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Christopher Plummer has a real path to upset Rockwell

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  • GusCruz
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    Just throwing this out there.

    Plummer has really only lost one award to Sam Rockwell — the Golden Globes. He wasn’t nominated at SAG and by the BFCA because they simply hadn’t seen All the Money in the World in time. But he did get in at Bafta, and he has a real shot to win there for the Ridley Scott (British director) film.

    Plummer is definitely the biggest story from this season. Everyone loves and respects the man — he already is the oldest acting winner ever, and he would be breaking his own record in a year that will likely see the two other oldest nominees win (Ivory and Varda). His win would also be the biggest statement with regard to the Me Too/Time’s Up movements. Can you just imagine the kind of standing ovation he would get? Rockwell seems “solid” right now, but he 1) still hasn’t won Bafta 2) plays the character who’s the center of most of the Three Billboards controversy 3) could split the vote with the much beloved Woody Harrelson (at Bafta and at the Oscars). I’m not saying Plummer WILL win (at least not until Bafta), but I believe people should be talking about this possibility.

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    Milk Money
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    I can oddly see that happening.

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    Miles
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    If anyone were to make a statement like that and award Plummer it would have been the Globes and they didn’t. Especially considering they also nominated Scott and Williams.

    The big story with All the Money in the World was Plummer replacing Spacey but then it was engulfed in controversy with Williams’ salary. I don’t know how much that second part matters but I think it is a factor here.

    I think Dafoe is the only outside chance at upsetting Rockwell.

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    GusCruz
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    If anyone were to make a statement like that and award Plummer it would have been the Globes and they didn’t. Especially considering they also nominated Scott and Williams.

    Well, the Globes were pretty high on Three Billboards, and that was before the controversy. However I do agree with you that he lost there; but that could be overcome with a Bafta win — I think the Williams/Wahlberg story won’t count against Plummer, even less so in England. We’ll see.

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    Michael Norris
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    #1202477819

    I thought of that too. Even though I preferred Rockwell’s performance, I’d love to see that happen. The Oscar for Beginners was kind of seen as a way to cap off his career, so I think it’d be pretty cool if that just ended up being his first of two.

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    Peaceful Resolution
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    Possible. Especially since Spacey is a two-time winner and Plummer is an even greater cultural film legend than the smug and disgraced golden gay.

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    Intestacy
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    He gave a great performance. I certainly hope he wins.

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    1avengers
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    It could happen. There’s precedent. The BAFTAs have shaken things up before. Eddie Murphy had won GG, SAG, and CC before Alan Arkin took the BAFTA then the Oscar. And then Marion Cotillard won at the BAFTAs before eventually edging out Julie Christie at the Oscars (Maybe Ronan can pull this off?).

    So it’s a possibility. And personally, I’d like to see something happen to make these acting races more interesting…

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    Teridax
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    I have been suspecting this since the Bafta nominations came out and saw that Plummer made the cut there. If he wins at Bafta first, then I will predict him to beat Rockwell, which is unlikely considering Bafta gave Three Billboards 9 nominations and gave All The Money In The World just 1 for Plummer. Then again, Plummer was also his films only nomination with the Oscars (which liked TB even less than Bafta going off of the McDonagh Directing snub), so if he wins the Bafta it will make him a very safe bet at least to win his 2nd Academy Award.

    For your Goldderby Film Awards consideration: Isle of Dogs for every category, especially Music Score for Alexandre Desplat!

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    Teridax
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    It could happen. There’s precedent. The BAFTAs have shaken things up before. Eddie Murphy had won GG, SAG, and CC before Alan Arkin took the BAFTA then the Oscar. And then Marion Cotillard won at the BAFTAs before eventually edging out Julie Christie at the Oscars (Maybe Ronan can pull this off?).

    So it’s a possibility. And personally, I’d like to see something happen to make these acting races more interesting…

    Cotillard still won the Comedy/Musical Globe first though. Murphy had Norbitgate going on to completely derail his comeback narrative. Rockwell has nothing going against him except for his characters “redemption arc” being unearned and offensive in the eyes of some Oscar voters. Granted, I think if that is looked at as an issue, then the Screenplay should be blamed and not Sam Rockwell’s complex and nuanced performance itself, but that is just my opinion.

    For your Goldderby Film Awards consideration: Isle of Dogs for every category, especially Music Score for Alexandre Desplat!

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    Pollo crudo
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    The vote splitting really concerns me, this could happen, but I’d love if Dafoe is the one winning here, if you want to award a veteran he is the one.

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    jasonface
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    Vote splitting REALLY isn’t as common as everyone acts. And most of the time when one of the two actors from the same film doesn’t prevail over the other, there was already a viable frontrunner elsewhere.

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    LangeWeaver2
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    This is interesting, actually.  If Three Billboards backlash is strong, I don’t know that it’s gonna sink Frances McDormand, but it could sink Rockwell.  Then it’s a question of do they swing back to Dafoe or is it game on and suddenly Plummer or even Jenkins are up for the gold.

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    Stegeo
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    Vote splitting doesn’t happen at the Oscars, and Plummer isn’t winning a 2nd Oscar. Sorry.

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    GusCruz
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    most of the time when one of the two actors from the same film doesn’t prevail over the other, there was already a viable frontrunner elsewhere.

    Which is why I’m waiting for Bafta to create that alternative. If not, I give up.

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