post)

    Best Director
    1. Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk)
    2. Martin McDonagh (Three Billboards)
    3. Luca Guadagnino (Call Me by Your Name)
    4. Sean Baker (The Florida Project)
    5. Steven Spielberg (The Post)
    (Alt: Guillermo Del Toro, The Shape of Water)

    Best Actor
    1. Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour)
    2. Timothee Chalamet (Call Me by Your Name)
    3. Daniel Day-Lewis (Phantom Thread)
    4. James Franco (The Disaster Artist)
    5. Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out)
    (Alt: Jamie Bell, Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool)

    Best Actress
    1. Frances McDormand (Three Billboards)
    2. Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water)
    3. Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird)
    4. Judi Dench (Victoria and Abdul)
    5. Meryl Streep (The Post)
    (Alt: Isabelle Huppert, Elle)

    Best Supporting Actor
    1. Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project)
    2. Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards)
    3. Richard Jenkins (The Shape of Water)
    4. Armie Hammer (Call Me by Your Name)
    5. Mark Rylance (Dunkirk)
    (Alt: Michael Stuhlbarg, Call Me by Your Name)

    Best Supporting Actress
    1. Lesley Manville (Phantom Thread)
    2. Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird)
    3. Holly Hunter (The Big Sick)
    4. Julie Walters (Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool)
    5. Allison Janney (I, Tonya)
    (Alt: Carey Mulligan, Mudbound)

    Outstanding British Film
    1. Dunkirk
    2. Darkest Hour
    3. Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri (think it’s eligible)
    4. Gods Own Country
    5. Lady Macbeth
    6. Paddington 2
    (Alt: The Death of Stalin)

    Original Screenplay
    1. Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
    2. Get Out
    3. Lady Bird
    4. The Shape of Water
    5. The Post
    (Alt: Phantom Thread)

    Adapted Screenplay
    1. Call Me by Your Name
    2. The Death of Stalin
    3. Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool
    4. Paddington 2
    5. Lady Macbeth
    (Alt: The Disaster Artist)

    FYC Gold Derby TV Awards: Michelle Dockery - Movie/Limited Series Actress. Claire Foy - Performer of the Year.

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    seberko
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    #1202444883

    How will Lady Bird do here? I don’t believe it opens in the UK until mid-February. I doubt Gerwig will get a directing nom, but could it get a Best Film nomination?

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    MultipleOscarWinner
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    #1202444918

    Seeing that a lot of people are mentioning Huppert and it’d be great to see her nominated (that performance!) but usually when actors compete at the BAFTAs one year after their movie releases in the US, they’re usually the winners of their categories at the Oscars, so I don’t see her happening (though McDormand is the most likely to be snubbed and could take her spot. I don’t know how people don’t see that). I can’t wait for what they’ll opt in the supporting categories, since they love to throw in unexpected, out of nowhere nominees there.

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    forwardswill
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    #1202445050

    How will Lady Bird do here? I don’t believe it opens in the UK until mid-February. I doubt Gerwig will get a directing nom, but could it get a Best Film nomination?

    I think both it and Shape of Water mimic Moonlight and get Film as buzz is enough to carry it but lose out in Director because of their release dates.

    FYC Gold Derby TV Awards: Michelle Dockery - Movie/Limited Series Actress. Claire Foy - Performer of the Year.

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    forwardswill
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    #1202445053

    though McDormand is the most likely to be snubbed and could take her spot. I don’t know how people don’t see that

    Definitely not true. Three Billboards has so much critical buzz in the UK having led the London Critics Circle and UK Independent Film Awards. If it counts as a British Film at BAFTA, there’s no chance they don’t shower it with noms. Hawkins and Ronan aren’t locks because they’re British/Irish. Just ask Charlotte Rampling.

    FYC Gold Derby TV Awards: Michelle Dockery - Movie/Limited Series Actress. Claire Foy - Performer of the Year.

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    sofan
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    #1202445126

    Seeing that a lot of people are mentioning Huppert and it’d be great to see her nominated (that performance!) but usually when actors compete at the BAFTAs one year after their movie releases in the US, they’re usually the winners of their categories at the Oscars, so I don’t see her happening

    BAFTA has a chance to right the wrong Oscars did, they should take this chance and move with it.

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    Sagand
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    #1202445133

    Outstanding British Film
    1. Dunkirk
    2. Darkest Hour
    3. Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri (think it’s eligible)
    4. Gods Own Country
    5. Lady Macbeth
    6. Paddington 2
    (Alt: The Death of Stalin)

    Three Billboards is definitely eligible. What isn’t eligible is Dunkirk. (https://www.screendaily.com/features/baftas-2018-which-titles-are-in-the-running-for-outstanding-british-film/5125126.article) It would have been eligible but filmmakers have chosen to opt out. (Assumingly to avoid getting British Film as a consolation prize.)

    Three Billboards is going to be big at Bafta no doubt in my mind about that. No chance McDormand gets snubbed, I’d be a little surprised if she didn’t win her first Bafta (she lost for to Brenda Blethyn for Secrets & Lies when she was in the running for Fargo).

    Isabelle Huppert is the kind of thing I could see happening if Bafta had preferential voting for nominations, but with the whole of Bafta voting for acting nominations and not much incentive for a full campaign I don’t see her making it. Elle will get in for FNITEL and should probably be favourite for that prize.

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    forwardswill
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    #1202445226

    Three Billboards is definitely eligible. What isn’t eligible is Dunkirk. (https://www.screendaily.com/features/baftas-2018-which-titles-are-in-the-running-for-outstanding-british-film/5125126.article) It would have been eligible but filmmakers have chosen to opt out. (Assumingly to avoid getting British Film as a consolation prize.)

    This is mind-blowing. I can’t remember a film ever choosing to opt-out before. Clearly they think they have the big prize basically in the bag which is such a mistake. Dunkirk would have easily won both awards but now it’s trying to claim it’s not British the whole illusion around it being a British cinematic triumph of the type that BAFTA love to reward (i.e. The King’s Speech) is lost.

    New predictions:
    -Three Billboards
    -Darkest Hour
    -Paddington 2
    -Gods Own Country
    -Lady Macbeth
    -I Am Not a Witch
    (Alt: The Death of Stalin)

    FYC Gold Derby TV Awards: Michelle Dockery - Movie/Limited Series Actress. Claire Foy - Performer of the Year.

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    Sagand
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    #1202445307

    I don’t know if it’s still the case, but it used to be basically if you were British enough to get tax credits from the British government you were British enough to qualify for British film. (I think they tightened the rules last year so that at least one producer had to be British.)

    But when that was the case things like Star Wars and The Avengers used to not compete in British Film which makes sense as they are almost entirely American products that come to Britain for the tax breaks and VX. I believe ’12 Years A Slave’ could have competed too, but again an American story.

    Dunkirk is unique in being a British story, a cast of Brits, directed by a Brit at a British production company not competing for British Film. There is no rationale other than being tactical. I still think Dunkirk will win Best Film (with Three Billboards winning BF) although I would laugh if Three Billboards won both.

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    EmmyWinner
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    #1202445325

    I had no idea Nolan was british.

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    Stegeo
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    #1202448264

    Best Supporting Actress

    • Allison Janney – I, Tonya
    • Lesley Manville – Phantom Thread
    • Laurie Metcalf – Lady Bird
    • Carey Mulligan – Mudbound
    • Kristin Scott Thomas – Darkest Hour
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    Brayden Fitzsimmons
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    #1202448666

    Best Film

    Dunkirk
    Get Out
    Lady Bird
    Paddington 2
    Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri
    (Alt: Call Me By Your Name)

    Outstanding British Film

    Darkest Hour
    The Death of Stalin
    Gods Own Country
    Paddington 2
    Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri
    (Alt: T2 Trainspotting)

    Director

    Luca Guadagnino – Call Me By Your Name
    Martin McDonaugh – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri
    Christopher Nolan – Dunkirk
    Jordan Peele – Get Out
    Joe Wright – Darkest Hour

    Actor

    Timothee Chalamet – Call Me By Your Name
    James Franco – The Disaster Artist
    Daniel Kaluuya – Get Out
    Daniel Day Lewis – Phantom Thread
    Gary Oldman – Darkest Hour
    (Alt: Josh O’Connor – God’s Own Country)

    Actress

    Sally Hawkins – The Shape of Water
    Isabelle Huppert – Elle
    Frances McDormand – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri
    Saoirse Ronan – Lady Bird
    Meryl Streep – The Post
    (Alt: Carey Mulligan – Mudbound)

    Supporting Actor

    Willem Dafoe – The Florida Project
    Armie Hammer – Call Me By Your Name
    Woody Harrleson – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri
    Mark Rylance – Dunkirk
    Patrick Stewart – Logan
    (Alt: Michael Stuhlbarg – Call Me By Your Mame)

    Supporting Actress

    Mary J. Blige – Mudbound
    Allison Janney – I, Tonya
    Lesley Manville – Phantom Thread
    Laurie Metcalf – Lady Bird
    Kristin Scott Thomas – Darkest Hour
    (Alt: Catherine Keener – Get Out)

    Adapted Screenplay

    Call Me By Your Name
    The Death of Stalin
    The Disaster Artist
    Paddington 2
    T2 Trainspotting
    (Alt: Film Stars Don’t Die In Liverpool)

    Original Screenplay

    Get Out
    God’s Own Country
    Lady Bird
    Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri
    The Post
    (Alt: Phantom Thread)

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