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February 10, 2019 at 2:41 pm #1202768917
Nobody needs to get upset about it, whoever wins on the 24th will be the winner, like it or not. I didn’t care for two of last year’s acting winners. It’s looking good for my liking all four this year. As I said before King or Weisz would be a terrific choice! (:February 10, 2019 at 2:49 pm #1202768982
I believe King is winning this too. Still have yet to see her performance but I believe she is winning.February 10, 2019 at 2:49 pm #1202768983
Nobody needs to get upset about it, whoever wins on the 24th will be the winner, like it or not. I didn’t care for two of last year’s acting winners. It’s looking good for my liking all four this year. As I said before King or Weisz would be a terrific choice! (:
Waouh.. wasn’t that the same song you’ve been singing in 1983?February 10, 2019 at 2:58 pm #1202769020
Baftas are partial to Weisz and the Favourite for obvious reasons. Weisz doesn’t have a realistic shot at an Oscar this year. If anything, Weisz winning the Bafta confirms King’s frontrunner status at the Oscars.
Since King wasn’t nominated for a Bafta, it was pretty obvious the award was going to either Adams or Weisz. Adams is probably King’s only real challenger at the Oscars, but if she can’t win a Bafta, she won’t win an Oscar either.
Conclusion: I’d be very surprised if someone other than King walked up the podium on Oscars night.February 10, 2019 at 3:16 pm #1202769106
so, after this year Oscars, Amy Adams will become the new Glenn Close, the most nominated living actor to never win an Oscar.February 10, 2019 at 3:26 pm #1202769161
Regina King = Sylvester Stallone
Rachel Weisz = Mark RylanceFebruary 10, 2019 at 3:49 pm #1202769364
This would have been so much more unpredictable if Blunt had gotten in at the Oscars instead of de Tavira. I still think King is going to get it although would much prefer Weisz. It might just be one of those years where the outcome doesn’t make sense on paper, given King’s lack of a nod at SAG and BAFTA. It would be extraordinary if Adams somehow won it from here. Weisz could have given a better speech to make her stick in voter’s minds a bit more.February 10, 2019 at 3:52 pm #1202769388
Between King and Weisz I wonder who Adams would rather lose to lol,February 10, 2019 at 3:59 pm #1202769423
This would have been so much more unpredictable if Blunt had gotten in at the Oscars instead of de Tavira.
Actually I think Blunt would be the clear frontrunner if she got in at the Oscars. I don’t buy the theory that she only won SAG as a response to her snub because SAG voting closed only a few days after Oscar nominations were announced, and I doubt that many left it to the last minute. Her winning would be a way to acknowledge both her major roles this year. With de Tavira instead of her, the award is much more up for grabs.February 10, 2019 at 4:00 pm #1202769433
The only predictable thing about this category is unpredictability. Don’t be too certain about any one of this ladies winning.
The industry wasn’t raving about Regina’s performance nor do they have passionate support for her film. Likability alone is difficult to drive an actor to an Oscar win. It is usually the performance itself or the passion behind the movie that lay the ground for Oscar glory.
I believe in trends and statistics. I believe the eventual winner would be either Adams, Weisz or Stone, who were nominated everywhere.February 10, 2019 at 4:02 pm #1202769448
This helps Weisz but there are two things that need to be happening right now or soon in order for her to win:
1. Regina King Is Not As Beloved As We Think She Is: You can already make a case for this as neither SAG nor BAFTA nominated her despite having the opportunity to do so. And the Oscars aren’t the Emmys people. King has done barely any high profile film work in Hollywood. Still she seems to be popular. The other aspect to this is her performance not being as popular as we think it is. There’s been lots of comments about her being underwhelming and even a comment from a Gold Derby video comparing her to Beatrice Straight who won for a very short(but very great performance) in Network. If she really does have that much screen time then she really should be worried. Dench and Straight won partly because their films were such strong Oscar contenders which was something that surely worked against Ruby Dee and Viola Davis due to the fact that neither of their films were that beloved by the Academy. Can anybody tell me if King really is that short in terms of screen time in If Beale Street Could Talk?
2. There Is More Passion For Weisz(and for The Favorite) Then People Realize: Tariq Khan said it best when he stated that Oscar upsets happen when support for the frontrunner is weaker then expected and when support for another contender is stronger then expected. This seems to be Weisz’s biggest obstacle right now as there is no strong indication so far on this side of the pond that people are super passionate about her performance and with an Oscar win already in this category there is no incentive to reward her unless The Favorite has a lot more support in the Academy then people are giving credit for right now. This is where I want to see the “experts” actually do some research by polling Oscar voters/industry vets and see if Weisz’s work in The Favorite and respect for her as an actress is really clicking with voters. If not she will most likely lose.
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