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Stephanie Hsu in Supp Actress.
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All Quiet in BP.
EEAAO in Score.
How Do You Measure A Year in Docu Short.
Marcel in Animated Feature.
Ice Merchants in Animated Short.
Bardo in Cinematography.
Spielberg in Director.
All the Beauty and the Bloodshed in Docu Feature.
The Red Suitcase in Live Action Short.
All Quiet in Prod Design.
Living in Adapted Screenplay.
The Quiet Girl in International.
The Batman in Makeup & Hairstyling.
This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.I went into my predix, looked at Elvis that I’ve had winning makeup for weeks and weeks, felt sick to my stomach, hemmed and hawed, and switched to Whale.
Stuck with Marcel. Almost switched to Colin but, no. Good luck to those who did. If he wins you have bragging rights for life.
Don’t care for song and Score categories. What I went with aren’t my favorites.ReplyCopy URLThe Sunne in Splendour.
I prefer my roses whiteNo way EEAAO wins Score over All Quiet and then loses BP to All Quiet. The contradiction.
I see what you mean, but in NGNG predictions I think the spirit is to predict surprises, especially outright shocks. That spirit means it’s almost a necessity to go against perceived wisdom, historical stats, category-links, etc.
I don’t really see what I’ve put in terms of it adding up to a contradiction, anyway. For example, I would have no problem picking, say, Butler in Actor yet not picking Elvis in Makeup & Hairstyling – historical category link stats be damned.
Look at the number of BP winners recently that win BP yet win not much else? That’s a seeming contradiction, but not so much if you alter your perspective.
So, maybe voters think that EEAAO had the best Score; and that All Quiet was the better film. Or the other way around. Possible and not irrational.
Now, what if in addition you had included my Prod Design NGNG of All Quiet? If it wins that then would an All Quiet BP win be as surprising?
Btw, I do follow the logic of your point: that if in the Score category, EEAAO, ranked as weak, beats All Quiet, which is ranked as strong, then that is a definite indication that EEAAO is even stronger than thought, and that All Quiet is probably weaker than thought.
Then again, if your making a broad range of NGNG predictions, like I’ve done, then it’s fair and indeed arguably sensible to NOT approach with a single underlying narrative or take. A broader range of potential narratives or paths, lacking internal consistency, probably makes more sense.
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