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  • CuriousHedgehog
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    #1203175707

    Mendes might be safer than Gerwig, which could make Baumach more vulnerable. I’m not sure if you want him to miss, but Tarantino is solidly in the mix. Joon-ho is going to win .

    I’m a massive fan of Gerwig so she’ll probably be on there til the day I die. I definitely feel that if a female director were to get two nods, it would be her. I have no real opinion on Tarantino, though I’m not a massive fan of his movies. I’m super behind on movies this year so I still have to see OUATIH (I think I got that right? lol), but I think it would be an interesting snub and for some reason I see him getting snubbed over Scorsese. As a surprise I’d also like to see Wilde for Booksmart but I highly doubt that.

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    babypook
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    #1203175736

    I’m a massive fan of Gerwig so she’ll probably be on there til the day I die. I definitely feel that if a female director were to get two nods, it would be her. I have no real opinion on Tarantino, though I’m not a massive fan of his movies. I’m super behind on movies this year so I still have to see OUATIH (I think I got that right? lol), but I think it would be an interesting snub and for some reason I see him getting snubbed over Scorsese. As a surprise I’d also like to see Wilde for Booksmart but I highly doubt that.

    Gerwig ‘s gender is a barrier. As much as the belief that times are different, I’ve been around too long to swallow this. Changes are apparent, which is Good, but it’s also true that the more things change, the more they stay the same. It’s only been a couple of years, which in the cosmic scheme is a few seconds. This is my perspective that I wanted to share with you, because sometimes there’s a huge divide between perception and reality.

    Happy to hear you’ll be watching OATIH. My only suggestion is that you research Sharon Tate as much as you can using various sources. It’ll help a lot. I was born in the same decade, and it certainly helped me.
    The only film of Tarantino’ s that I am a huge fan of, is Pulp Fiction. That is genius and so far his masterpiece.

    Thanks for responding and may all of our favorites win an Oscar.

    Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?
    Philip K Dick Blade Runner

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    babypook
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    #1203209988

    Bump des ne

    Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?
    Philip K Dick Blade Runner

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    TheDreamingHead
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    #1203210006

    Bong should win this. Merits alone, he should make a fresh winner too. All the others feel boring and exhausting contenders whose efforts have been made before.

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    cinetastic
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    #1203210795

    I think, male directors will dominate Oscars 2020. Only Greta Gerwig, Lulu Wang, Lorene Scafaria and maybe Olivia Wilde stand a chance as female directors for Oscars. However, I don’t think any of them has a big chance to make it to the top 5, when there are Bong Joon-Ho, Pedro Almodóvar, Martin Scorsese, Quentin Tarantino, Sam Mendes, Noah Baumbach and Taika Waititi.

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    thatnerdgreg
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    #1203210807

    Right now I think Taika Waititi is being horribly underestimated. His film looks to be a potentially huge contender, and his direction was great. Right now I think he’ll make the director lineup. However, he won’t stand a chance of winning since most of his support post nominations will go to his screenplay, where I believe he’ll pull of a very deserving victory.

    • This reply was modified 1 week, 2 days ago by  thatnerdgreg.
    • This reply was modified 1 week, 2 days ago by  thatnerdgreg.
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    babypook
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    #1203210816

    Right now I think Taika Waititi is being horribly underestimated. His film looks to be a potentially huge contender, and his direction was great. Right now I think he’ll make the director lineup. However he won’t stand a chance of winning since most of support post nominations will go to his screenplay, where I believe he’ll pull of a very deserving victory.

    He could snatch the win from Zailian, but he’s got some what I consider to be ridiculous barriers to overcome.

    Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?
    Philip K Dick Blade Runner

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    Mr. Tintin
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    #1203211010

    Alright, I’m going to give reasons why I think the Russo Brothers have a shot at a nomination:

    1) Avengers: Endgame is poised to get plenty of nominations. Last year, I noticed an article that stated that a film with 8 or 9 nominations or more usually gets a nomination for Best Director. Considering that Avengers: Endgame has a solid shot at numerous tech categories, this will account for that many nominations. I’m predicting a total of 12 nominations for Avengers: Endgame, including Best Director. That would potentially give it the most nominations of the night.

    2) It’s the biggest movie of all time as of now. It goes without saying, but the fact that it’s the highest grossing film of all time will get plenty of Oscar voters’ attention, and no doubt plenty of them have seen it already. I think that a well-liked film that has been seen by tons of voters will get plenty of traction. Avatar and Titanic, who are also in the $2 billion club, have been nominated, alongside James Cameron for Best Director. Yes, it’s James Cameron, but those were the only two films he was nominated for Best Director. It helps that Avengers: Endgame has the highest average score of the $2 billion club (8.3 as opposed to Avatar‘s 7.42 and Titanic‘s 7.98, as well as The Force Awakens‘ 8.27 and Infinity War‘s 7.63).

    3) Their direction has been considered a highlight, and cannot be denied considered the scale of the film. Critics had praised their direction by the multitudes, and it’s easy to see why. They brought tons of different visual styles, performances, tech, and story together in one cohesive ending, and it resonated with so many fans and people in general.

    The next two points are admittedly based on intuition and focus more on the film as a whole, but the more support the film gets, the better chance for the Russo Brothers to get the nomination:

    4) Disney is going to be spending so much money on this. Yes, they have Jojo Rabbit and Ford v Ferrari. But who says they can’t spend money on three films’ campaigns? Especially with Avengers: Endgame, they probably want to have some prestige on their films, and they’re going to play the game. This will only help the Russo Bros get the campaign.

    5) The conversation regarding superhero films as cinema will help. Martin Scorsese no doubtedly started a firestorm when he made those statements. As seen with the comments from Bob Iger, Kevin Feige, and company, they and the fans are going to try to prove him wrong, and that will fuel the campaign for Avengers: Endgame for multiple nominations, and possibly the Russo Brothers for Best Director. Not to mention, the talk will get voters to debate on it and get enough support.

    Is this a crazy risk…a gamble? Yes. Is this a bet I’m willing to take, at least for now? Yes. I know I will have them in my predictions till nominations round in for Golden Globes, Critics Choice, and DGA.

    Oscars 2020: I stan Joaquin Phoenix, Willem Dafoe, Alan Silvestri, and Dean Deblois.

    Emmys 2020: I stan Logan Lerman, Olivia Colman, and David Harbour.

    Tom Hanks and Amy Adams stan in general.

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    babypook
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    #1203211041

    Alright, I’m going to give reasons why I think the Russo Brothers have a shot at a nomination:

    1) Avengers: Endgame is poised to get plenty of nominations. Last year, I noticed an article that stated that a film with 8 or 9 nominations or more usually gets a nomination for Best Director. Considering that Avengers: Endgame has a solid shot at numerous tech categories, this will account for that many nominations. I’m predicting a total of 12 nominations for Avengers: Endgame, including Best Director. That would potentially give it the most nominations of the night.

    2) It’s the biggest movie of all time as of now. It goes without saying, but the fact that it’s the highest grossing film of all time will get plenty of Oscar voters’ attention, and no doubt plenty of them have seen it already. I think that a well-liked film that has been seen by tons of voters will get plenty of traction. Avatar and Titanic, who are also in the $2 billion club, have been nominated, alongside James Cameron for Best Director. Yes, it’s James Cameron, but those were the only two films he was nominated for Best Director. It helps that Avengers: Endgame has the highest average score of the $2 billion club (8.3 as opposed to Avatar‘s 7.42 and Titanic‘s 7.98, as well as The Force Awakens‘ 8.27 and Infinity War‘s 7.63).

    3) Their direction has been considered a highlight, and cannot be denied considered the scale of the film. Critics had praised their direction by the multitudes, and it’s easy to see why. They brought tons of different visual styles, performances, tech, and story together in one cohesive ending, and it resonated with so many fans and people in general.

    The next two points are admittedly based on intuition and focus more on the film as a whole, but the more support the film gets, the better chance for the Russo Brothers to get the nomination:

    4) Disney is going to be spending so much money on this. Yes, they have Jojo Rabbit and Ford v Ferrari. But who says they can’t spend money on three films’ campaigns? Especially with Avengers: Endgame, they probably want to have some prestige on their films, and they’re going to play the game. This will only help the Russo Bros get the campaign.

    5) The conversation regarding superhero films as cinema will help. Martin Scorsese no doubtedly started a firestorm when he made those statements. As seen with the comments from Bob Iger, Kevin Feige, and company, they and the fans are going to try to prove him wrong, and that will fuel the campaign for Avengers: Endgame for multiple nominations, and possibly the Russo Brothers for Best Director. Not to mention, the talk will get voters to debate on it and get enough support.

    Is this a crazy risk…a gamble? Yes. Is this a bet I’m willing to take, at least for now? Yes. I know I will have them in my predictions till nominations round in for Golden Globes, Critics Choice, and DGA.

    1. Robert Iger
    2. Read over what Scorsese said. Not opinions on what he said.

    Otherwise I’d say go for it. Why play it safe? Not much fun in that. Punters get it wrong all the time.

    Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?
    Philip K Dick Blade Runner

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    oscarin7
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    #1203211447

    And to think Tarantino was a frontrunner at one point lol

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    Seven
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    #1203211565

    Atlanta Film Critics Circle (AFCC)

    Top 10 movies

    1. Parasite

    Best Director – Bong Joon-Ho (Parasite)

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    babypook
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    #1203211736

    And to think Tarantino was a frontrunner at one point lol

    For director? Never.

    Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?
    Philip K Dick Blade Runner

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    Nikhil
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    #1203211769

    And to think Tarantino was a frontrunner at one point lol

    He never actually was. OUATIH is the default easy one to check off in most categories back when everything else was unseen. I think most people think it’s likely for a nomination and that’s why it’s in the #1 slot and it’s GD odds are inflated because of that.

    Scorsese, Bong, and Mendes are the only locks. I could even fathom a world where Tarantino is snubbed (I had him missing in my predictions at one point, maybe even still). It would be a shame though, I’m not a big Tarantino fan myself but OUATIH is my favorite film of his thus far and I think he deserves the recognition.

    But, if we’re saying the Academy will be nominating a woman this year that would seem to be Gerwig, and it then puts Tarantino at #5 where he could be snubbed by a few people (maybe Waititi?).

    My personal Top 5 of 2019 so far:
    1) Parasite 2) The Farewell 3) Once Upon a Time in Hollywood 4) The Irishman 5) Knives Out

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    babypook
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    #1203229641

    Wonder how many more like these for Directors?

    Variety to Honor Todd Phillips

    https://click.email.variety.com/?qs=482ac61c308de2ba81fa0f15f6e91a25948f531b494c41f41ec3d53b010918e21f2927039c7ff9ce2f197698eb8292a0390bf88827bd766e

    Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?
    Philip K Dick Blade Runner

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    Potatohead
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    #1203229723

    Quentin Tarantino and Martin Scorsese are certain. Sam Mendes and Bong Joon Ho are extremely likely, the last spot probably going between Taika Waititi if Jojo Rabbit overperforms, Noah Baumbach, and Todd Phillips.

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