Film Critics Awards (Part 5)

[Butz Joined: Oct 15th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 571 View Predictions]

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wolfali wrote:

I think Ahmed may end up being the runner up to Boseman at the Oscars and not Hopkins.

Nobody seems to give two damns about Hopkins. Isn’t even Lindo in a messy movie from what feels like 600 years ago in front of him in terms of wins?

FYC:

Lead Actor: Mads Mikkelsen (Another Round)

Supporting Actress: Maria Bakalova (Borat Subsequent Moviefilm)

Supporting Actor: Paul Raci (Sound of Metal)

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Letterboxd: Ray_In_Bruges

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[nevkm Joined: Jan 3rd, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 987 View Predictions]

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Kansas City

Best Film (tie): Nomadland and Promising Young Woman
Best Director: Chloé Zhao, Nomadland

Best Actor: Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal
Best Actress: Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman
Best Supporting Actor: Leslie Odom Jr., One Night in Miami
Best Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-jung, Minari

Best Original Screenplay: Emerald Fennell, Promising Young Woman
Best Adapted Screenplay: Chloé Zhao, Nomadland

Best Animated Feature: Wolfwalkers
Best Documentary: The Dissident
Best Foreign Film: Another Round
Best Cinematography: M. I. Littin-Menz, The Vast of Night

Vince Koehler Award for the Best Science Fiction/Fantasy/Horror Film: The Invisible Man
Tom Poe Award for Best LGBT Film: Kajillionaire

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[Riley Chow Joined: Oct 11th, 2010 Topics: 156 Posts: 17574 View Predictions]

#1203999296

Always possible that it just does not materialize, but the critic awards have provided Anthony Hopkins enough of a foundation for him to bring it home in the televised awards.  Not predicting it, but Boseman/Hopkins/Ahmed can still follow pretty much the same path as Driver/Phoenix/Sandler.

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[lorelei lor Joined: Dec 20th, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 308 View Predictions]

#1203999299

Someone posted on AW that Kansas City has a very solid track record for Film winners/Picture nominees. Only nine times has a Best Film winner missed the Picture nomination at the Oscar and in most of these cases they probably would have made an expanded lineup.

So the future looks especially bright for PYW!!

 

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[lorelei lor Joined: Dec 20th, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 308 View Predictions]

#1203999306

Riley Chow wrote:

Always possible that it just does not materialize, but the critic awards have provided Anthony Hopkins enough of a foundation for him to bring it home in the televised awards. Not predicting it, but Boseman/Hopkins/Ahmed can still follow pretty much the same path as Driver/Phoenix/Sandler.

What do you mean? He’s barely won two or three.

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[Riley Chow Joined: Oct 11th, 2010 Topics: 156 Posts: 17574 View Predictions]

#1203999321

Phoenix only won three of the awards that have been announced so far this year.  His other ten wins came from the televised awards and the later critic awards, which should be kinder to Hopkins, with The Father actually being released.  Hopkins has been generally nominated and he is on the board for wins.  That is sufficient for there still to be potential for him.

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[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 262 Posts: 18031 View Predictions]

#1203999342

There’s been chatter on here about The Father under-performing at the televised or not being the big contender some are predicting it to be because of its performance at critics groups but the fact it has 5 critics groups nominations for Picture thus far, 5 nominations for director, 17 for Actor and 13 for S. Actress is interesting for a film that is under-seen amongst critics.

I don’t think it’s going too dramatically under-perform with the televised awards when it will have more visibility than it already does. At most I can see it under-performing at SAG but that’s really it.

FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"

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[Victor Cruz Joined: Sep 8th, 2013 Topics: 3 Posts: 1840 View Predictions]

#1203999347

Hopkins is not winning anything cause he’s white. It’s the year to hate white people.

But he could still win a la Eddie Redmayne and Phoenix.

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[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 262 Posts: 18031 View Predictions]

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Victor Cruz wrote:

Hopkins is not winning anything cause he’s white. It’s the year to hate white people.

If that was the case then Carey Mulligan and Frances McDormand wouldn’t be dominating the Actress category in critics wins.

FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"

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[Luca Joined: Jun 23rd, 2017 Topics: 34 Posts: 8965 View Predictions]

#1203999376

Victor Cruz wrote:

Hopkins is not winning anything cause he’s white. It’s the year to hate white people. But he could still win a la Eddie Redmayne and Phoenix.

I swear to God with you

I can’t wait until we get our trio of Viola, Chad and Daniel, and your head explodes.

A Fervent Believer in the Church of Viola Davis

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[alittle03 Joined: Sep 16th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 119 View Predictions]

#1203999384

Luca wrote:

I swear to God with you I can’t wait until we get our trio of Viola, Chad and Daniel, and your head explodes.

And maybe Dominique Fishback or Youn Yuh-jung in S. Actress; that would really kill him.

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[Victor Cruz Joined: Sep 8th, 2013 Topics: 3 Posts: 1840 View Predictions]

#1203999390

Luca wrote:

I swear to God with you

I can’t wait until we get our trio of Viola, Chad and Daniel, and your head explodes.

😂 you are overestimating how much I care.

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[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 262 Posts: 18031 View Predictions]

#1203999395

What these critics groups are telling me is that the last spots in the supporting categories at the Oscars are going to performers from BP nominees. Look at how well Bo Burnham and Olivia Cooke have been doing with critics groups (both are in sixth in nominations in their respective categories).

It may not necessarily be Burnham or Cooke but I think we’re getting a Marina de Tavira style nomination in one or both of the supporting categories.

FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"

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[ESS Joined: Oct 28th, 2019 Topics: 1 Posts: 34 View Predictions]

#1203999498

AmnistY21 wrote:

Enjoying this as much as I can because when the televised awards start it’s most probably over.

 

I completely agree, specially for Carey!

We all saw what happened in 2018 and 2019.

2018: Saoirse Ronan and Sally Hawkins swept critics; Frances (deservedly) went on to win.

2019: Collette got a lot of critics love (despite that low Cinemascore grade); was not nominated.

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[estrelas Joined: Jul 25th, 2018 Topics: 2 Posts: 3618 View Predictions]

#1203999515

ESS wrote:

I completely agree, specially for Carey!

We all saw what happened in 2018 and 2019.

2018: Saoirse Ronan and Sally Hawkins swept critics; Frances (deservedly) went on to win.

2019: Collette got a lot of critics love (despite that low Cinemascore grade); was not nominated.

Carey definitely has a much better chance of winning Actress than Riz has of winning Actor, in my opinion.

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