October 28, 2014 at 8:39 am #164531
OK, all of our Experts (except Thelma Adams) have updated their Oscar predictions in the past few days. 21 out of 23 of them have seen ‘Interstellar’ — here is the curious result:
I’m not putting this into the Interstellar thread because I want it to get special notice.October 28, 2014 at 10:08 am #164533
I’m not surprised that it’s predicted to win these races, given that it’s being touted as this year’s Gravity, the winner of all 5 last year. I could imagine it also being a contender in Cinematography but Birdman seems like a very good bet there.
Come participate in this year's Goldderby Rankings! http://www.goldderby.com/forum/movies/2017-goldderby-rankings/October 28, 2014 at 11:07 am #164534
On rotten tomatoes interstellar has a 69 from the critics. I doubt it can win picture since it is too soon after gravity and it doesn’t seem to have the critics support that gravity had . It is early though and maybe that score can go upOctober 28, 2014 at 12:01 pm #164535
Based on reactions, I think Interstellar’s best chances to win are in Cinematography, Production Design, Visual Effects, and Sound Editing. Editing seems a big stretch.October 28, 2014 at 12:29 pm #164536
Anne Thompson on why she thinks Interstellar is not a BP slam dunk:
She also thinks it could well miss out on directing, screenplay and editing noms, due to a narrative sag in the middle.October 28, 2014 at 1:54 pm #164537
On rotten tomatoes interstellar has a 69 from the critics. I doubt it can win picture since it is too soon after gravity and it doesn’t seem to have the critics support that gravity had . It is early though and maybe that score can go up
It only has 26 reviews so far and 5 of them are Top Critics! Of course it doesn’t have Gravity support yet. People are so quick to judge Rotten Tomato scores so early on into the race. They mean nothing until they have a majority of critics inNovember 6, 2014 at 10:35 am #164538
Having seen the film now (70mm last night), I think this tally is incredibly optimistic.
I’m predicting Sound Editing and Visual Effects, and that’s it (like Cameron’s ALIENS). The others?
Sound Mixing: There’s already a ton of bad buzz about a soupy mix that makes much of the dialogue unintelligible. My screening wasn’t like that, but I’ve read plenty of other screenings (all IMAX or DCP) that have. This will be a problem. Right now, I’d venture that WHIPLASH or INTO THE WOODS might win this category; whenever there’s a Mixing/Editing split, there’s usually a musical involved.
Editing: Not a chance. The movie is long, and while it didn’t feel long to me, others might disagree. And besides general cross-cutting between two parallel story lines, the rest of the editing is perfectly fine, but not in a way that’s obvious or showy. Remember, INCEPTION didn’t get nominated in this category, and its editing was 10 times more sophisticated and complex.
Score: Zimmer’s score plays a lot, and with the mixing problems in some screenings, it might not be to his advantage. The score echoes Phillip Glass in quite a few places, though has the typical lush Zimmer symphonic stuff during the emotional highpoints. But there aren’t any catchy motifs and nothing that makes it pop in your consciousness. Perfectly serviceable and even, at times, accomplished, but highly unlikely as a winner. This one is still up in the air.
Fortunately, if it does win VFX, it would be deserved but it will be the first film since BENJAMIN BUTTON to not have the Cinematography prize piggyback on that win. There’s no danger of that here, I’d venture.
Some people may love it. I’m guessing I like it more than most, but still would not find space for it in a 5-film Best Picture slate, so it ending up in that category (9-10 films notwithstanding) is not a foregone conclusion, and I think we can safely rule it out of a Director’s nom, too.November 6, 2014 at 11:11 am #164539
Sight unseen, Interstellar is my pick for BP. However, this article might have to be edited tomorrow after I see the film!
November 6, 2014 at 12:43 pm #164540
Dylan, Interstellar for Best Picture? Did this interview take place before the mixed reviews started coming out?
Aww, shame you hated Saving Mr. Banks. I thought it deserved a lot more love than just a score nomination. Oh well.
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