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Hardest category to predict at 2020 Oscars?

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    Marcus James Dixon
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    For me, the hardest Oscar category to predict this year is Best Visual Effects. There are two Best Picture nominees (“The Irishman” and “1917”) and three effects-heavy blockbusters (“The Lion King,” “Avengers: Endgame” and “Star Wars”). I can honestly see this one going five different ways, ugh!

    What is the hardest category for you to predict at the 2020 Oscars?

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    FreemanGriffin
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    Best Film Editing: Ford v Ferrari v Parasite v The Irishman…

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    Mr. Tintin
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    Best Animated Feature is extremely hard to predict this year. Missing Link pulled a Golden Globe win right out of nowhere, Klaus got so much love at the Annies (not to mention a TON of passion from fans everywhere- personally, I find it slightly overrated), Toy Story 4 is the Disney favorite and won CC and PGA, and How To Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World has only one more chance to win its franchise an Oscar. Honestly, it’s a tossup at this point.

    Oscars 2021: I support Denis Villeneuve (Dune), David Fincher (Mank), Willem Dafoe (The Card Counter), and Glenn Close (Hillbilly Elegy).

    Movie-lover overall.

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    Filopj
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    I believe that Best Picture is the hardest to predict mainly because everyone that wins is a potential stat buster:

    Frontrunners:

    -1917 (No Acting or Editing nom, last movie to win was The Grand hotel in 1932. Editing snub works in its favor because of Birdman, however not so much the acting snub as the Actors Branch is the largest of the Academy)

    – Parasite (No acting nom and a foreign film, would be the first foreign film to ever win Best Picture and most likely International Feature)

    – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood (No editing nom, last movie to win without editing was Birdman in 2014. However, it was made to look one shot)

    On the bubble/Likely Upsetters:

    – Joker (No DGA, last movie to win was Driving Ms.Daisy in 1989 and (I believe only, correct me if I’m wrong) the only win to win without DGA)

    – JoJo Rabbit (Has all the main Guild noms (PGA,DGA,SAG,WGA), but no Directing nom. However, movies like Green Book and Argo have won without it (but won PGA).)

    – The Irishman (Has all the main nominations and Guilds, but after losing almost every precursor award show, it would be a surprise if Irishman won BP)

    Longshots Possibilities:

    – Marriage Story ( PGA, WGA, and SAG(Acting). Also missing Editing and Directing. Don’t have a specific stat on this, but I would think it’s quite rare to win BP without those two noms)

    – Little Women (PGA, WGA. Same case as Marriage Story, only without SAG)

    – Ford v Ferrari (PGA, SAG(Acting). Fewest nominations of the bunch and the least likely without acting, directing, or screenplay. Would be the upset of the year if it won).

    This is info I’ve gathered over the past couple of weeks but obviously there will be other stats missing, so feel free to correct me if I’m wrong.

     

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    Owl-Always-watching
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    #1203315520

    Animated

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    Tooner
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    #1203315548

    Adapted Screenplay

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    Matthew anzalone
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    Original screenplay, Animated film, and Best song.

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    JackO
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    #1203315714

    The shorts as usual

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    Gabriel Guarin
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    #1203315759

    For me, the hardest Oscar category to predict this year is Best Visual Effects. There are two Best Picture nominees (“The Irishman” and “1917”) and three effects-heavy blockbusters (“The Lion King,” “Avengers: Endgame” and “Star Wars”). I can honestly see this one going five different ways, ugh! What is the hardest category for you to predict at the 2020 Oscars?

    The Lion King and Star Wars are not winning this. Period.

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    Gabriel Guarin
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    Best Film Editing: Ford v Ferrari v Parasite v The Irishman…

    The Irishman is out of this. It’s really between Parasite and Ford v Ferrari.

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    Brayden Fitzsimmons
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    The Lion King and Star Wars are not winning this. Period.

    The Lion King might just because of the scoop of what the VFX had to do for this film.

    Agree about Star Wars though.

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    CuriousHedgehog
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    #1203315902

    For me it’s animated. I have TS4 right now but I could see it being anything considering there hasn’t been a unanimous winner.

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    Gabriel Guarin
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    The Lion King might just because of the scoop of what the VFX had to do for this film.

    The scope and what else? The film is basically just a glorified animated film and even the least observant Oscar voter can catch onto that. There’s no humans in the movie to counterbalance the digital creations and underline their achievement. Plus, the movie has been criticized for the non-expressions on the faces, which is arguably worse than the Robert De Niro CGI in The Irishman.

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    Emil Petrov
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    For me, the hardest Oscar category to predict this year is Best Visual Effects. There are two Best Picture nominees (“The Irishman” and “1917”) and three effects-heavy blockbusters (“The Lion King,” “Avengers: Endgame” and “Star Wars”). I can honestly see this one going five different ways, ugh!

    What is the hardest category for you to predict at the 2020 Oscars?

    I can see this category go 4 ways as I beleve Star Wars is out of the running, because of bias against the film.

    Lion King is the most inovative in it’s CGI with the virtual reality filming of the film, but it has the minus of no compositing with real elements.

    Avengers has all it needs to win. Practical, CGI, Mo Cap and it is the highest earning film of all time. Plus it is very well received.

    Irishman can win bacuse it is BP and Scorsese. The effects in my opinion are not worthy for a win.

    1917 had amazing practical and CGI that you can not even detect, plus it is BP frontrunner.

    it really is very hard to predict.

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    oscarin7
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    #1203316121

    Original Screenplay and Film Editing.

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