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  • Thatcher, Former Prime Minister of GoldDerby
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    #1203148260

    Darlings, Baumbach is on the edge of a nomination. Marriage Story seems the kind of movie that could win BP without even having a BD nod. Thatcher truly believes he can be snubbed.

    I was your Prime Minister once.

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    thatnerdgreg
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    #1203149108

    <p style=”text-align: left;”>Maybe I’m crazy, but I’m predicting a Tarantino snub. His direction was great, but I feel like he doesn’t have as strong a narrative as other contenders. Scorsese is a living legend who’s directed a a Best Picture frontrunner, Mendes is a veteran who’s directed what seems to be a technical marvel, Jong Ho earned total raves and his film is basically a lock to win Foreign Language Film, Gerwig’s still got plenty of goodwill from her last film, and she’ll benefit from the fact that this has been a strong year for female directors, and it’s very likely that they’ll want to give one a nomination to celebrate that, otherwise the Academy is certainly about to get a verbal spanking. The one with the weakest narrative is Baumbach, but even then, his film was met with huge acclaim, and it’s considered one of this year’s frontrunners. We’ve seen directors get in for the past when they’re films were frontrunners, even if their direction was very un-showy (Todd McCarthy). Also, Tarantino’s direction has only been nominated twice, so it’s not like he has the best track record in the world, and I feel like his movie is losing hype. That being said, I won’t be surprised to see him make it in. And if someone besides these six can break through, I’m guessing it’s Waititi, especially if the Academy really likes Jojo Rabbit.</p>

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    babypook
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    #1203149127

    A woman has already won this century. Gerwig may be nominated but she won’t win.
    Until I see LW for myself I’m not assuming anything.

    Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?
    Philip K Dick Blade Runner

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    thatnerdgreg
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    #1203149200

    A woman has already won this century. Gerwig may be nominated but she won’t win. Until I see LW for myself I’m not assuming anything.

    No, she’s not winning. She might win for her screenplay though.

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    Nikhil
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    #1203149328

    <p style=”text-align: left;”>Maybe I’m crazy, but I’m predicting a Tarantino snub. His direction was great, but I feel like he doesn’t have as strong a narrative as other contenders. Scorsese is a living legend who’s directed a a Best Picture frontrunner, Mendes is a veteran who’s directed what seems to be a technical marvel, Jong Ho earned total raves and his film is basically a lock to win Foreign Language Film, Gerwig’s still got plenty of goodwill from her last film, and she’ll benefit from the fact that this has been a strong year for female directors, and it’s very likely that they’ll want to give one a nomination to celebrate that, otherwise the Academy is certainly about to get a verbal spanking. The one with the weakest narrative is Baumbach, but even then, his film was met with huge acclaim, and it’s considered one of this year’s frontrunners. We’ve seen directors get in for the past when they’re films were frontrunners, even if their direction was very un-showy (Todd McCarthy). Also, Tarantino’s direction has only been nominated twice, so it’s not like he has the best track record in the world, and I feel like his movie is losing hype. That being said, I won’t be surprised to see him make it in. And if someone besides these six can break through, I’m guessing it’s Waititi, especially if the Academy really likes Jojo Rabbit.</p>

    I feel the same way, plus Tarantino is getting recognized for Screenplay. I think OUATIH will disappoint on the day.

    I think it could be:

    Scorsese, Mendes, Bong, Gerwig, Waititi/Baumbach

    My personal Top 10 of 2019 so far:
    1) Parasite 2) The Farewell 3) Once Upon a Time in Hollywood 4) Joker 5) Jojo Rabbit 6) The Peanut Butter Falcon 7) Marriage Story 8) Luce 9) Yesterday 10) Hotel Mumbai

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    Thatcher, Former Prime Minister of GoldDerby
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    #1203149808

    Darlings, Bing Bong is not winning Best Director. I have to laugh. Get it together!

    I was your Prime Minister once.

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    babypook
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    #1203149816

    Darlings, Bing Bong is not winning Best Director. I have to laugh. Get it together!

    If Parasite wins an Oscar it’s most likely in this category.
    It’s an important political win.

    Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?
    Philip K Dick Blade Runner

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    jez89
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    #1203149848

    We could have an odd situation where Baumback and Gerwig as a couple could both be nominated for Best Director in the same year. Surely this has never happened before?

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    babypook
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    #1203149854

    We could have an odd situation where Baumback and Gerwig as a couple could both be nominated for Best Director in the same year. Surely this has never happened before?

    The only one I can think of is Bigelow and Cameron, but they were divorced.

    Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?
    Philip K Dick Blade Runner

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    Heptapod
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    #1203150976

    Little Women
    1917
    The Irishman
    Marriage Story
    Parasite

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    Salsa Club
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    #1203160745

    I know it’s not likely, but is there anyway The Farewell could pull a Room and shockingly get a Lulu Wang a director nom?

    I wasn’t following the Oscars that year and don’t really know what the attitude surrounding Room was (I do know it won the TIFF People’s Choice Award), but it seems like Abrahamson was absent from most precursory director nominee lists and the film wasn’t huge in a lot of critics circles or the Indie Spirit’s/Gotham’s. I know The Farewell is mostly in Mandarin and had a summer release, but its domestic box office is one of the year’s best and it is getting released in China on Nov. 22 where it will arguable do very, very well. Can it surprise in director and/or picture?

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    Couverture
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    #1203160756

    I know it’s not likely, but is there anyway The Farewell could pull a Room and shockingly get a Lulu Wang a director nom?

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    cinetastic
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    #1203162365

    This is the hardest one.

    1. Quentin Tarantino
    2. Sam Mendes
    3. Greta Gerwig
    4. Martin Scorsese
    5. Pedro Almodovar

     

    and then there are

    • Bong Joon Ho
    • Noah Baumbach
    • Taika Waititi
    • Todd Phillips

    Too hard to choose.

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    Chimichanggas
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    #1203162391

    This is clearly a Scorsese-Bong race and the rest are non-factors. Anyways, I can see Mendes, Tarantino, and Gerwig getting in. I don’t know but I feel so skeptical on Baumbach’s chances.

    The Irishman and Parasite rocks!

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    Thatcher, Former Prime Minister of GoldDerby
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    #1203162408

    Darlings, Bing Bong isn’t winning and Disgustantino is getting snubbed. I tell you.

    I was your Prime Minister once.

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