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Yeah, CODA and The Lost Daughter, plus international-film contender Drive My Car (boy, that category is so jammed with powerhouses this season), are now riding some fresh momentum,. We’ll see if NBR/NYFCC continue to boost all three. (Reminder: CODA and The Lost Daughter are among the films on the program for Saturday’s Deadline Contenders NYC event.)
Also it looks to be shaping up that (unsurprisingly) CODA is the ensemble indie to watch as precursors continue to weigh in, instead of either Mass or The Humans. Not saying Apple is expert at this game yet, but neither Bleecker Street nor A24 have quite delivered in their promotion of those two films.
Sooo, I’m wondering if Anne Thompson will soon reverse course to reinstate her initial picks of The Lost Daughter among the BP 10 and Colman in best actress (She’s always had the film in adapted screenplay alongside CODA and others). I parted ways with her in “demoting” both TLD contenders – a rare dissension for me! – so maybe this will inspire a rethink. Also, CODA I guess could re-emerge in her BP choices, as well, and I’d like to think Kotsur will jump back into his former supporting-actor slot that’s currently occupied by Leto (Let us pray 🙏 ;)). Thompson earlier had Jones in best actress as well, but man, where’s the room at this point?
If Thompson reinstates Colman, whom will she bump (Chastain, Cruz, Hudson, Kidman, Stewart)? Despite Searchlight’s traditional awards-season potency, I’ll guess Chastain will be the one who’ll have to make way at this point. MGM/UA is banging the drum ridiculously hard for Hudson, and Kidman and Stewart look to be undeniable nominees even if their films aren’t as warmly embraced by the broader Ampas. I think Sony Classics will drive Cruz into contention with critics’ help.
As for “Vulture,” he recently made the same supporting-actor swap (Leto for Kotsur) – what a trend! – but perhaps that’s also reversible now (🙏). Like Thompson, Vulture also demoted CODA out of BP, but to his credit has always kept TLD and Colman firmly in their categories. That strategy is looking v.good today.
Advantage: Vulture.
fyi – Vulture doesn’t follow the screenplay races.
ReplyCopy URLFYC
Best Picture: "Aftersun" (A24); “Bones & All” (MGM/UA)
Best Director: Charlotte Wellls; Luca Guadagnino
Best Actress: Frankie Corio; Taylor Russell
Best Actor: Paul Mescal; Timothee Chalamet
Best Supporting Actress: Chloe Sevigny
Best Supporting Actor: Mark Rylance, Andre Holland, Michael Stuhlbarg
Best Original Screenplay: Charlotte Wells
Best Adapted Screenplay: David KajganichOverreactions to the Gothams is the funniest start to the season
I guess they could be – I’m seeing only reactions here however.
ReplyCopy URLFYC
Best Picture: "Aftersun" (A24); “Bones & All” (MGM/UA)
Best Director: Charlotte Wellls; Luca Guadagnino
Best Actress: Frankie Corio; Taylor Russell
Best Actor: Paul Mescal; Timothee Chalamet
Best Supporting Actress: Chloe Sevigny
Best Supporting Actor: Mark Rylance, Andre Holland, Michael Stuhlbarg
Best Original Screenplay: Charlotte Wells
Best Adapted Screenplay: David Kajganich
This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.Hey, sorry I couldn’t participate live, but I was sleeping. I really didn’t expect a TLD sweep like that. I thought “Passing” was getting something. Happy for Maggie anyway, she did a really good job. I can’t wait to watch her movie (and I have it as my 10th spot in BP). And Troy Kotsur! He was the best part of CODA. Too bad for Ruth Negga, but you can’t say there was no inclusivity (a deaf winner and women all around).
ReplyCopy URLHey, sorry I couldn’t participate live, but I was sleeping. I really didn’t expect a TLD sweep like that. I thought “Passing” was getting something. Happy for Maggie anyway, she did a really good job. I can’t wait to watch her movie (and I have it as my 10th spot in BP). And Troy Kotsur! He was the best part of CODA. Too bad for Ruth Negga, but you can’t say there was no inclusivity (a deaf winner and women all around).
Wait, how can you say she did a good job without seeing the movie? I can understand the praise making you really interesting in seeing it but it seems like you’ve already made up your mind without actually watching it.
ReplyCopy URLWait, how can you say she did a good job without seeing the movie? I can understand the praise making you really interesting in seeing it but it seems like you’ve already made up your mind without actually watching it.
Well, considering Gyllenhaal has been bagging awards especially the Golden Osella given by juries like Bong Joon-ho and Chloe Zhao, I think it’s not a far-fetched conclusion to say that Maggie “did a really good job” even without seeing the movie.
ReplyCopy URLWhat’s not being talked about it Netflix’s sweep. How is the Netflix factor going to impact on AMPAS this year?
They’re gonna get a shit ton of nominations like they always do? They already dominated the nominations so most likely that would reflect on wins.
I repeat, they are big enough to get 3 BP or even 4 nominees from their catalogue. After TPOTD and DLU I thought Passing was gonna be it but might be TLD after all. Also Olivia nomination is as secured as it was for months.
ReplyCopy URLI haven’t seen The Lost Daughter yet, but the clips they showed for it really got me hyped – even more than I already was! Olivia, especially, looked riveting so I can’t wait to see her performance.
ReplyCopy URLOscar FYC!!:
Best Picture: Bones and All
Best Actress: Andrea Riseborough (To Leslie)
Best Actor: Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)
Best Supporting Actress: Dolly De Leon (Triangle of Sadness)
Best Supporting Actor: Brian Tyree Henry (Causeway)Having seen The Lost Daughter, my one concern was whether the film would inspire much passion. It seems that with this impressive sweep, my concern was misplaced. I’m intrigued to see the extent of its support from critics over the next few weeks. Negga losing here is worrisome though.
ReplyCopy URLFYC: Danielle Deadwyler, Best Actress in a Leading Role
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