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Could there be a tie tomorrow?

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  • Zach Lozano
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    #180461

    I know they are very rare and typically happen in the smaller categories, but is there a chance of a tie occurring in one of the bigger categories? Picture and director are both very up in the air and both of the front runners are well deserving of a win and think it would really shake things up if there was a tie. 

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    Monty
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    #180463

    I hope there will be a tie for best actor for Keaton and Redmayne
    The chance of a tie in preferential ballot system seems low

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    Asgaroth
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    #180464

    I hate ties. They shouldn’t occur. When you have a tie it’s almost the same as there was no winner at all…

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    GusCruz
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    #180465

    The Academy has a system that makes ties in the Best Picture category impossible. The one category I can see a tie happening is Original Score.

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    Gone_Guy
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    #180466

    If I had to pick a category where there would likely be a tie, I would say Film Editing, between Boyhood and Whiplash.

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    ETPhoneHome
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    #180467

    I think Adapted Screenplay and Score are both close enough for a tie to happen, but the odds are against it. With this many close races, it’s more feasible than usual, and those seem like the most likely places.

    Come participate in this year's Goldderby Rankings! http://www.goldderby.com/forum/movies/2017-goldderby-rankings/

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    seoul
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    #180468

    Cooper and Redmayne tie would be amazing.

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    ColinWesley
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    #180469

    I believe most of the men will be wearing ties (puns are terrible, I’m sorry about that )

    Ummm, I could actually see a tie in visual effects happening. I’ve been pondering how much passion there is for Interstellar vs. Guardians of the Galaxy and respect for Dawn of the Planet of the Apes.

    It looks like Interstellar should be a slam dunk, but it’s very divisive and though most will probably just say “meh, space movie” and check it off by default, I suspect a lot more people than we think will haaaate it (I loved it btw, just in case anyone thinks I’m being biased). I feel like Apes benefits more, because it has been advertising heavily and has a nostalgic quality to it, what with the apes movies being classics. Well, the first one at least.

    Guardians seems to be doing well, but it does have that (unfortunate) comic book bias that can hurt.

    This category is pretty close if you ask me. Tie close. 

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    David Baruffi
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    #180470

    It’s definitely possible for there to be a tie in any category, including Best Picture, even with a preferential voting system, (The PGAs showed that last year) but it would be tough. That would essentially mean that it would go down to the sixth movie, and the way the votes would be distributed, it would have to be an even amount of total eligible ballots at that point, (Little known fact: while it’s advised to rank all the Best Picture films 1-whatever, you don’t actually have to, and some voters do in fact leave off films they don’t feel deserved for one reason or another of Best Picture, and only say, go down to 2 or 3 spots, so that’s why I say eligible ballots, ’cause if say, a voter had “Selma”, then “The Imitation Game” and “The Theory of Everything” and then left everything else blank, once all three of those films are gone, the ballot is tossed aside.) and the last ballots end up being distributed in such a way where, say, in all likelyhood, “Birdman…” and “Boyhood” have the same amount of votes at the end, down to a two-horse race, then it would be a tie for Best Picture. 

    That said, that is absolutely almost a statistical impossibility, (But again, we saw it at PGAs) but it’s really unlikely. And the Oscars are not known for ties anyway. I think there have only been six ever, in the history of the Oscars, and with the voting blocks for each category being expanded to everyone now, that means it’s that much more unlikely. It would not shock if there was some bizarre tie, in a major category even, possibly Director for instance, but I wouldn’t bet on it. 

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    HarleyQuinn17
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    #180471

    The Academy has a system that makes ties in the Best Picture category impossible. The one category I can see a tie happening is Original Score.

    is not going to happen, but a tie between TGBH and The Imitation Game would be crazy
    Has the same person ever won 2 Oscars in the same category in the same year?
     

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    Sagand
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    #180472

    It’s definitely possible for there to be a tie in any category, including Best Picture, even with a preferential voting system, (The PGAs showed that last year) but it would be tough. That would essentially mean that it would go down to the sixth movie, and the way the votes would be distributed, it would have to be an even amount of total eligible ballots at that point, (Little known fact: while it’s advised to rank all the Best Picture films 1-whatever, you don’t actually have to, and some voters do in fact leave off films they don’t feel deserved for one reason or another of Best Picture, and only say, go down to 2 or 3 spots, so that’s why I say eligible ballots, ’cause if say, a voter had “Selma”, then “The Imitation Game” and “The Theory of Everything” and then left everything else blank, once all three of those films are gone, the ballot is tossed aside.) and the last ballots end up being distributed in such a way where, say, in all likelyhood, “Birdman…” and “Boyhood” have the same amount of votes at the end, down to a two-horse race, then it would be a tie for Best Picture. 

    That said, that is absolutely almost a statistical impossibility, (But again, we saw it at PGAs) but it’s really unlikely. And the Oscars are not known for ties anyway. I think there have only been six ever, in the history of the Oscars, and with the voting blocks for each category being expanded to everyone now, that means it’s that much more unlikely. It would not shock if there was some bizarre tie, in a major category even, possibly Director for instance, but I wouldn’t bet on it. 

    It’s much easier to tie at PGA than Oscar. PGA declares a tie if after the rounds of voting two films have the same number of votes. Whereas if two films have the same number of votes at Oscar they go back and give Best Picture to the one that had the most number 1 votes. A tie at Oscar is possible it would mean two pictures had the same number of 1 votes, 2 votes, 3 votes ect. It goes from incredibly unlikely to virtually impossible.  

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    24Emmy
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    #180473

    A Bradley Cooper and Michael Keaton tie would be awesome. I don’t like ties, but if there has to be a major one that should be it.

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