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February 26, 2017 at 3:22 am #1202022578
I was looking at the honest Oscar ballots, that are going around, and most of these have voted for Moonlight & Barry Jenkins as well as for Moonlight in other categories. I know, that these are selected ballots to make up some excitement but I also read that Oscar voters really seems to like Moonlight. I dont know how many Oscar The Revenant was predicted to win last year, but is there a chance La La Land wins only 2-3 and Moonlight is going to sweep? It has a lot of passion behind it and OscarSowhite and the election could make voters want to send out a message.February 26, 2017 at 3:29 am #1202022582
No.February 26, 2017 at 3:36 am #1202022583
Girl I fuckin wish. It’ll be a miracle for Moonlight to win four Oscars.February 26, 2017 at 7:50 am #1202022701
In your dreams. Maybe one or two at the most. La La Land will probably pull off a sweep because it’s about aspiring Hollywood singers, actors and musicians trying to become Hollywood singers, actors and musicians. It’s a new take on an old Oscar Bait trope used in the 1930’s and again a couple decades later with aspiring singers, actors and musicians trying to produce or get a part in a Broadway or Hollywood musical:
* The Broadway Melody of 1929 (won BP)
* 42nd Street (1933; nominated for BP)
* Broadway Melody of 1936 (If we did it once, maybe we can do it again; nominated for BP but didn’t win)
* Broadway Melody of 1938 (if at first you don’t succeed, try again; FAIL)
* Broadway Melody of 1940 (if at first you don’t succeed, try, try again; FAIL AGAIN)
* Singin’ in the Rain (nominated for two, but not BP; AFAIK the last attempt until now)
Worked in 1929 and almost worked twice more. Hasn’t been used in a long time which is why it might just work again. Read about La La Land and it was deja vu.
JohnFebruary 26, 2017 at 8:19 am #1202022728
Yes it can, Moonlight did win Best Drama at the Globes, La La Land can win Director and even outFebruary 26, 2017 at 8:26 am #1202022735
I am not trolling, I am really serious. I dont believe that La La Land is sweeping the Oscar. The Oscar history has shown that even if you have 12 nominations, you can end up with only two or three. In the last two weeks it seems that Moonlight got even more support and the backlash of La La Land got bigger and bigger. And than the Bafta and WGA have shown that the support of LLL is fading (I know Moonlight didnt win any Bafta).February 26, 2017 at 8:27 am #1202022739
I think Jenkins has a chance.February 26, 2017 at 8:38 am #1202022754
Moonlight has no chance apart from BSA and Adapted Screenplay. Editing is a really long shot.
Moonlight has been underperforming when it comes to big prizes. Just Drama Globe, Ali’s SAG and WGA. 0 BAFTA. Don’t be fooled.February 26, 2017 at 9:22 am #1202022778
The biggest sweep Moonlight could do is five. (Picture, Director, Screenplay BSA and Editing). It’s a long way behind in Cimematography and Score and Harris isn’t going beat Davis.
Even then I think La La Land would be the biggest winner on the night. (Actress, Song, Score, Cinematography, S.Mixing and Production Design. With good chance in Costumes and Screenplay).February 26, 2017 at 11:22 am #1202022858
Doubtful – realistically, its ceiling is probably four Oscars, in Picture, Supporting Actor, Adapted Screenplay and Cinematography. That is, unless the anti-La La Land backlash is more potent than anyone’s been thinking, in which case Director and Film Editing might be long-shot possibilities.
For the finest in film reviews and awards analysis, please visit me at The Awards Connection!February 26, 2017 at 11:28 am #1202022871
No, I’m sorry it just isn’t happening. You’re taking way too much out of like 5 ballots. La La Land has won GG, Bafta, PGA, DGA, Critics Choice. This isn’t going to be a a Brokeback Mountain situation. I guess anything is possible but it can’t sweep, as in win all its categories? I actually would be more shocked it Chazelle lost than if LLL lost picture, and obviously Harris isn’t winning. Moonlight isn’t winning any craft awards either.February 26, 2017 at 11:35 am #1202022880
Whatever happens chazelle is locked for Director (if he doesn’t win I’ll all be over for lala land)February 26, 2017 at 11:40 am #1202022887
I noticed there’s been a trend recently where the Best Picture winner only wins a few awards (but they’re all in major categories) and still walks away with the top prize. Could we be looking at a similar situation this year with Moonlight winning Adapted Screenplay, Supporting Actor, and Picture a la 12 Years a Slave? And if that’s the case, could La La Land be this year’s Revenant and Gravity?
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