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Best Actress Predictions (Part 14)

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    Chris Beachum
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    Continue the discussion in Part 14.

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    Victor Cruz
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    The four white girls and the diversity.

    1. Zellweger
    2. Johansson
    3. Theron
    4. Ronan

    5.Nyong’o vs Erivo vs AWkwardfina

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    linecelts
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    To answer the last person’s question, SHUT UP!

    I really don’t do early predictions, when the actual nominations comes out, that’s when I make my predictions

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    abelfenty
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    1. Johansson
    2. Zellweger
    3. Theron
    4. Nyong’o
    5. Awkwafina

    6. Ronan
    7. Erivo

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    linecelts
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    I have Lupita as #1 in my SAG awards prediction NOW. Look again

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    Rowan
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    Erivo hitting SAG and the Globes, with Nyong’o missing the globes, makes me think the lineup is Johansson/Zellweger/Theron/Erivo with Ronan and Nyong’o fighting for the last slot, and I’d give the edge to Ronan. I think Erivo’s being underestimated in terms of how likely her nomination is.

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    cinetastic
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    1. Renée Zellweger
    2. Charlize Theron
    3. Scarlett Johansson
    4. Saoirse Ronan
    5. Cynthia Erivo or Awkwafina
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    wattsgold
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    The four white girls and the diversity. 1. Zellweger 2. Johansson 3. Theron 4. Ronan 5.Nyong’o vs Erivo vs AWkwardfina

    This is painfully accurate.

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    JackO
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    Erivo hitting SAG and the Globes, with Nyong’o missing the globes, makes me think the lineup is Johansson/Zellweger/Theron/Erivo with Ronan and Nyong’o fighting for the last slot, and I’d give the edge to Ronan. I think Erivo’s being underestimated in terms of how likely her nomination is.

    I dont. She has no chance at racist BAFTA which will be the end of her awards season.

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    Bee
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    Lupita wins Chicago Indie Critics..That’s her 21st win.

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    sofan
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    Erivo hitting SAG and the Globes, with Nyong’o missing the globes, makes me think the lineup is Johansson/Zellweger/Theron/Erivo with Ronan and Nyong’o fighting for the last slot, and I’d give the edge to Ronan. I think Erivo’s being underestimated in terms of how likely her nomination is.

    I really can’t see Erivo getting #1 votes at all. In a plurality voting, like the Globes and SAG, she can get in easily because the ranking doesn’t matter at those places but at the Oscars she needs passionate support and for the life of me, I can’t figure out who’s going to give her the #1 slot.

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    Bee
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    I really can’t see Erivo getting #1 votes at all. In a plurality voting, like the Globes and SAG, she can get in easily because the ranking doesn’t matter at those places but at the Oscars she needs passionate support and for the life of me, I can’t figure out who’s going to give her the #1 slot.

    Same. There’s over 1300 voters in the acting branch which means you would typically need a little over 200 #1 votes to get a nomination. Percentage-wise, it can be lower than that and in order to avoid a tie, you also need a ton of #2 and #3 placements. I see that happening for the four that is Renee, Scarlett, Lupita and Charlize since there are many people who believe each of them gave the best female performance of the year. They’d alternate with #2 and #3 placements as well. Even if Erivo does get a few #1s, I see her getting many #4s and #5s, which isn’t enough. So Ronan takes her place there as a namecheck.

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    FrankB18169759
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    1. Renee Zellweger

    2. Charlize Theron

    Only these two stand a realistic chance of winning, so I won’t bother ranking the others. These two fit the Academy mold and are guaranteed to give The Academy the biggest hard-ons. They’re big, flashy, transformative performances, just like your typical Oscar voter likes them. Rami Malek proved all this last year.

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    daniellbp
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    I saw the THR predictions and I think I agree with them. The final lineup being Renee, Scarlett, Charlize, Lupita and Cynthia.

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    FrankB18169759
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    We live in very political times and Charlize’s very timely transformation into Megyn Kelly will easily impress a bunch of voters, especially younger ones. I give her 30% chance of winning right now. Wouldn’t be surprised if she wins both GG and SAG.

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