Home Forums Movies Below The Line Predictions

Below The Line Predictions

CREATE A NEW TOPIC
CREATE A NEW POLL
Viewing 15 posts - 1 through 15 (of 118 total)
Created
8 months ago
Last Reply
8 months ago
117
( +1 hidden )
replies
12587
views
33
users
Gabriel Guarin
30
John Berchmans
22
Riley Chow
13
  • Profile picture
    The Cool Guy
    Joined:
    Jan 16th, 2017
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1203294150

    With the Picture race narrowing down to 1917 vs Parasite, and the acting races looking like guarantees what are your predictions below the line?

    Reply
    Profile picture
    John Berchmans
    Joined:
    Jan 22nd, 2018
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1203294183

    There’s some categories here that are super up in he air and others that feel almost locked. I’ll put the locked categories in bold.

    Best Cinematography: 1917

    Best Film Editing: Ford v Ferrari

    Best Production Design: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

    Best Costume Design: Little Women

    Best Makeup and Hairstyling: Joker

    Best Original Score: Joker

    Best Original Song: Stand Up

    Best Sound Mixing: 1917

    Best Sound Editing: 1917

    Best Visual Effects: The Irishman

    Best Animated Feature: Toy Story 4

    Best International Film: Parasite

    Stream After Hours and In Your Eyes (Remix)

    ReplyCopy URL
    Profile picture
    Asgaroth
    Joined:
    Nov 1st, 2012
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1203294185

    Cinematography: 1917 (alt: none)
    Editing: Parasite (alt: Ford v Ferrari)
    Production design: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood (alt: 1917)
    Costume design: Little Women (alt: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood)
    Make-Up and Hair-styling: Bombshell (alt: Joker)
    Sound mixing: 1917 (alt: none)
    Sound editing: 1917 (alt: none)
    Visual Effects: Avengers Endgame (alt: The Lion King)
    Original score: Joker (alt: 1917)
    Original song: Rocketman (alt: Harriet)

    ReplyCopy URL
    Profile picture
    Gabriel Guarin
    Joined:
    Feb 23rd, 2017
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1203294207

    Best Cinematography: 1917

    Best Film Editing: Parasite

    Best Production Design: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

    Best Costume Design: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

    Best Makeup and Hairstyling: Joker

    Best Original Score: Joker

    Best Original Song: Stand Up

    Best Sound Mixing: 1917

    Best Sound Editing: 1917

    Best Visual Effects: The Irishman

    Best Animated Feature: Toy Story 4

    Best International Film: Parasite

    ReplyCopy URL
    Profile picture
    Dr. Manhattan
    Joined:
    Dec 7th, 2015
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1203294213

    I’m genuinely curious: why is everyone convinced that Joker is a lock for Score? I ask because Thomas Newman is seriously overdue and, as we’ve seen with the recent wins for Kevin O’Connell and Roger Deakins, the IOU factor matters, even with the below-the-line categories.

    I know that Guðnadóttir won at the Globes and at Critic’s Choice, but those really aren’t the strongest precursors. I mean, Justin Hurwitz won both awards last year for First Man but then lost out on an Oscar nomination.

    On the other hand, this is Newman’s fifteenth Oscar nomination and, if he loses this one, he would have one of the longest losing streaks in Oscar history. So I genuinely want to understand everyone’s conviction in Guðnadóttir.

    ReplyCopy URL
    Profile picture
    John Berchmans
    Joined:
    Jan 22nd, 2018
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1203294230

    First Man is also the only film in the last decade to win both of these and not win the Oscar though, and that’s probably because was a minor film that struck out on nomination morning, missing out on a lot of categories people thought it was locked into (it also won multiple Editing precursors and failed to get nominated at the Oscars. Joker has 11 nominations including Picture, so it’s not the same situation.

    The other reason is that Thomas Newman had never won at the Globes either, and was overdue there too (not sure about Critic’s Choice, can’t find the statistics on that one). But he still lost there. I actually loved his score in 1917 and thought any other year it would easily be my favorite of the year (except for maybe 2015: Inside Out was robbed that year). Sadly Thomas Newman seems to have really bad luck at the Oscars, always getting pitted against better and more worthy scores.

    Stream After Hours and In Your Eyes (Remix)

    ReplyCopy URL
    Profile picture
    Riley Chow
    Joined:
    Oct 11th, 2010
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1203294238

    I just switched to Parasite for editing since it won ACE, actually deserves it and Ford v Ferrari could not even win SAG stunts.

    ReplyCopy URL
    Profile picture
    Dr. Manhattan
    Joined:
    Dec 7th, 2015
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1203294245

    On Editing, are Parasite‘s chances at winning impeded by the fact that it was snubbed for a nomination at BAFTA? (I sure hope not.)

    ReplyCopy URL
    Profile picture
    John Berchmans
    Joined:
    Jan 22nd, 2018
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1203294248

    I just switched to Parasite for editing since it won ACE, actually deserves it and Ford v Ferrari could not even win SAG stunts.

    Oh damn, I didn’t even think of that. Yeah, the support for FvF seems pretty low right now. I still have it winning Editing for now, but with 1917 taking the sound categories I think it’ll probably come down to The Irishman vs Parasite in that category.

    Stream After Hours and In Your Eyes (Remix)

    ReplyCopy URL
    Profile picture
    JackO
    Joined:
    Jun 2nd, 2011
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1203294273

    Cinematography: 1917
    Editing_ Parasite
    Production Design: 1917
    Costume Design: Once Upon a Time
    Makeup: Joker
    Score: 1917
    Song: Rocketman
    Sound Editing: 1917
    Sound Mixing: 1917
    VFX: 1917

    ReplyCopy URL
    Profile picture
    Gabriel Guarin
    Joined:
    Feb 23rd, 2017
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1203294292

    I’m genuinely curious: why is everyone convinced that Joker is a lock for Score? I ask because Thomas Newman is seriously overdue and, as we’ve seen with the recent wins for Kevin O’Connell and Roger Deakins, the IOU factor matters, even with the below-the-line categories. I know that Guðnadóttir won at the Globes and at Critic’s Choice, but those really aren’t the strongest precursors. I mean, Justin Hurwitz won both awards last year for First Man but then lost out on an Oscar nomination. On the other hand, this is Newman’s fifteenth Oscar nomination and, if he loses this one, he would have one of the longest losing streaks in Oscar history. So I genuinely want to understand everyone’s conviction in Guðnadóttir.

    They probably feel Guðnadóttir’s score is the more traditional Oscar-winning score. But yeah, Thomas Newman can absolutely still win this. He needs BAFTA though.

    ReplyCopy URL
    Profile picture
    The Cool Guy
    Joined:
    Jan 16th, 2017
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1203294298

    Costume Design-Little Women(or Once)

    Production Design-Once Upon a Time in Hollywood(Or 1917)

    Makeup & Hairstyling-Bombshell(Or Joker)

    Cinematography-1917(Or Hell Froze Over)

    Film Editing-Ford v. Ferrari(or Parasite)

    Sound Editing-1917(Or Ford v. Ferrari)

    Sound Mixing-1917(Or Ford v. Ferrari)

    Visual Effects-1917(Or The Irishman)

    Original Score-Joker(Or 1917)

    Original Song-Rocketman(Or Harriet)

    ReplyCopy URL
    Profile picture
    Crimsonmonkfht
    Joined:
    Jan 1st, 2020
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1203294302

    In the technicals I think the academy will bend over backwards to award the tech that “thematically” help their respective movie (aka Ex Machina for visual effects). Literally everyone who saw Parasite walked out of that movie talking about the Park family’s house. No other set from any of the other nominees gets talked about as part of the story like that. I think it will upset in production design if Neon keep reminding people about that house and how they built and flood the poor neighborhood themselves.

    ReplyCopy URL
    Profile picture
    Gabriel Guarin
    Joined:
    Feb 23rd, 2017
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1203294312

    On Editing, are Parasite‘s chances at winning impeded by the fact that it was snubbed for a nomination at BAFTA? (I sure hope not.)

    It really depends. We’ll have to see what wins BAFTA.

    ReplyCopy URL
    Profile picture
    Riley Chow
    Joined:
    Oct 11th, 2010
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1203294668

    I would not say that it is different from BAFTA snubbing Black Panther in three races for which it went on to win the Oscar.

    ReplyCopy URL
Viewing 15 posts - 1 through 15 (of 118 total)

You must be logged in to reply to this topic.

Similar Topics
Stank83 - Sep 29, 2020
Movies
Chris B... - Sep 29, 2020
Movies
ENGLAND - Sep 28, 2020
Movies