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Best Actress Predictions (Part 14)

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  • James Breheney
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    #1203274557

    Yeah while Little Women is surging at the moment, the narrative of having two POC in at the same time is very tempting. If Ronan misses, she barely does.

    The thing is AMPAS didn’t have enough time to react to the backlash BAFTA received for its all white nominees.

    Bee
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    #1203274586

    The thing is AMPAS didn’t have enough time to react to the backlash BAFTA received for its all white nominees.

    I’m not talking about the backlash. The rumblings of two WOC in the category has been known for a while now. BAFTA noms might have impacted the voting more, but it doesn’t change what was already known.

    Bee
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    #1203274608

    Y’all are setting yourself up for disappointment with the Lupita predictions.

    She got nominated at SAG and won critics awards, so what? Critics are irrelevant, especially for genre movies, just ask Toni Collette.

    Since the merge with AFTRA, SAG is more populist and open to genre movies. This is the same body that awarded Emily Blunt for A Quiet Place and gave Black Panther Best Ensemble. Of course she was going to get nominated.

    Her only other major nomination was BFCA, which nominated 8 actresses. I think Erivo and Awkwafina are both ahead of her.

    I think a lot of you overuse this. Critics matter-and don’t matter-to a certain extent in a race. You say critics don’t matter “because Ethan Hawke/Toni Collette” (neither of them made any of the precursors and Collette certainly didn’t dominate critics like Lupita has) but they mattered for Olivia Colman and Regina King. This is the exact same argument I saw last year when it came to Regina King “because Laurie Metcalf/Allison Janney” when y’all failed to realize that Janney won because she was S-H-O-W-Y and just as, if not more, respected than Laurie Metcalf.

    Did critics not help Greta Gerwig and Jordan Peele get directing noms in spite of them missing the Globes and BAFTA? Did critics not help Regina King ultimately overcome those odds and break stats while pushing the narrative of her being in the career for over 30 years and deserving of her win? Did critics not have a part in influencing Olivia Colman (along with the showiness of her performance and strength of The Favourite) as victorious? Did they not help Mark Rylance?

    Critics usually don’t have that much influence when it comes to major wins but they most certainly can matter when getting a nomination. Why do you think Antonio Banderas is happening in spite of the BAFTA and SAG snubs? Passion matters.

    Eddy Q
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    #1203274638

    Zero evidence of that, but keep speculating wildly

    You don’t know BAFTA very well do you…

    Marcus Snowden (The Artist Formerly Known as msnowden1)
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    #1203274656

    I would love it if Lupita won the Oscar, but I feel like Renee’s narrative is much too strong.

    TVFan365
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    #1203274658

    2019 kinda reminds me of 2014 when the top 4 were pretty much set but people had different predictions for the final spot.

    Moore/Pike/Witherspoon/Jones = Zellweger/Johansson/Ronan/Theron

    The final spot:
    Jennifer Aniston (SAG + GG + CC) = Cynthia Erivo (SAG + GG + CC)
    Amy Adams (GG WIN + BAFTA) = Awkwafina (GG WIN + CC)
    Marion Cotillard (CC) = Lupita Nyong’o (SAG + CC)

    • This reply was modified 1 month, 2 weeks ago by  TVFan365.
    • This reply was modified 1 month, 2 weeks ago by  TVFan365.
    RobScottDays
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    #1203274682

    I would love it if Lupita won the Oscar, but I feel like Renee’s narrative is much too strong.

    The truth is… the passion just isn’t there for Renee. Maybe Judy came out too early but it seems like yesterday’s news while Us, though even longer in the tooth, still feels like a fresh piece of relevant filmmaking. So that helps Lupita, as does her 3,545 critics awards already. Renee might win BAFTA but I think that’s it.

    PreludeinCSharpMinor
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    #1203274684

    It should be Woodard, but no one on here as seen Clemency. Even the critics are now reviewing Clemency and calling her the best performance of the year, all after critics votes.

    If voters watch all films the nominees should be:

    Woodard
    Place
    Deneuve
    Jean-Baptiste
    Theron

    Pranksalot
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    #1203274690

    Probably. But if she does the backlash will be deserved. Snubbing that performance for mimicry or ronan playing ronan is everything thats wrong with hollywood. Kyle Buchanan wrote a great piece about that. What we determine as a great performance is full of subtle bias.

    i want Lupita to be one of the nominees but I don’t understand why you have to push a falsehood about saoirse performances so you can prop up Lupita. There’s no way one can watch her 3 previous movies that she got Oscar nominations for and then claim confidently that she’s playing the same characters or playing her real life self.

    FreemanGriffin
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    #1203274692

    My wish list for Monday: Scarlett Johansson, Helen Mirren, Saoirse Ronan, Emma Thompson and Renee Zellweger. My predictions: Awkwafina, Johansson, Ronan, Charlize Theron and Zellweger. Unfortunately I haven’t seen Portrait of a Lady on Fire or Clemency yet ): I have Lupita Nyong’o in 6th place, with Awkwafina in 5th.

    Miles
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    #1203274727

    2019 kinda reminds me of 2014 when the top 4 were pretty much set but people had different predictions for the final spot.

    Moore/Pike/Witherspoon/Jones = Zellweger/Johansson/Ronan/Theron

    The final spot:
    Jennifer Aniston (SAG + GG + CC) = Cynthia Erivo (SAG + GG + CC)
    Amy Adams (GG WIN + BAFTA) = Awkwafina (GG WIN + SAG + CC)
    Marion Cotillard (CC) = Lupita Nyong’o (SAG + CC)

    Awkwafina didn’t get SAG.

    cinetastic
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    #1203274746

    I’m someone who enjoys watching thriller films. For me, Willem Dafoe, Robert Pattinson, Florence Pugh, Elisabeth Moss and Lupita Nyong’o delivered some of the finest performances of 2019. However, if Lupita gets nominated, any of these names deserve a nomination as well. Especially, Willem Dafoe. We all know that the Academy isn’t so fond of thrillers besides Get Out since Get Out was a social commentary.

    Cordelia
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    #1203274876

    After watching Bomb hell, I think Charlize might be my least favourite in the likely Actress field. Yeah, she’s a good actress generally and she tries to disappear into the role, but it feels more like a parody of Megyn Kelly than a portrayal of her. This is partially down to the script, which basically makes Fox News’ propaganda into whacky nonsense (that’s why the Santa stuff is there).

    This isn’t really her fault, but the godawful script and direction’s. That having been said, she couldn’t redeem this mess. God willing, the Academy will give her nomination slot to Lupita.

    For Your Consideration:

    Best Picture: Parasite

    LLLhawks
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    #1203274885

    Days away from nomination and I really think Ronan is the vulnerable one in this race.

    Zellweger, Theron and Johansson are in. Hoping the last two are Nyong’o and Awkwafina.

    I just love movies. And awards.

    CateNicole
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    #1203274932

    After watching Bomb hell, I think Charlize might be my least favourite in the likely Actress field. Yeah, she’s a good actress generally and she tries to disappear into the role, but it feels more like a parody of Megyn Kelly than a portrayal of her. This is partially down to the script, which basically makes Fox News’ propaganda into whacky nonsense (that’s why the Santa stuff is there). This isn’t really her fault, but the godawful script and direction’s. That having been said, she couldn’t redeem this mess. God willing, the Academy will give her nomination slot to Lupita.

    The Santa stuff is there to acknowledge Kelly having a history of racist remarks.

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