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Could Laura Dern get Glenn Close'd at the Oscars?

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  • Teresa Chavez
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    #1203297321

    What were they saying? That overdue wins are lazy?

    What?????

    Yeh, stuff like that. I remember one specifically saying if there is any justice in this world, Olivia Colman should win the Best Actress Oscar.

    The main idea was that the Oscar is already losing credibility and everything (ratings dropping etc…) but people winning Oscars for their careers instead of their actual performance (Glenn Close etc..), is definitely not a good image for the Oscars in the general audience’s eye.

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    JustGuy89
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    #1203297332

    Lol

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    Jays
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    #1203297384

    You read HE, so Glenn really has a shot right? Could she votesplit with Adams? I feel like Adams ain’t getting in, or maybe they’ll push her in the leading category what do you say?

    If HE is good, Glenn is winning. She could realistically vote split with Adams but Glenn’s role is a lot better, imo, at least it is in the book. She’ll also benefit from HE being a Netflix film because they’ve shown the last 2-3 years that they’re verrrry good at the Oscar game.

    The only reason for concern is Adams maybe being in her category. But I have a hard time seeing Netflix campaign two of the most overdue actresses in the same category. Adams would probably go lead but she wouldn’t win.

    Also, Glenn has Four Good Days, which is super baity too. So we’ll see how that one turns out soon since it’s going to Sundance.

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    Singsongoflove01
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    If HE is good, Glenn is winning. She could realistically vote split with Adams but Glenn’s role is a lot better, imo, at least it is in the book. She’ll also benefit from HE being a Netflix film because they’ve shown the last 2-3 years that they’re verrrry good at the Oscar game. The only reason for concern is Adams maybe being in her category. But I have a hard time seeing Netflix campaign two of the most overdue actresses in the same category. Adams would probably go lead but she wouldn’t win. Also, Glenn has Four Good Days, which is super baity too. So we’ll see how that one turns out soon since it’s going to Sundance.

    Adams’ role from what I read is lead. I imagine they’ll want to prevent vote splitting.

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    jez89
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    #1203297531

    For who? Robbie couldnt even get a GD nom. Jojo is dead outside of screenplay. Pugh has less than zero narrative to win. Nom is reward.

    Lol. I reckon about 1% of Academy voters would have any idea about the Gold Derby awards.

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    Jays
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    Adams’ role from what I read is lead. I imagine they’ll want to prevent vote splitting.

    It’s really not lead, that’s the thing. The true lead is the Gabriel Basso who’s playing Adams’ son and Close’s grandson. Adams is so supporting in the book. She’s gone for stretches at a time, but when she’s present it’s a really baity character. I can only see her being pushed lead because one of them will probably have to, and if they adapt it a certain way then she could be frauded. But it would definitely be fraud because whole story is from the POV of the son.

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    Singsongoflove01
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    It’s really not lead, that’s the thing. The true lead is the Gabriel Basso who’s playing Adams’ son and Close’s grandson. Adams is so supporting in the book. She’s gone for stretches at a time, but when she’s present it’s a really baity character. I can only see her being pushed lead because one of them will probably have to, and if they adapt it a certain way then she could be frauded. But it would definitely be fraud because whole story is from the POV of the son.

    We don’t know how they’ve adapted the book yet. They could’ve enlarged that role.

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    CateNicole
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    #1203297691

    Unfortunately as baffling and inexplicable as it is Laura Dern is going to win an undeserved Oscar. I will never understand the stubbornness of the voters this year – why when given such better options do they continue to vote for her? Didn’t they see the other performances? This will forever be a head scratcher. The only hope for her not winning was if SAG had gone for either Johansson or Robbie. I am predicting Pugh wins at BAFTA but it’s too late to stop this nonsense from happening ): I hope to be proven wrong! Anyone but Dern!

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    Babygirl
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    #1203297700

    Lol she’s locked for the win, which is so baffling since she’s the least deserving in her category.

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    Babygirl
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    #1203297702

    For who? Robbie couldnt even get a GD nom.

    You think the Academy would care about that? 😭😭🤣🤣🤣🤣

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    MarinaBelo2
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    #1203297709

    Glenn Close losing was an outlier that proves Oscar voters are ageist or don’t want HER to win. This “She’s gonna win anyway, so I’m going to vote for Olivia Colman” isn’t a valid excuse. If things like that happened, the frontrunners would frequently lose to their runner-ups, and that never happens. The “lone nominee” or “They don’t care about overdue narratives anymore” excuses don’t work either because Julianne Moore/Gary Oldman won recently and Pitt and Dern are going to win this time.

    Laura Dern could lose BAFTA, but her Oscar win is sealed. There’s no way they’re going to vote for Florence Pugh, a newbie, over her. Even if many voters don’t want her to win, their votes will be split between Johansson and Robbie anyway, so Pugh winning BAFTA would just split the anti-Dern votes even more.

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    CateNicole
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    #1203297717

    Glenn Close losing was an outlier that proves Oscar voters are ageist or don’t want HER to win. This “She’s gonna win anyway, so I’m going to vote for Olivia Colman” isn’t a valid excuse. If things like that happened, the frontrunners would frequently lose to their runner-ups, and that never happens.

    The Academy went back to the preferential ballot in 2009, so who knows for sure?

    Preferential ballots could definitely hurt frontrunners if voters vehemently disagree with who the frontrunner is and purposely lowball them.

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    MarinaBelo2
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    #1203297720

    Did you notice how Hollywoodish the Bafta’s were this year? Also, people were predicting JLO would beat Dern at the Globes, not only that didn’t happen but she was also snubbed at the Oscars. Dern is a lock win. All 4 categories and that’s unfortunate. Most boring acting awards season this decade.

    This is even worse than 2018, maybe. I’m not sure.

    Thing is, none of the 4 winners would have swept if voters weren’t so lazy.

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    M: The Original
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    #1203297722

    Glenn Close losing was an outlier that proves Oscar voters are ageist or don’t want HER to win. This “She’s gonna win anyway, so I’m going to vote for Olivia Colman” isn’t a valid excuse. If things like that happened, the frontrunners would frequently lose to their runner-ups, and that never happens. The “lone nominee” or “They don’t care about overdue narratives anymore” excuses don’t work either because Julianne Moore/Gary Oldman won recently and Pitt and Dern are going to win this time.

    Laura Dern could lose BAFTA, but her Oscar win is sealed. There’s no way they’re going to vote for Florence Pugh, a newbie, over her. Even if many voters don’t want her to win, their votes will be split between Johansson and Robbie anyway, so Pugh winning BAFTA would just split the anti-Dern votes even more.

    All of this.

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    MarinaBelo2
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    The Academy went back to the preferential ballot in 2009, so who knows for sure? Preferential ballots could definitely hurt frontrunners if voters vehemently disagree with who the frontrunner is and purposely lowball them.

    I’m talking about the acting categories, the preferential voting is used only for Best Picture.

    In the last 8-ish years, the frontrunners always swept and the exceptions are very specific: Stallone, Aaron Taylor-Johnson: populist GG picks. James Franco was blacklisted because there was outrage over him winning the GG. Glenn lost to Colman at BAFTAs because Colman is a national treasure there.
    Meryl lost SAG to Viola Davis because she had won SAG 4 years before but lost the Oscar to Winslet. SAG voters probably didn’t think she was getting the Oscar(again) even after her GG win, so they went for their favorite instead.

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