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Best Actress 2020 Oscar Predictions (Part 3)

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  • Victor Cruz
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    Are you saying that minority will only be nominated to fill a quota?

    No. This years all those ladies are fighting for the fifth spot because their films are either non factor or have gotten mixed reviews.

    Bee
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    No. This years all those ladies are fighting for the fifth spot because their films are either non factor or have gotten mixed reviews.

    So Us and The Farewell, which were critically successful are non-factors even if they were to contend in Screenplay, but Bombshell (which is nothing beyond acting) and Little Women (unseen) are better just cause? Hell, even Judy itself is a non factor of a film and will only get one nod.

    TheDreamingHead
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    #1203083555

    So Us and The Farewell, which were critically successful are non-factors even if they were to contend in Screenplay, but Bombshell (which is nothing beyond acting) and Little Women (unseen) are better just cause? Hell, even Judy itself is a non factor of a film and will only get one nod.

    Because apparently, POC actresses can’t deliver a more worthy performance than these white women and only serve as fillers

    Tyler
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    #1203083590

    So Us and The Farewell, which were critically successful are non-factors even if they were to contend in Screenplay, but Bombshell (which is nothing beyond acting) and Little Women (unseen) are better just cause? Hell, even Judy itself is a non factor of a film and will only get one nod.

    the boards have confidence in Bombshell as an across the board player and Charlize is a lock despite us literally knowing nothing and the few reports we have heard not being very positive.

    bellajoe
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    Guys stop getting nasty with one another, this season everyone on here seems so much more rude. What is a racial quota? We all know Lupita is deserving… I will say the actresses of color are all contending for that last spot (because I do not currently predict Little Women and Bombshell will flop) but there are a multitude of reasoning for all of this.

    Lupita/Us: Lupita would likely be Us’ sole nomination, a la Renee. (Unless they get in for score too.) but Lupita does not have the same ‘narrative’ as Renee. She was by far the greatest aspect of that movie, and a nomination would be 100% warranted, but is it likely?

    Awkwafina/The Farewell: I currently have Awkwafina in right now because unlike many, I don’t think The Farewell is a non-factor just yet. Especially if 1917, Little Women, and/or Bombshell flop, if Jojo Rabbit, Ford v Ferrari, and/or Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood fizzle out, that leaves a spot for Farewell in picture, and if it gets picture, Awkwafina’s chances are much better.

    Alfre/Clemency: This has already been discussed a lot, but this movie is nowhere close to a nomination in any other category, plus similarities to Just Mercy (both films being about death row injustice) will be raised. The movie was also received very mixed. Anyone who has seen one of her projects knows she will deliver a worthy performance, but I highly doubt her nomination.

    Erivo/Harriet: Similar to Judy, Us, and Clemency, Erivo would probably be Harriet’s only nomination. I don’t see it getting into any of the tech categories, as it looks very TV movie to me. It could get song though, which could boost Erivo, but even then, her performance wasn’t unanimously praised, like Renee’s was.

    Saoirse/Little Women: Little Women is Greta Gerwig’s highly anticipated second film, which is currently projected to make a big impact in awards season (Picture, screenplay, director, supporting actress, maybe more.) So as of right now, it makes sense to predict Saoirse and not one of the other discussed actresses. Once the film releases, this could ALL change. If little women ends up being a Harriet or an Us, I could definitely see Erivo or Lupita taking that place, seeing as though Saoirse doesn’t have a whole lot of range.

    Theron/Bombshell: the hardest prediction. SO first and foremost, the subject matter of this film is very timely and very important, Theron is doing a transformative role, and she’s an Oscar winner already. Many seem sure she and Robbie will be nominated, and are waiting for the reactions before predicting it in categories like Picture or Screenplay.

    So I believe that is why people seem to be predicting 4 white actresses over the women of color. To me, Scarjo is the only 100% lock. Ranking by likelihood:

    1) Scarlett Johansson

    2) Saoirse Ronan*

    3) Renee Zellweger

    4) Charlize Theron*

    5) Awkwafina

    ————————-

    6) Lupita Nyong’o*

    7) Cynthia Erivo*

    8) Alfre Woodard

     

    *could flop, thus Nyong’o and Erivo would take those positions.

    Seven
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    Because apparently, POC actresses can’t deliver a more worthy performance than these white women and only serve as fillers

    Right. I can’t think of a single POC whose nomination/win hasn’t been degraded to some kind of “affirmative action” or “quota”. I’m legit sick of these kind of comments

    Why U So Obsessed?
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    #1203083655

    1) Zellweger has the best performance, but a bad movie that will only get 1 nomination and potentially will flop at the BO.

    2) Scarjo has a soft performance in a Netflix film that’s top 3 BP contender.

    3) Theron will have the second best performance and the transformation of the year in a movie that could get 3-8 nominations.

    4) Ronan will have the Ronan Academy friendly performance.

    5) Diversity nom ( Awkwafina, Lupita, Cynthia Erivo, Alfre Woodard)

    #5 is the reason why I say some GD users have an undercurrent of racism.

    “The best way to make someone feel small, is to not say anything to them at all” —>clicks ignore button

    Babygirl
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    5) Diversity nom ( Awkwafina, Lupita, Cynthia Erivo, Alfre Woodard)

    Yikes.

    Faux architect
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    #5 is the reason why I say some GD users have an undercurrent of racism.

    The actual problem is the racism in the voting body. As difficult as it sounds, the post was accurate on how they vote.

    Pantheon of acting: Uta / Elizabeth / Richard / Sandy (Virginia Woolf), Bibi / Liv (Persona), Jodie (Killing Eve), Eva (Penny Dreadful), Timothée (CMBYN), Lupita (Us)

    ENGLAND
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    The actual problem is the racism in the voting body. As difficult as it sounds, the post was accurate on how they vote.

    You must have been gone during the Golden Globes ceremony. The amount of racist comments on here towards Blacks was ridiculously horrific. There are multiple racist members on here.

    • This reply was modified 4 months, 1 week ago by  ENGLAND.
    • This reply was modified 4 months, 1 week ago by  ENGLAND.
    ENGLAND
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    #1203083710

    It’s crazy that ScarJo will likely get an Oscar nomination before Emily Blunt. ScarJo took over as Black Widow in the MCU once Blunt dropped out, and that role has made Scarlett a global superstar. Many believed that Blunt would continue to find success, especially with critics and awards, but now it looks like Johansson will beat Blunt to an Oscar nomination as well.

    I wonder how Blunt HONESTLY feels about this.

    Foolio
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    #1203083714

    It’s crazy that ScarJo will likely get an Oscar nomination before Emily Blunt. ScarJo took over as Black Widow in the MCU once Blunt dropped out, and that role has made Scarlett a global superstar. Many believed that Blunt would continue to find success, especially with critics and awards, but now it looks like Johansson will beat Blunt to an Oscar nomination as well.

    I wonder how Blunt HONESTLY feels about this.

    I doubt Emily Blunt loses any sleep over Scarlett Johansson being nominated. They’re not even outright competitors in any particularly meaningful sense.

    Also, both are way overdue for a nomination, but Johansson has been around – and on top – longer.

    Anonymous
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    This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.
    Victor Cruz
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    The actual problem is the racism in the voting body. As difficult as it sounds, the post was accurate on how they vote.

    Exactly. Thank you! Why would I be racist if I’m a minority myself? but that was also the point of the post. It’s actually Academy members thinking process as harsh as it sounds.

    • This reply was modified 4 months, 1 week ago by  Victor Cruz.
    • This reply was modified 4 months, 1 week ago by  Victor Cruz.
    madeline
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    Zellweger is the one to beat. Everyone is obsessed with her mesmerizing, authentic & nuanced performance (and rightly so!).  Go watch her new ELLEN interview. She’s the coolest/sweetest and Ellen tells her that she’s the Oscar front-runner.

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