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Best Picture Oscar Discussion (Part 3)

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  • Chris Beachum
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    #1202748872

    Continue the discussion about Best Picture in Part 3.

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    FreemanGriffin
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    O´Hara wrote:

    Why do you think BlackKklansman is the frontrunner?

    It is higher in the odds on here; I am hoping the 2nd place film on here wins – If Beale Street Could Talk – but it’s rare for a non-BP nominee to win in adapted screenplay (it happens often in original screenplay though – not sure why). Beale Street has won more awards, true, but I can’t help thinking they are going to want to finally give Spike Lee an Oscar and this is the category he could win. It’s a toss-up.

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    Elazul
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    Is Bohemian Rhapsody the BP nominee with almost the worst ever MetaCritic score? Only Extremely Close… tops it?

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    Anonymous
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    Lord Freddy Blackfyre
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    Roma and The Favourite are the only worthy nominees

    The Oscar needs to get rid of the preferential ballot so it can name a deserving movie as Best Picture again.

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    The Night Fury
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    Roma winning Best Picture is obvious for reasons I have clearly stated and been ignored on a million times already. I don’t think this thread even needs to exist. If Cuarón loses DGA where seemingly the closest BP competition at Bafta and the Oscars The Favourite was snubbed, only then will there be a real race for this Oscar category again. As of now, only Roma appears to have the passionate consensus.

    And if you’re somehow wrong?

    WELCOME TO UNPREDICTABILITY.

    EMMYS: SEPTEMBER 22
    GLOBES: JANUARY 5, 2020
    SAGS: JANUARY 26, 2020
    ANNIES: TBD
    OSCARS: FEBRUARY 9, 2020

    "Thanks for nothing, you useless reptile..." - Hiccup Horrendous Haddock III

    How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World
    For Your Consideration: Picture, Adapted Screenplay, Animated Feature, Original Score (John Powell), Original Song (Together From Afar), Sound Editing, Visual Effects, Production Design

    Twitter: @FILMSTHESEDAYS
    Facebook: nathan.romberg.7

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    Anonymous
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    Emmyfan
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    #1202749012

    The ending did not help The Favourite

    • This reply was modified 10 months, 2 weeks ago by  Emmyfan.
    • This reply was modified 10 months, 2 weeks ago by  Emmyfan. Reason: spelling
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    Luca
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    The ending did not help The Favourite

    Personally, I thought the ending was very poignant.

    Oscar FYC - Lupita Nyong'o & Elisabeth Moss ("Us") - Best Actress & Supporting Actress. It must happen; otherwise the Tethered are coming.

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    FreemanGriffin
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    #1202749055

    Most likely to win: Roma

    Strong possibilities: BlacKkKlansman and Green Book

    Long-shots: The Favourite and A Star is Born

    No chance: Black Panther, Bohemian Rhapsody and Vice

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    Eddy Q
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    I give no chance to BlacKkKlansman due to JDW’s snub in Best Actor showing a lack of passion for the film overall.

    JDW’s snub in Best Actor is about as significant as Joseph Fiennes’s was for Shakespeare in Love. Passing over a relative newcomer in Best Actor in favour of an acclaimed veteran (Dafoe) is a complete non-issue, especially when this category historically favours newcomers far less than Best Actress does. Not saying BlacKkKlansman will win necessarily, but it’s the only film in contention to have missed nothing important – it has directing nominations everywhere, as well as SAG Cast, ACE and editing Oscar noms. It’s in a similar position to Moonlight two years ago, as that was also the sole movie of its season to miss none of the most essential categories (La La Land missed SAG Cast, Manchester by the Sea missed editing at the Oscars).
    BlacKkKlansman even has one better than Moonlight in having a BAFTA directing nomination.

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    WildforFilm
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    Roma seems poised to take this, but I think its only strong competitor is Green Book because of all the awards its received thus far. I am hoping that Green Book can pull off the upset.

    Roma seems like that film that most voters haven’t watched, but will vote for it anyways because they feel like they should. I wonder how many of them actually watched past the first 20 minutes…

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    Anonymous
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    Jazzy
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    If Cuarón loses DGA where seemingly the closest BP competition at Bafta and the Oscars The Favourite was snubbed, only then will there be a real race for this Oscar category again. As of now, only Roma appears to have the passionate consensus.

    If they don’t give him the DGA it would seem they are just trying to undermine his and Roma’s Oscar chances. None of the other DGA nominees did a better directing job than Cuaron, and it would be a travesty for the DGA to choose someone other than Cuaron.

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    Jazzy
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    Not saying BlacKkKlansman will win necessarily, but it’s the only film in contention to have missed nothing important – it has directing nominations everywhere, as well as SAG Cast, ACE and editing Oscar noms. It’s in a similar position to Moonlight two years ago, as that was also the sole movie of its season to miss none of the most essential categories (La La Land missed SAG Cast, Manchester by the Sea missed editing at the Oscars). BlacKkKlansman even has one better than Moonlight in having a BAFTA directing nomination.

    Blackkklansman hasn’t won anything. By this stage, Moonlight had won Best Drama film at the Globes.

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