Big Brass Bet – Guess a currently 100/1 film that gets a Best Picture nom

[Cordelia Joined: Jul 15th, 2018 Topics: 40 Posts: 1092 View Predictions]

#1203838038

So last year, I put Parasite in my Best Picture lineup when it was 100/1 odds. It is the only good bet I have made at this website. But in the spirit of that, I want to encourage a bit of lighthearted creativity and ambition from predictors. What I want is a prediction of a film that is 100/1 odds currently on the combined list that will get a Best Picture nomination. I am writing a larger piece later (on what it means for a film to be stagey, how the Academy’s changed, and the 2021 race being dominated by stage adaptations), so I looked at the odds and I think there’s some juicy choices.

The list of films that are ineligible for this challenge are

• Nomadland
• Mank
• The Trial of the Chicago 7
• One Night In Miami
• Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
• The Father
• News of the World
• Minari
• Soul
• Da 5 Bloods
• Hillbilly Elegy
• The United States vs. Billie Holiday
• Judas and the Black Messiah

Anything else goes. 🙂

Have fun. Make earnest guesses, maybe you’ll strike gold.

For Your Consideration:

Best Picture: Wolfwalkers

Best Animated Feature: Wolfwalkers

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[LLLhawks Joined: Dec 28th, 2018 Topics: 32 Posts: 823 View Predictions]

#1203838041

The Invisible Man. Boooooom.

I just love movies. And awards.

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[Cordelia Joined: Jul 15th, 2018 Topics: 40 Posts: 1092 View Predictions]

#1203838047

I’m considering being cheeky and saying a Fox Searchlight film like Next Goal Wins or The French Dispatch, due to Sundance early in the year. I think that Sundance will initiate at least one Best Picture nominee.

My galaxy brain is Wolfwalkers but to explain that track of logic would require its own thread and probably sound like a conspiracy theory, and I think Americans have had enough of those.

For Your Consideration:

Best Picture: Wolfwalkers

Best Animated Feature: Wolfwalkers

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[abelfenty Joined: Jul 14th, 2018 Topics: 10 Posts: 3162 View Predictions]

#1203838262

The Prom.

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[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 242 Posts: 13064 View Predictions]

#1203838264

The Prom.

FYC OSCARS : VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", AMANDA SEYFRIED FOR "MANK", CHADWICK BOSEMAN FOR "MA RAINEY'S BLACK BOTTOM", PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN (BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY).

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[Brayden Fitzsimmons Joined: May 3rd, 2015 Topics: 102 Posts: 6257 View Predictions]

#1203838294

The Prom-ising Young Woman

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[Eddy Q Joined: Oct 13th, 2012 Topics: 22 Posts: 4175 View Predictions]

#1203838298

I’m not officially predicting it yet, but I don’t think it’s totally out of the question for Amazon to pull off a second Best Picture nominee this year with Sound of Metal.

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[hopelesstar Joined: Mar 10th, 2020 Topics: 1 Posts: 1463 View Predictions]

#1203838394

The Prom or The White Tiger (there was tea Netflix will push it and the early reactions from critics were great, people are sleeping on that one)

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[Vicki Leekx Joined: Aug 3rd, 2019 Topics: 2 Posts: 287 View Predictions]

#1203838473

Wild Mountain Thyme 

FYC:

Andrea Riseborough, Karim Saleh, Possessor/Luxor (Best Actress, Best Actor)
Sophia Loren, Abril Zamora, The Life Ahead (Best Actress, Supporting Actress)
Emily Blunt, Jamie Dornan, Christopher Walken, Dearbhla Molloy, Wild Mountain Thyme (Best Actress, Actor, Supporting Actor, Supporting Actress)

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[William Gillquist Joined: Jan 1st, 2020 Topics: 10 Posts: 430 View Predictions]

#1203838565

If it gets the reviews. The Prom.

FYC Oscars: Chloe Zhao (Nomadland), Delroy Lindo (Da 5 Bloods), Mark Rylance (Trial of the Chicago 7), Viola Davis and Chadwick Boseman (Ma Rainey's Black Bottom), Soul (Best Picture, Best Animated Feature Film, and Best Original Screenplay)

FYC Golden Globes (TV): Ted Lasso (Best Comedy Series), Jason Sudekis (Best Actor in a Comedy Series), Hannah Waddingham (Best Supporting Actress), The Boys (Best Drama Series), Anthony Starr (Best Actor in a Drama Series)

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[Wanda Joined: Feb 16th, 2019 Topics: 40 Posts: 3435 View Predictions]

#1203838567

The Prom and Ammonite. I also have First Cow as a possibility.

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[mateil Joined: Aug 23rd, 2017 Topics: 5 Posts: 68 View Predictions]

#1203838577

Ammonite. By far. Has a great chance to get into Picture and I wouldn’t count Director and Screenplay out either. Right now it would be my 11th or 12th pick for Picture.

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[gabspss Joined: Sep 10th, 2018 Topics: 62 Posts: 1076 View Predictions]

#1203838684

The Prom.

It's about the chaotic editing in Moulin Rouge!

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[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 242 Posts: 13064 View Predictions]

#1203838703

hopelesstar wrote:

The Prom or The White Tiger (there was tea Netflix will push it and the early reactions from critics were great, people are sleeping on that one)

I don’t know. If I’m not mistaken Anne Thompson mentioned that when a preview of the film was shown at AFI that it had a very muted reception…

FYC OSCARS : VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", AMANDA SEYFRIED FOR "MANK", CHADWICK BOSEMAN FOR "MA RAINEY'S BLACK BOTTOM", PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN (BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY).

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[nevkm Joined: Jan 3rd, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 769 View Predictions]

#1203840621

Sound of Metal and Promising Young Woman

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