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Critics Groups Awards – Conclusions

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  • TomHardys
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    #122049

    Lets talk about the winners, the losers and the awards prospects generally speaking. Who is rising? Who is falling? In my opinion, Adele Exarchopoulos, Spike Jonze and Her are the ones who got the biggest and well deserved boosts. The Wolf of Wall Street, DiCaprio and Scorcese are officially real threats in the race and Jared Leto is becoming a mortal lock. What do you guys think?

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    #122051

    I say televised awards dictate Oscar. Until we get nominations for SAG, the Globes, and Critics Choice—nothing else matters when you’re talking about Oscar. 

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    AviChristiaans
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    #122052

    Although people still don’t want to (and will probably never) admit it, there is NO clear frontrunner in here. Not in any category, except probably in Best Actress.

    Not in Best Picture. Not in Director. Not in Cinematography, and not in Best Actor.

    12 Years a Slave might’ve been in front based on reviews (the same critics who said it was the front runner for Best Picture), but those reviews didn’t materialize wins.. So NO.    

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    CanadianFan
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    #122053

    I think Her, Gravity, and American Hustle are in a good position.

    12YAS seemed like an easy sweep, but it didn’t win any of the major critic awards, so I’d say its perceived frontrunner status is gone. However, depending on who you talk to, that could work out to the film’s advantage.

    I still think AH is winning the comedy globe and SAG award en route to the BP Oscar. 

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    Mrs. Doolittle
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    #122054

    It really seems that all of Weinstein’s pictures are in trouble. Where the heck is the support for Streep’s performance?

    It is also apparent that Cate will take home her second Oscar and that Jared Letto may take one home as well. 

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    #122055

    Where the heck is the support for Streep’s performance?

    With televised awards bodies.  

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    babypook
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    #122056

    Well, I’m not ‘concluding’ anything until the circuit leading up to Oscar is actually over.

    The only ‘front-runner’ status I see emerging so far is Blanchett. Imo, she had this won back in early september. That’s my opinion. I’ve heard most of the debate over this.

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    Renaton
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    #122057

    I say televised awards dictate Oscar. Until we get nominations for SAG, the Globes, and Critics Choice—nothing else matters when you’re talking about Oscar. 

    Critics Choice and Globes don’t influence the Oscars much. The big four critics groups (NYFCC, LAFCC, NBR and National Society Of Film Critics) all have bigger influence today. If anything, Critics Choice and Globes mostly just follow already existant momentum rather than set trends themselves. SAG is the only one that affects the race more directly, and that’s because it’s guild. 

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    marcelo
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    #122058

    Although people still don’t want to (and will probably never) admit it, there is NO clear frontrunner in here. Not in any category, except probably in Best Actress.

    Not in Best Picture. Not in Director. Not in Cinematography, and not in Best Actor.

    12 Years a Slave might’ve been in front based on reviews (the same critics who said it was the front runner for Best Picture), but those reviews didn’t materialize wins.. So NO.    

     Agree. For me the only clear frontrunner is Cate, and probably Jared Leto

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    Anonymous
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    #122059

    Captain Phillips is bombing

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    Anonymous
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    #122060

    Critics choices so far, which as noted above will likely be wiped by the televised:
    Her/Hustle/Gravity/Slave, Cate/Emma/Adele, Bruce/Chiwetel/Robert, JLaw/Octavia/Lupita, Jared/Will/Michael
     

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    Malick
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    #122061

    ^^ Maybe Hanks doesnt get nominated at all. We all ought to start considering that notion.

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    pacinofan
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    #122062

    I think Her, Gravity, and American Hustle are in a good position.

    12YAS seemed like an easy sweep, but it didn’t win any of the major critic awards, so I’d say its perceived frontrunner status is gone. However, depending on who you talk to, that could work out to the film’s advantage.

    I still think AH is winning the comedy globe and SAG award en route to the BP Oscar. 

    I hope “American Hustle” is as much fun as the critics are saying, I will admit it is the movie I am most looking forward to at this point, but even if it wins best comedy at the Golden Globes I still have a hard time seeing it win best picture at the Oscars. If it wins the best picture Oscar I question what else it could win. Screenplay seems likely but besides that nothing comes to mind. The technical awards seem most likely to go to “Gravity”. David O.Russel has won no best director prizes so far and seems like he would be at least behind Alfonso Cuaron and Steve McQueen. Amy Adams and Christian Bale will be lucky to even be in the Oscar lineup with little chance of winning. Jennifer Lawrence may steal the film and has a top prize but winning two years in a row seems a stretch. As such I have a hard time seeing it unless it picks up a lot of surprise awards.

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    Renaton
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    #122063

    I think Gravity looks like a frontrunner, but the collective consensus of small critics groups could change that, help something else and affect the televised wins (who are just  following the momentum most of the time). 

    I don’t think Her is a frontrunner to win, but I think Her is frontrunner to noms. It now looks a bigger lock for BP/BD noms than even American Hustle and Russell. It won’t be one of the nominations leaders and it’s unlikely it cotinues to win awards all over the place, but it’s pretty solid now. 

    It will be interesting to see how the following weeks shape up. So far we have Gravity, Her, 12 Years a Slave, Inside Llewyn Davis and American Hustle as the ones up front. Fruitvale could coast on it’s several Best First Film wins and become the Winter’s Bone/Beasts of this year. But the other spots still look like up for grabs. So far Blue Jasmine, Saving Mr. Banks, Captain Phillips and Nebraska all look like the most likely to close the category, but this could change. Wolf Of Wall Street has potential to be this year’s Django, but it needs to win somethign or be a presence of some sort on the way there. 

    Oh, and we do have a pretty clear frontrunner now: Cate Blanchett.  

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    CanadianFan
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    #122064

    Three director, screenplay and picture noms from David O Russell in 4 years? They’d pretty much have to give it to him if he got in and the film was popular.

    I think Lawrence can win, but it’s an uphill battle. I think it has a great chance at screenplay, and can score nods in production design, costumes, hair + makeup, as well as at least 2/3 other acting races.  

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