Could Laura Dern get Glenn Close'd at the Oscars?

[James Breheney Joined: Feb 15th, 2017 Topics: 11 Posts: 470 View Predictions]

#1203296770

Hear me out: I think the other 3 are locks and will continue their sweeps at BAFTA and the Oscars. But Laura Dern is vulnerable to a Florence Pugh upset at BAFTA. This combined with Oscar voters probably thinking that Dern will win anyway could lead to them voting for their passion pick which could be Pugh or even ScarJo. Yes this is unlikely but we also thought Glenn Close losing was unlikely.

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[Hoster1 Joined: Aug 8th, 2016 Topics: 4 Posts: 2471 View Predictions]

#1203296775

Lol she’s not vulnerable to anything.

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[Arthur J. Fleck Joined: Oct 8th, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 78 View Predictions]

#1203296785

She’s not facing an acclaimed performance like Colman’s was, so she’s probably the safest Oscar winner.

All I have are negative thoughts

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[M: The Original Joined: Aug 5th, 2014 Topics: 61 Posts: 6794 View Predictions]

#1203296794

Glenn Close isn’t a cautionary tale for current or future nominees. She’s an example of voters respecting her enough to nominate but petty enough to vote for alternatives.

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[Bee Joined: Oct 25th, 2016 Topics: 26 Posts: 5229 View Predictions]

#1203296798

All four acting categories are LOCKED. Hang it up.

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[JackO Joined: Jun 2nd, 2011 Topics: 13 Posts: 5889 View Predictions]

#1203296804

For who? Robbie couldnt even get a GD nom. Jojo is dead outside of screenplay. Pugh has less than zero narrative to win. Nom is reward.

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[Bassett Joined: Dec 21st, 2016 Topics: 9 Posts: 4445 View Predictions]

#1203296890

Nope. There’s no alternative now that her alleged biggest competitor couldn’t even make the final 5

FYC :

Best Actress - Viola Davis, Frances McDormand
Best Actor - Delroy Lindo, Chadwick Boseman
Best Supporting Actor - Colman Domingo, Glynn Turman
Best Picture - Nomadland
Best Director - Chloé Zhao
SAG Ensemble - Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Best Cinematography - Nomadland

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[ArtIsntEasy Joined: Dec 17th, 2011 Topics: 3 Posts: 1237 View Predictions]

#1203296894

I honestly would not be surprised if she lost at BAFTA. Having said that, the only nominee who comes from a Best Film nominee is Robbie for HOLLYWOOD and I really, really do not think she could win for that…so frankly, I am still going to predict Dern. However, I could see them going for the other three (sans Robbie for HOLLYWOOD).

Even if Dern were to lose the BAFTA, she will still get the Oscar regardless.

“The art of making art is putting it together...”

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[Ghost Joined: Sep 27th, 2011 Topics: 81 Posts: 9983 View Predictions]

#1203296898

She can lose BAFTA and still win the Oscar.

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[Thatcher, Prime Minister of GoldDerby Joined: Jan 3rd, 2018 Topics: 8 Posts: 2480 View Predictions]

#1203296905

JackO wrote:

Robbie couldnt even get a GD nom.

Darling, Shouty is disgustingly winning but taking GD nominations as something relevant is truly hilarious.

As a famous singer said, "ain't nobody gonna Thatcher, Thatcher, Thatcher!"

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[Brayden Fitzsimmons Joined: May 3rd, 2015 Topics: 120 Posts: 7935 View Predictions]

#1203296926

JackO wrote:

For who? Robbie couldnt even get a GD nom. Jojo is dead outside of screenplay. Pugh has less than zero narrative to win. Nom is reward.

This. Dern’s biggest / only competition missed on nomination morning and she’s had this on lock ever since.

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[The Girls' Room Joined: Jun 20th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 1997 View Predictions]

#1203296945

braydenfitzsimmons wrote:

This. Dern’s biggest / only competition missed on nomination morning and she’s had this on lock ever since.

? Are you talking about Gma?

watch I May Destroy You

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[BICTH Joined: Nov 3rd, 2016 Topics: 3 Posts: 3072 View Predictions]

#1203297091

I guess bafta can always go for their native talent (who in this case would be the rightful winner, anyway), but for pugh getting over the lack of name recognition and getting the nomination was her reward. unlike close, dern is the one with the critics’ support this year

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[Filmatelist Joined: Nov 19th, 2011 Topics: 15 Posts: 593 View Predictions]

#1203297164

A poor analogy for a number of reasons, including the fact that Close was the sole nominee for her film while Dern’s film has incredibly strong support across the acting branch and the Academy overall. Could she still lose? Sure, but if she did, it would be for completely different reasons than why Close did.

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[JackO Joined: Jun 2nd, 2011 Topics: 13 Posts: 5889 View Predictions]

#1203297201

Thatcher, Prime Minister of GoldDerby wrote:

Darling, Shouty is disgustingly winning but taking GD nominations as something relevant is truly hilarious.

I mean GD is pretty much sheep oscar voters. Her missing there is more telling than anything. GD would never snub an Oscar winner.

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