January 21, 2020 at 11:10 am #1203296770
Hear me out: I think the other 3 are locks and will continue their sweeps at BAFTA and the Oscars. But Laura Dern is vulnerable to a Florence Pugh upset at BAFTA. This combined with Oscar voters probably thinking that Dern will win anyway could lead to them voting for their passion pick which could be Pugh or even ScarJo. Yes this is unlikely but we also thought Glenn Close losing was unlikely.January 21, 2020 at 11:13 am #1203296775
Lol she’s not vulnerable to anything.January 21, 2020 at 11:14 am #1203296785
She’s not facing an acclaimed performance like Colman’s was, so she’s probably the safest Oscar winner.
All I have are negative thoughtsJanuary 21, 2020 at 11:16 am #1203296794
Glenn Close isn’t a cautionary tale for current or future nominees. She’s an example of voters respecting her enough to nominate but petty enough to vote for alternatives.January 21, 2020 at 11:16 am #1203296798
All four acting categories are LOCKED. Hang it up.January 21, 2020 at 11:17 am #1203296804
For who? Robbie couldnt even get a GD nom. Jojo is dead outside of screenplay. Pugh has less than zero narrative to win. Nom is reward.January 21, 2020 at 11:44 am #1203296890
Nope. There’s no alternative now that her alleged biggest competitor couldn’t even make the final 5
Best Actress - Viola Davis, Frances McDormand
Best Actor - Delroy Lindo, Chadwick Boseman
Best Supporting Actor - Colman Domingo, Glynn Turman
Best Picture - Nomadland
Best Director - Chloé Zhao
SAG Ensemble - Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Best Cinematography - NomadlandJanuary 21, 2020 at 11:46 am #1203296894
I honestly would not be surprised if she lost at BAFTA. Having said that, the only nominee who comes from a Best Film nominee is Robbie for HOLLYWOOD and I really, really do not think she could win for that…so frankly, I am still going to predict Dern. However, I could see them going for the other three (sans Robbie for HOLLYWOOD).
Even if Dern were to lose the BAFTA, she will still get the Oscar regardless.
“The art of making art is putting it together...”January 21, 2020 at 11:48 am #1203296898
She can lose BAFTA and still win the Oscar.January 21, 2020 at 12:51 pm #1203297091
I guess bafta can always go for their native talent (who in this case would be the rightful winner, anyway), but for pugh getting over the lack of name recognition and getting the nomination was her reward. unlike close, dern is the one with the critics’ support this yearJanuary 21, 2020 at 1:20 pm #1203297164
A poor analogy for a number of reasons, including the fact that Close was the sole nominee for her film while Dern’s film has incredibly strong support across the acting branch and the Academy overall. Could she still lose? Sure, but if she did, it would be for completely different reasons than why Close did.January 21, 2020 at 1:35 pm #1203297201
Darling, Shouty is disgustingly winning but taking GD nominations as something relevant is truly hilarious.
I mean GD is pretty much sheep oscar voters. Her missing there is more telling than anything. GD would never snub an Oscar winner.
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