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Now that the prediction center is open and people are starting to make their Oscar predictions, what are some wins and/or nominations you feel extremely confident in predicting. Here’s a few of my “locks” for this year’s Oscar season (assuming none of these films are delayed).
Best Director: David Fincher-Mank
Best Original Screenplay: The Trial of the Chicago 7
Best Actor: Anthony Hopkins-The Father
Best Cinematography: Mank
Best Costume Design: News of the World
Best Original Score: Dune
Best Makeup and Hairstying: Mank
Best Visual Effects: Dune
Best Animated Feature: Soul
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I’m not sure I could lock any wins at the minute, although – as has already been mentioned – No Time To Die for Original Song seems pretty safe. Hopkins would be the closest in any of the acting categories.
I feel fairly confident in saying Mank will end up winning numerous awards, although it doesn’t strike me as a BP winner really – I haven’t looked below-the-line in depth but I’d fancy it as a strong contender for Directing, Original, Cinematography, Production Design and Editing at least. This will no doubt come back to bite me when it pulls an Irishman.
I could throw a few predicted nomination locks out in every category but Picture is the most fun so I’ll stick with that for brevity – Mank, Nomadland, One Night in Miami and Trial of the Chicago 7. Bad news for these 4, as last year I think at this stage I was predicting The Laundromat as a dead cert nominee.
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I’m thinking Mank. Fincher films won two years in a row in his prime, and Mank is posted to win a lot of prizes.
Also, I think if Mank wins Editing it will win Sound as well, since those categories have been tied together every year since 2013.
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I think The Trial of the Chicago 7 is going to be win competitive for Best Picture but I don’t think it’s anywhere close to getting nominated for Best Director.
I am predicting Regina and hope she gets in but she may also be in danger even though she’s Regina King considering how unless you’re directing a musical, adaptations of theatre don’t tend to get their director an Oscar nomination.
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I think The Trial of the Chicago 7 is going to be win competitive for Best Picture but I don’t think it’s anywhere close to getting nominated for Best Director. I am predicting Regina and hope she gets in but she may also be in danger even though she’s Regina King considering how unless you’re directing a musical, adaptations of theatre don’t tend to get their director an Oscar nomination.
I have a weird feeling about The Trial of the Chicago 7. On paper, it looks great but Paramount selling it and then buying another contender, and then Netflix releasing it relatively early makes me wonder. But that’s probably just me overthinking.
ReplyCopy URLThat is a good point but let’s not forget how timely The Trial of the Chicago 7 is. I mean there’s a reason it’s being released before the election.
I think at the very worst Strong is getting in at the Globes (even though Abdul-Mateen has the baitier role and is likelier at the Oscars I don’t have as much confidence for him at the Globes as I do for Strong). I think the HFPA will nominate him as a way of saying sorry for snubbing him for Succession.
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