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  • babypook
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    Quentin Tarantino and Martin Scorsese are certain. Sam Mendes and Bong Joon Ho are extremely likely, the last spot probably going between Taika Waititi if Jojo Rabbit overperforms, Noah Baumbach, and Todd Phillips.

    The momentum has taken a drastic starboard shift. SAG and Globe winners I strongly suspect are going to mirror this. Not just Lead Drama actor.

    Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?
    Philip K Dick Blade Runner

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    Cordelia
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    Director is like Actress in that there are 4 I could comfortably call locks, but a very contested fifth slot.

    For director, the Four are Martin Scorcese, Bong Joon Ho, Quentin Tarantino, Sam Mendes.

    My prediction for fifth is Greta Gerwig, as she has been centrally involved as a factor in the debate over women directors at the Globes. I would argue Marielle Heller would also be deserving, but A Beautiful Day in the Neighbourhood is flopping sadly.

    The two big challengers to Gerwig are Baumbach and Phillips. For Baumbach, he has the benefit of a bigger Oscars contender than Gerwig. However, he is not as central to its directorial narrative for awards as Gerwig is for hers, being more rewarded for writing.

    Todd Phillips is a different situation, where his nomination is indicative of Joker’s momentum as a whole. If Joker has a good nomination morning, he’ll be swept in the momentum. I have made the argument that any other category nominations for Joker ultimately serve the purpose within the campaign of boosting Joaquin Phoenix’s chances, and his chances have been boosted. I don’t 100% see Todd happening, but he is a possibility to take seriously.

    For outside bets, I will say that Taika Waititi and Pedro Almodovar have good arguments. Both directors are inextricably connected to the text of their movies, with Taika’s acting and humour and Pedro’s autobiographical elements. In the early days of the season, I would’ve argued both would get in. But Jojo Rabbit looks to have peaked early, not quite getting the Green Book/Bohemian Rhapsody boost that the Golden Globes can give populist films that don’t have the benefit of critics awards. Pain and Glory is also on choppy ground, though I would not discount it entirely.

    For Your Consideration:

    Best Picture: Parasite
    Best Supporting Actor: Willem Dafoe - The Lighthouse
    Best Animated Feature: Weathering With You, Promare
    Best International Film: Parasite

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    Mr. Tintin
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    #1203230122

    Quentin Tarantino and Martin Scorsese are certain. Sam Mendes and Bong Joon Ho are extremely likely, the last spot probably going between Taika Waititi if Jojo Rabbit overperforms, Noah Baumbach, and Todd Phillips.

    I wouldn’t be so certain of Quentin. His film was released back in July, and he has no chance of winning- he might the shock snub of the category.

    Oscars 2020: I stan Joaquin Phoenix, Willem Dafoe, Alan Silvestri, and Dean Deblois.

    Emmys 2020: I stan Logan Lerman, Olivia Colman, and David Harbour.

    Tom Hanks and Amy Adams stan in general.

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    Gabriel Guarin
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    Why does he have no chance and why wouldn’t the voters nominate him? I’m actually going out on a limb and predicting him and OUATIH to win Best Director and Best Picture respectively. Tariq Khan has said that a lot of voters have disliked The Irishman.

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    Hammad Asif
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    #1203230218

    How do you propose women not being nominee as Directors should be solved here.

    Should there be a separate category for women?

    Kubrick-Scorsese-Nolan-Coens-PTA-Fincher-Hitchock-Spike Lee-Tarantino
    19yr old Film School Student

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    KAZ-2.5
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    Directing doesn’t need a gendered category. I like the gendered acting categories because it gives you more nominees but directing right now is not supposed to be best male director and yet it is. I propose that the voters start taking women directors more seriously. That’s the solution. Making up a ghetto category is a terrible idea.

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    LLLhawks
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    Idk. No female director has impressed me this year.

    The best way to solve this issue is for Hollywood to give women more opportunities so that they can improve on their craft.

    I just love movies. And awards.

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    Jus
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    How do you propose women not being nominee as Directors should be solved here.

    Should there be a separate category for women?

    I wouldn’t want a seperate category. My fave movie of the year was directed by woman, actually Celine Sciamma and Mati Diop are top two in my personal, biased, irrelevant ranking. The high quality was always there and still is.

    Lots of good stuff is happening right now, women are getting more and more opportunities and they take it. The (men’s) world will eventually catch up and notice the quality.

    And if not, then…that’s their and awards’ loss.

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    Faux architect
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    #1203230351

    Men will award men stories. To some extent, it’s only natural. Voting bodies should change and for that to happen the industry must change.

    Eva Green was not nominated for an Emmy for Penny Dreadful.

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    CitizenBlake
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    Men will award men stories. To some extent, it’s only natural. Voting bodies should change and for that to happen the industry must change.

    How do you propose they change? All people hear is people parroting about gender bias needing to be fixed but no one offers a solution.

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    Seven
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    #1203233457

    So far OUATIH hasn’t underperformed anywhere. Tarantino will definitely get in

    • This reply was modified 1 month, 1 week ago by  Seven.
    • This reply was modified 1 month, 1 week ago by  Seven.
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    Miguel Marrero
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    Bong Joon Ho and Scorsese are the frontrunners. One of them will win, wait until DGA.

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    FreemanGriffin
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    I am now hoping that the director’s branch do their maverick thing like they usually do and give Fernando Mirreilles a nomination for his superb direction of The Two Popes. I love the effective use of the flashback scenes in Argentina and Cordoba that enriches the narrative and gives us something unique and exciting to see. Every aspect of the movie is great: the producing, writing, cinematography (particularly the occasional black & white scenes in some of the flashbacks contrasted with the vibrant colors of the vatican and the lakeside vacation home locations), the use of music both original score and other music, the editing – it’s just superb.

    I haven’t seen Little Women or 1917 yet but will be doing so ASAP! I also haven’t seen Portrait of a Lady on Fire; not sure when it is being released where I live.

    I am currently predicting Bong Joon Ho, Sam Mendes, Martin Scorsese and Quentin Tarantino – that fifth slot could go in so many different directions: Pedro Almodovar, Greta Gerwig, Todd Phillips (yuck!), Fernando Mirreilles (hooray!), Noah Bambaugh… anybody else they might choose?

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    JackO
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    #1203240185

    How do you propose women not being nominee as Directors should be solved here.

    Should there be a separate category for women?

    It starts from the hype at festivals. Instead of pundits going to the mat for The Farewell or Queen and Slim or Little Women, they instead talk about the boring Hanks movie or a flop like Richard Jewell. Take a look at the pundits and compare that to the people making movies. Punditry has the same issues the Academy did before they sent out their invites to all those international figures.

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    babypook
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    It starts from the hype at festivals. Instead of pundits going to the mat for The Farewell or Queen and Slim or Little Women, they instead talk about the boring Hanks movie or a flop like Richard Jewell. Take a look at the pundits and compare that to the people making movies. Punditry has the same issues the Academy did before they sent out their invites to all those international figures.

    punditry=critics

    Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?
    Philip K Dick Blade Runner

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