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Early Oscar “Locks”

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    John Berchmans
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    #1203694148

    Now that the prediction center is open and people are starting to make their Oscar predictions, what are some wins and/or nominations you feel extremely confident in predicting. Here’s a few of my “locks” for this year’s Oscar season (assuming none of these films are delayed).

    Best Director: David Fincher-Mank

    Best Original Screenplay: The Trial of the Chicago 7

    Best Actor: Anthony Hopkins-The Father

    Best Cinematography: Mank

    Best Costume Design: News of the World

    Best Original Score: Dune

    Best Makeup and Hairstying: Mank

    Best Visual Effects: Dune

    Best Animated Feature: Soul

    Stream After Hours and In Your Eyes (Remix)

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    Brenda Meeks
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    #1203694171

    Respect in Costume Design & Hairstyling/Make Up

    R.I.P Chadwick Boseman

    In Contention:
    Da 5 Bloods | Judas & the Black Messiah | Lovers Rock | Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom | Minari | Monsoon | Nine Days | One Night in Miami | Respect | Soul | The Trial of the Chicago 7 | The U.S. vs Billie Holiday | Without Remorse

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    OneAndOnly
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    #1203694190

    Glenn Close – Hillbilly Elegy
    Hans Zimmer – Dune
    No Time to Die – No Time to Die
    Soul (Animated Feature)

    Have a great day if you see this!

    FYC: Succession
    FYC: Watchmen

    Male/Straight/BLM

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    Brayden Fitzsimmons
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    #1203694213

    The only way No Time to Die isn’t winning song is if the film itself doesn’t come out in time.

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    Gabriel Guarin
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    #1203695410

    What do most of us think wins Editing?

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    diego
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    #1203695422

    What do most of us think wins Editing?

    Mank. Even when Fincher’s films underperformed, Kirk Baxter has managed to win twice.

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    Gabarnes43
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    #1203695445

    Nomination Locks:

    Kate Winslet
    Anthony Hopkins
    Olivia Colman
    Glenn Close

    FYC 2020 EMMYS

    COMEDY- SCHITTS CREEK in all categories, Maya Rudolph, Eddie Murphy

    DRAMA- Killing Eve in all categories, HBC, Cicely Tyson, The Crown in directing

    LIMITED- UNBELIEVABLE, Normal People in writing and directing, Toni Collette, Tituss Burgess

    FYC OSCARS- Amy Adams

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    Stank83
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    #1203695808

    Nomination Locks:

    Kate Winslet
    Anthony Hopkins
    Olivia Colman
    Glenn Close

    Winslet???
    LoooL! No.

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    wolfali
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    #1203695826

    Winslet??? LoooL! No. Interesting you have Winslet. Why is that? I think Ammonite will get shut out. 

    That would be politer.

    FYC OSCARS : VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", GLENN CLOSE FOR "HILLBILLY ELEGY", ANTHONY HOPKINS FOR "THE FATHER", CHADWICK BOSEMAN FOR "MA RAINEY'S BLACK BOTTOM", PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN (BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY).

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    gorman
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    #1203696155

    I’m not sure I could lock any wins at the minute, although – as has already been mentioned – No Time To Die for Original Song seems pretty safe. Hopkins would be the closest in any of the acting categories.

    I feel fairly confident in saying Mank will end up winning numerous awards, although it doesn’t strike me as a BP winner really – I haven’t looked below-the-line in depth but I’d fancy it as a strong contender for Directing, Original, Cinematography, Production Design and Editing at least. This will no doubt come back to bite me when it pulls an Irishman.

    I could throw a few predicted nomination locks out in every category but Picture is the most fun so I’ll stick with that for brevity – Mank, Nomadland, One Night in Miami and Trial of the Chicago 7. Bad news for these 4, as last year I think at this stage I was predicting The Laundromat as a dead cert nominee.

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    John Berchmans
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    #1203696182

    What do most of us think wins Editing?

    I’m thinking Mank. Fincher films won two years in a row in his prime, and Mank is posted to win a lot of prizes.

    Also, I think if Mank wins Editing it will win Sound as well, since those categories have been tied together every year since 2013.

    Stream After Hours and In Your Eyes (Remix)

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    wolfali
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    #1203696195

    I think The Trial of the Chicago 7 is going to be win competitive for Best Picture but I don’t think it’s anywhere close to getting nominated for Best Director.

    I am predicting Regina and hope she gets in but she may also be in danger even though she’s Regina King considering how unless you’re directing a musical, adaptations of theatre don’t tend to get their director an Oscar nomination.

    FYC OSCARS : VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", GLENN CLOSE FOR "HILLBILLY ELEGY", ANTHONY HOPKINS FOR "THE FATHER", CHADWICK BOSEMAN FOR "MA RAINEY'S BLACK BOTTOM", PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN (BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY).

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    diego
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    #1203696214

    I think The Trial of the Chicago 7 is going to be win competitive for Best Picture but I don’t think it’s anywhere close to getting nominated for Best Director. I am predicting Regina and hope she gets in but she may also be in danger even though she’s Regina King considering how unless you’re directing a musical, adaptations of theatre don’t tend to get their director an Oscar nomination.

    I have a weird feeling about The Trial of the Chicago 7. On paper, it looks great but Paramount selling it and then buying another contender, and then Netflix releasing it relatively early makes me wonder. But that’s probably just me overthinking.

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    Owl-Always-watching
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    #1203696354

    I don’t have high hopes for Trial.  Molly’s Game showed that he needed a good editor to trim things. Someone to rail him in.

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    wolfali
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    #1203696370

    That is a good point but let’s not forget how timely The Trial of the Chicago 7 is. I mean there’s a reason it’s being released before the election.

    I think at the very worst Strong is getting in at the Globes (even though Abdul-Mateen has the baitier role and is likelier at the Oscars I don’t have as much confidence for him at the Globes as I do for Strong). I think the HFPA will nominate him as a way of saying sorry for snubbing him for Succession.

    FYC OSCARS : VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", GLENN CLOSE FOR "HILLBILLY ELEGY", ANTHONY HOPKINS FOR "THE FATHER", CHADWICK BOSEMAN FOR "MA RAINEY'S BLACK BOTTOM", PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN (BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY).

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