BAFTA Longlist Reactions.

[almanzarlamarcarlile Joined: Jul 27th, 2020 Topics: 18 Posts: 4019 View Predictions]

#1204724403

Something interesting I noticed:

Youngest performer last year in each longlist
Best Actress: Bukky Bakray
Nomniated: yes

Best Actor: Adarash Gourav
Nominated: yes

Best Supporting Actress: Helena Zengel
Nominated: no

Best Supporting Actor: Alan Kim
Nominated: yes

This year, the youngest performers in each category are Emilia Jones (there’s less than a year between her and Zegler), Cooper Hoffman, Anya Taylor-Joy and Woody Norman. I’m a bit hesitant to predict Anya because of the reception her film got and she’s not really an unknown like the nominees were last year. However, I think I will predict the other three.

Johnny Depp is a wifebeater.

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[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 215 Posts: 32910 View Predictions]

#1204724413

I don’t think Cooper Hoffman happens here. Whilst Licorice Pizza strikes me as something that could do decently with a jury there doesn’t really seem to be much passion behind his performance. He may be a newcomer but so was Helena Zengel last year and she had a performance that had more standout notices.

I do agree about Jones and Norman though. I have the latter in my predictions.

FYC:

"The Good Fight", "The Other Two" and "Station Eleven" in all categories, Sarah Lancashire ("Julia"), William Jackson Harper ("Love Life") and Luke Kirby ("The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel")

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[Couverture Joined: Jun 16th, 2019 Topics: 1 Posts: 1656 View Predictions]

#1204724416

Doing both Zegler and Norman atm. While I wasn’t looking at it statistically, I did think diversity in terms of age is something the juries keep in mind.

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[Stefania Joined: Feb 22nd, 2021 Topics: 1 Posts: 1354 View Predictions]

#1204724479

Who do you think will get Best Supporting Actor nomination? I have Smith-McPhee and Kotsur (top 2) and Ciarán Hinds, Woody Norman, Mike Faist and David Alvarez as jury picks.

In particular, do you think that the jury will pick Alvarez for diversity over someone else?

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[estrelas Joined: Jul 25th, 2018 Topics: 1 Posts: 5459 View Predictions]

#1204724571

Stefania wrote:

Who do you think will get Best Supporting Actor nomination? I have Smith-McPhee and Kotsur (top 2) and Ciarán Hinds, Woody Norman, Mike Faist and David Alvarez as jury picks.

In particular, do you think that the jury will pick Alvarez for diversity over someone else?

I don’t think Kotsur was top2 when Marlee Matlin couldn’t even crack the Supporting Actress longlist. I think Ciaran was to2 with Kodi. Then I have Troy Kotsur, Mike Faist, Benicio Del Toro and Woody Norman as jury picks.

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[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 215 Posts: 32910 View Predictions]

#1204724610

What I think really helps the West Side Story boys here is that whilst their film isn’t exactly something I can imagine a jury going over the top for, both Alvarez and Faist are essentially newcomers with showy performances.

I don’t think I’d even have considered either of them in a field like last year’s but considering how eight of their competitors for the nomination in this category are Hollywood stars with cameo performances or mixed received performances in big studio films and failed Oscar baits… I think the chances of at least one of them making it in with a jury are looking quite strong at the moment.

FYC:

"The Good Fight", "The Other Two" and "Station Eleven" in all categories, Sarah Lancashire ("Julia"), William Jackson Harper ("Love Life") and Luke Kirby ("The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel")

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[lorelei lor Joined: Dec 20th, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 661 View Predictions]

#1204724632

Top2 at BAFTA is obviously Smit-McPhee and Hinds. As for the WSS boys I don’t think both of them are getting in but with the jury I would bet on Alvarez I guess.

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[estrelas Joined: Jul 25th, 2018 Topics: 1 Posts: 5459 View Predictions]

#1204724682

I need to watch West Side Story, to have a better opinion on Alvarez. Cause, right now, I have no idea what to do with him. Especially when Faist is the one sucking up all the acclaim and buzz of the suporting guys.

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[nevkm Joined: Jan 3rd, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 878 View Predictions]

#1204724721

estrelas wrote:

I need to watch West Side Story, to have a better opinion on Alvarez. Cause, right now, I have no idea what to do with him. Especially when Faist is the one sucking up all the acclaim and buzz of the suporting guys.

My instinct is like ‘go with Faist’ but at the same time…that JURY. So I don’t know either.

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[forwardswill Joined: Apr 9th, 2013 Topics: 13 Posts: 3013 View Predictions]

#1204724980

Just seen that Critics Choice have put themselves on the same day as this. Really hope all the nominated talent picks this instead as a big fuck you because honestly how ridiculous.

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[snowball Joined: Nov 20th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 177 View Predictions]

#1204725085

I think top 2 is pretty obvious in Actor and the supporting categories but what do you think about Actress. Colman and… ?

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[m_butterfly Joined: Feb 3rd, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 251 View Predictions]

#1204725106

They really liked HoG could be Gaga. I don’t follow the british film industry closely and I only know her from TV but could Joanna Scanlan be number 2?

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[estrelas Joined: Jul 25th, 2018 Topics: 1 Posts: 5459 View Predictions]

#1204725111

snowball wrote:

I think top 2 is pretty obvious in Actor and the supporting categories but what do you think about Actress. Colman and… ?

I don’t think Supporting Actress is that obvious tbh. And the second Actress in the top2 will only be known on nominations day.

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[FilmRoyalty Joined: Oct 5th, 2011 Topics: 63 Posts: 2655 View Predictions]

#1204725123

I thought Alvarez was just as good as Faist.

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[almanzarlamarcarlile Joined: Jul 27th, 2020 Topics: 18 Posts: 4019 View Predictions]

#1204725138

I feel like the Jude Hill snub confirms DeBose and Dunst are the top 2 for supporting actress.

Johnny Depp is a wifebeater.

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