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Best Supporting Actress Oscar Discussion (Part 6)

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  • Seven
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    Well Vice will be her Fatal Attraction then

    It’s literally her Albert Nobbs

    Blanche
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    #1202781420

    It’s literally her Albert Nobbs

    I didn´t mean chronologically.

    Eddy Q
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    Marina de Tavira isn’t winning: she’s a coattail filler nominee.

    I liked your post but I slightly disagree with this part. I still maintain that there is a (tenuous) path for any nominee in this category to win, even de Tavira, because of the scattered nature of the precursors. I’ve seen some passion for de Tavira on these forums (a number of people singled her out pre-nominations as the “one they knew wouldn’t get in but deserved it” only for her to get nominated after all) and maybe some of that passion will be shared by Academy members, particularly those who are voting for Roma. It’s not hard to imagine a voter struggling to decide between Stone and Weisz while not feeling very enthusiastic about Adams or King, to then think “screw it I’m voting for Marina!”

    That said, the main reason I’m not feeling a Marina surprise win, aside from the lack of precursor noms, is that spoilers in this category have tended to be larger roles or sometimes even borderline co-leads. This applies not only to Marcia Gay Harden but also going back to winners before the SAG award era, such as Geena Davis, Marisa Tomei and Anna Paquin. (This could be used as an argument in favour of Weisz this year.) There were of course those at the other end of the spectrum like Judi Dench and Beatrice Straight, but they dominated their scenes – or in the case of the latter, scene – in a way that de Tavira does not.

    • This reply was modified 9 months ago by  Eddy Q.
    Monty
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    #1202781451

    There is a lot of excitement and anticipation going into this year’s ceremony. I didn’t feel like that at all last year.
    Picture: Roma vs Green Book
    Actress: Close vs Colman
    S. Actress: King vs Weisz
    O. Screenplay: The Favorite vs Green Book (?)
    Production design, costume design, editing, both sound categories are hard to predict too. I could even see an possible upset snubbing “Shallow” too.
    As for this race, I thought it would be 35% Weisz, 30% King, 15% de Tavira, 15% Adams, 5% Stone.

    DrewN92
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    #1202781500

    I hope this is remembered as the year Amy Adams was robbed.

    She was solid in Vice (personally don’t get the hate behind her performance), but it’s definitely not her best role to date. I’d like her to win either in lead or for a awards-sweeping supporting performance.

    Seven
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    #1202781508

    I didn´t mean chronologically.

    That’s not what I meant. It’s her Albert Nobbs because no one cared

    There was an outrage when she was snubbed for Arrival. There’s no real outrage here

    I think Bradley, Olivia and even Gaga (thanks to her delusional fanbase) will be remembered as the people who were robbed if anything

    This said, she will eventually sweep in lead, and most likely with a way stronger movie than The Wife

    • This reply was modified 9 months ago by  Seven.
    Blanche
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    #1202781514

    That’s not what I meant. It’s her Albert Nobbs because no one cared

    There was an outrage when she was snubbed for Arrival. There’s no real outrage here

    I think Bradley, Olivia and even Gaga (thanks to her delusional fanbase) will be remembered as the people who were robbed if anything

    Well what I said was just wishful thinking, nobody really cares about her performance but this is the only year I think she should win, like Glenn should have for Fatal Attraction.
    And I saw more than one person (not counting fans) in here saying Gaga should win.

    nahborghi
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    DrewN92
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    #1202781538

    https://www.indiewire.com/2019/02/anonymous-oscar-ballot-director-richard-e-grant-rachel-weisz-1202044997/?fbclid=IwAR1bbSMkdNp5TUvyYWPoxM-19QafRhhISuOfCME33tfKWntdPn4RbUyD50M

    I’m so torn between sticking with King or changing to Weisz.

    Love these votes. I try not to let these change my mind though when it comes to my predictions. I’d rather predict incorrectly and be pleasantly surprised. Don’t want to get my hopes up 😉

    Anonymous
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    #1202781543
    This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.
    nahborghi
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    i am not gonna lie, this guy have a good taste

    Yup, I agree with 80% of his/her votes.

    Anonymous
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    #1202781575
    This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.
    SHT L
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    #1202781576

    https://www.indiewire.com/2019/02/anonymous-oscar-ballot-director-richard-e-grant-rachel-weisz-1202044997/?fbclid=IwAR1bbSMkdNp5TUvyYWPoxM-19QafRhhISuOfCME33tfKWntdPn4RbUyD50M I’m so torn between sticking with King or changing to Weisz.

    I agree with almost all of his votes. The only one I didn’t was Rami, but I guess given the competition, he wasn’t feeling that strongly about any of the other men nominated and even his vote for Rami seemed a bit reserved. I bet had Ethan Hawke got nominated, he probably would have voted for him.

    marcelo
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    você tem todos destes “Anonymous Oscar Ballot” que já saíram?

    seria legal criar um tópico juntando todos lá.

    [/quote

    Nossa. Isso seria MUITO legal.

    nahborghi
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