Big Brass Bet – Guess a currently 100/1 film that gets a Best Picture nom

[Cordelia Joined: Jul 15th, 2018 Topics: 17 Posts: 487 View Predictions]

#1203838038

So last year, I put Parasite in my Best Picture lineup when it was 100/1 odds. It is the only good bet I have made at this website. But in the spirit of that, I want to encourage a bit of lighthearted creativity and ambition from predictors. What I want is a prediction of a film that is 100/1 odds currently on the combined list that will get a Best Picture nomination. I am writing a larger piece later (on what it means for a film to be stagey, how the Academy’s changed, and the 2021 race being dominated by stage adaptations), so I looked at the odds and I think there’s some juicy choices.

The list of films that are ineligible for this challenge are

• Nomadland
• Mank
• The Trial of the Chicago 7
• One Night In Miami
• Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
• The Father
• News of the World
• Minari
• Soul
• Da 5 Bloods
• Hillbilly Elegy
• The United States vs. Billie Holiday
• Judas and the Black Messiah

Anything else goes. 🙂

Have fun. Make earnest guesses, maybe you’ll strike gold.

My Favourite Albums

Oil Of Every Pearl's Un-Insides - SOPHIE

Hounds of Love - Kate Bush

Since I Left You - The Avalanches

Twin Fantasy - Car Seat Headrest

Vespertine - Bjork

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[LLLhawks Joined: Dec 28th, 2018 Topics: 7 Posts: 612 View Predictions]

#1203838041

The Invisible Man. Boooooom.

I just love movies. And awards.

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[Cordelia Joined: Jul 15th, 2018 Topics: 17 Posts: 487 View Predictions]

#1203838047

I’m considering being cheeky and saying a Fox Searchlight film like Next Goal Wins or The French Dispatch, due to Sundance early in the year. I think that Sundance will initiate at least one Best Picture nominee.

My galaxy brain is Wolfwalkers but to explain that track of logic would require its own thread and probably sound like a conspiracy theory, and I think Americans have had enough of those.

My Favourite Albums

Oil Of Every Pearl's Un-Insides - SOPHIE

Hounds of Love - Kate Bush

Since I Left You - The Avalanches

Twin Fantasy - Car Seat Headrest

Vespertine - Bjork

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[abelfenty Joined: Jul 14th, 2018 Topics: 4 Posts: 1069 View Predictions]

#1203838262

The Prom.

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[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 215 Posts: 32927 View Predictions]

#1203838264

The Prom.

FYC:

"The Good Fight", "The Other Two" and "Station Eleven" in all categories, Sarah Lancashire ("Julia"), William Jackson Harper ("Love Life") and Luke Kirby ("The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel")

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[braydenfitzsimmons Joined: May 3rd, 2015 Topics: 88 Posts: 7558 View Predictions]

#1203838294

The Prom-ising Young Woman

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[Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 1 Posts: 1417 View Predictions]

#1203838298

This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.

[hopelesstar Joined: Mar 10th, 2020 Topics: 3 Posts: 3065 View Predictions]

#1203838394

The Prom or The White Tiger (there was tea Netflix will push it and the early reactions from critics were great, people are sleeping on that one)

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[Vicki Leekx Joined: Aug 3rd, 2019 Topics: 2 Posts: 1335 View Predictions]

#1203838473

Wild Mountain Thyme 

FYC:

Swinton, Weerasethakul Memoria, (Best Actress, Director)
Efira, Rampling, Wilson Benedetta (Best Actress, Supporting Actress/Actor)
Rapace Lamb (Best Actress)
Stewart, Hawkins, Spall Spencer (Best Actress, Supporting Actress/Actor)

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[William Gillquist Joined: Jan 1st, 2020 Topics: 14 Posts: 857 View Predictions]

#1203838565

If it gets the reviews. The Prom.

FYC Oscars: Licorice Pizza (Best Picture, Best Director, Original Screenplay), The Mitchells vs The Machines (Best Picture, Animated Feature, Original Screenplay), Wes Anderson (Best Director), Denzel Washington (The Tragedy of MacBeth), Andrew Garfield and Robin de Jesus (Tick, Tick...BOOM!), Jayne Houdyshell (The Humans), Stephen Karam (Adapted Screenplay), Attica and Summer of Soul (Best Documentary)

FYC Razzies: Dear Evan Hansen (in all eligible categories)

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[Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 23 Posts: 1813 View Predictions]

#1203838567

This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.

[gabspss Joined: Sep 10th, 2018 Topics: 146 Posts: 2132 View Predictions]

#1203838684

The Prom.

It's about the chaotic editing in Moulin Rouge!

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[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 215 Posts: 32927 View Predictions]

#1203838703

hopelesstar wrote:

The Prom or The White Tiger (there was tea Netflix will push it and the early reactions from critics were great, people are sleeping on that one)

I don’t know. If I’m not mistaken Anne Thompson mentioned that when a preview of the film was shown at AFI that it had a very muted reception…

FYC:

"The Good Fight", "The Other Two" and "Station Eleven" in all categories, Sarah Lancashire ("Julia"), William Jackson Harper ("Love Life") and Luke Kirby ("The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel")

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[nevkm Joined: Jan 3rd, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 878 View Predictions]

#1203840621

Sound of Metal and Promising Young Woman

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[OneAndOnly Joined: Mar 21st, 2017 Topics: 11 Posts: 1096 View Predictions]

#1203840646

The Prom 

Others with a chance:

Tenet
On the Rocks
The Midnight Sky
Promising Young Woman

Have a great day if you see this!

FYC:
The Great
Everything Everywhere All At Once
Severance
The Batman

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