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Big Brass Bet – Guess a currently 100/1 film that gets a Best Picture nom

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    Cordelia
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    #1203838038

    So last year, I put Parasite in my Best Picture lineup when it was 100/1 odds. It is the only good bet I have made at this website. But in the spirit of that, I want to encourage a bit of lighthearted creativity and ambition from predictors. What I want is a prediction of a film that is 100/1 odds currently on the combined list that will get a Best Picture nomination. I am writing a larger piece later (on what it means for a film to be stagey, how the Academy’s changed, and the 2021 race being dominated by stage adaptations), so I looked at the odds and I think there’s some juicy choices.

    The list of films that are ineligible for this challenge are

    • Nomadland
    • Mank
    • The Trial of the Chicago 7
    • One Night In Miami
    • Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
    • The Father
    • News of the World
    • Minari
    • Soul
    • Da 5 Bloods
    • Hillbilly Elegy
    • The United States vs. Billie Holiday
    • Judas and the Black Messiah

    Anything else goes. 🙂

    Have fun. Make earnest guesses, maybe you’ll strike gold.

    For Your Consideration:

    Best Picture: Wolfwalkers

    Best Animated Feature: Wolfwalkers

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    LLLhawks
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    Dec 28th, 2018
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    #1203838041

    The Invisible Man. Boooooom.

    I just love movies. And awards.

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    Cordelia
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    #1203838047

    I’m considering being cheeky and saying a Fox Searchlight film like Next Goal Wins or The French Dispatch, due to Sundance early in the year. I think that Sundance will initiate at least one Best Picture nominee.

    My galaxy brain is Wolfwalkers but to explain that track of logic would require its own thread and probably sound like a conspiracy theory, and I think Americans have had enough of those.

    For Your Consideration:

    Best Picture: Wolfwalkers

    Best Animated Feature: Wolfwalkers

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    abelfenty
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    #1203838262

    The Prom.

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    wolfali
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    #1203838264

    The Prom.

    FYC OSCARS : VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", AMANDA SEYFRIED FOR "MANK", CHADWICK BOSEMAN FOR "MA RAINEY'S BLACK BOTTOM", PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN (BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY).

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    Brayden Fitzsimmons
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    #1203838294

    The Prom-ising Young Woman

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    Eddy Q
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    #1203838298

    I’m not officially predicting it yet, but I don’t think it’s totally out of the question for Amazon to pull off a second Best Picture nominee this year with Sound of Metal.

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    hopelesstar
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    #1203838394

    The Prom or The White Tiger (there was tea Netflix will push it and the early reactions from critics were great, people are sleeping on that one)

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    Vicki Leekx
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    #1203838473

    Wild Mountain Thyme 

    FYC:

    Andrea Riseborough, Karim Saleh, Possessor/Luxor (Best Actress, Best Actor)
    Sophia Loren, Abril Zamora, The Life Ahead (Best Actress, Supporting Actress)
    Emily Blunt, Jamie Dornan, Christopher Walken, Dearbhla Molloy, Wild Mountain Thyme (Best Actress, Actor, Supporting Actor, Supporting Actress)

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    William Gillquist
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    #1203838565

    If it gets the reviews. The Prom.

    FYC Oscars: Chloe Zhao (Nomadland), Delroy Lindo (Da 5 Bloods), Mark Rylance (Trial of the Chicago 7), Viola Davis and Chadwick Boseman (Ma Rainey's Black Bottom), Soul (Best Picture, Best Animated Feature Film, and Best Original Screenplay)

    FYC Golden Globes (TV): Ted Lasso (Best Comedy Series), Jason Sudekis (Best Actor in a Comedy Series), Hannah Waddingham (Best Supporting Actress), The Boys (Best Drama Series), Anthony Starr (Best Actor in a Drama Series)

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    Wanda
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    #1203838567

    The Prom and Ammonite. I also have First Cow as a possibility.

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    mateil
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    #1203838577

    Ammonite. By far. Has a great chance to get into Picture and I wouldn’t count Director and Screenplay out either. Right now it would be my 11th or 12th pick for Picture.

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    gabspss
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    #1203838684

    The Prom.

    It's about the chaotic editing in Moulin Rouge!

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    wolfali
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    #1203838703

    The Prom or The White Tiger (there was tea Netflix will push it and the early reactions from critics were great, people are sleeping on that one)

    I don’t know. If I’m not mistaken Anne Thompson mentioned that when a preview of the film was shown at AFI that it had a very muted reception…

    FYC OSCARS : VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", AMANDA SEYFRIED FOR "MANK", CHADWICK BOSEMAN FOR "MA RAINEY'S BLACK BOTTOM", PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN (BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY).

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    nevkm
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    #1203840621

    Sound of Metal and Promising Young Woman

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