Biggest Oscar lock

[Moviebuff22Participant Joined: Jan 17th, 2016 Topics: 8 Posts: 725 View Predictions]

#216902

Who’s the one sure fire winner with zero chance of losing next Sunday night. For me it’s the screenplay categories for Big Short and Spotlight, Lubezki for cinematography, and Leo and Larson

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[ziggyParticipant Joined: Nov 29th, 2013 Topics: 0 Posts: 573 View Predictions]

#216904

Biggest lock by far: Leo, no contest.

In more marginalized categories, I feel pretty confident with Inside Out, Son of Saul and Amy having this in the bag.

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[Rooney MooreParticipant Joined: Aug 2nd, 2014 Topics: 11 Posts: 1398 View Predictions]

#216905

Carol

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[AsgarothParticipant Joined: Nov 1st, 2012 Topics: 9 Posts: 360 View Predictions]

#216906

DiCaprio
Larson
Lubezki
Inside Out
Son of Saul

The screenplays are almost locked, not 100% locked. If voters really didn’t care about Spotlight or TBS (which is possible) I don’t see them rushing to reward them with screenplay-consolation prizes. Maybe Inside Out & Room can surprise in their respective categories.

 

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[DamianWayneParticipant Joined: Jul 21st, 2015 Topics: 4 Posts: 763 View Predictions]

#216907

Inside Out will probably receive the most votes of any contender in any category. 

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[Joe BurnsParticipant Joined: Jan 26th, 2014 Topics: 81 Posts: 708 View Predictions]

#216908

Leo for sure.  

The screenplay categories aren’t locks, although The Big Short is a really strong favorite that will probably win, unless Room can pull an upset which looks doubtful because Brie is such a strong lock in Best Actress and they won’t feel the need to reward the film anywhere else. Spotlight is vulnerable due to the race controversy so Straight Outta Compton is a possible winner. I’m gonna wait till the very end to decide on that race.    

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[Rooney MooreParticipant Joined: Aug 2nd, 2014 Topics: 11 Posts: 1398 View Predictions]

#216909

When did PGA winner TBS has been downgraded to screenplay-consolation prize? It’s facing an uphill battle with TR for sure, but it won’t lose its best bet to something like Room. And can someone explain the praise for its screenplay to me ? Directing, okay. But for a movie about silence the panegyric for its screenplay is weird.

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[Damiansport1Participant Joined: Dec 2nd, 2014 Topics: 11 Posts: 344 View Predictions]

#216910

Sure fire lock:

Leo
Larson
Inarritu
Stallone
Inside Out
Amy
Son of Saul
Original screenplay
adapted screenplay
Morricone
Lady Gaga

near locks:

Vikander (dont buying this Winslet thing)
Star Wars for effects (2 mld+BAFTA+VES, game over)

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[Joe BurnsParticipant Joined: Jan 26th, 2014 Topics: 81 Posts: 708 View Predictions]

#216911

When did PGA winner TBS have been downgraded to screenplay-consolation prize? It’s facing an uphill battle with TR for sure, but it won’t lose its best bet to something like Room. And can someone explain the praise for its screenplay for that one to me ? Directing, okay. But for a movie about silence the panegyric for its screenplay is weird.

 

Well, the Academy clearly liked Room and upsets in Adapted Screenplay can happen if there’s a film that has a lot of passion behind it.   That said, I get your point- Big Short is a near lock for the award. I just am not calling  it a lock. 

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[pablozeddParticipant Joined: Jan 3rd, 2016 Topics: 0 Posts: 165 View Predictions]

#216912

Leo
Larson
Inside Out
Amy
Son of Saul
 

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[ankehuberParticipant Joined: Oct 11th, 2013 Topics: 6 Posts: 153 View Predictions]

#216913

Carol

in which category  ???

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[MontyParticipant Joined: Jan 21st, 2015 Topics: 1 Posts: 246 View Predictions]

#216914

Leonardo Dicaprio
Brie Larson
Sylvester Stallone
The Big Short for Adapted Screenplay
Spotlight for Original Screenplay
Inside Out
Amy
Son of Saul
The Revenant for Cinematography 
Lady Gaga for Original Song
The Hateful Eight for Original Score
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu for Directing (He won BAFTA, DGA, Globe. Only didn’t win the irrelevant BFCA)

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[Damiansport1Participant Joined: Dec 2nd, 2014 Topics: 11 Posts: 344 View Predictions]

#216915

Im not sure that Lubezki is a lock because he won twice in a row and Seale is great too.
But Inarritu is. He won everything and there isnt clear #2 in this category. really.

And BFCA didnt gave AGI because as we know, critics didnt love Revenant

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[shartMember Joined: Jan 6th, 2016 Topics: 0 Posts: 143 View Predictions]

#216916

Leo (barring being found in bed with Dame Maggie Smith)
followed closely by Brie Larson and Sly Stallone
Then Inside Out and Son of Saul and Amy
Then BD AGI
Then BC Lubezski
Best Picture is still up in the air as far as I’m concerned
After that, it’s anyone’s guess although I might step a bit out on a limb and call most of the techs for Mad Max with Editing being a Wild Card (Big Short or MM)

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[Anonymous Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 26 Posts: 2388 View Predictions]

#216917

Leo

When’s the last time a perceived-overdue actor was the frontrunner for a BP frontrunner? Dustin Hoffman for Kramer vs. Kramer? 

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