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Hillbilly Elegy – Ron Howard's FIlm for Netflix

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    Magnus
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    #1203826686

    Can we really call someone who’s fighting for 4th/5th slot a lock? I take your point and fancy him for a nom too, buoyed by BAFTA, but he’s not definitely a lock.

    Yeah I would say there’s a basket of contenders outside of Fincher and Zhao, the only two locks.

    Lee Isaac Chung
    Paul Greengrass
    Regina King
    Shaka King
    Aaron Sorkin
    George C. Wolfe
    Florian Zeller

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    Connor from Canada
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    #1203826688

    Yeah I would say it’s stronger for an editing nom. But both are seeming more and more likely.

    A director nom could happen. I don’t think it’ll get in editing.

    If you have Letterboxd, follow my Letterboxd at https://boxd.it/13SqN

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    Magnus
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    #1203826692

    A director nom could happen. I don’t think it’ll get in editing.

    I’ve heard the editing is very deserving.

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    Connor from Canada
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    #1203826700

    I’ve heard the editing is very deserving.

    Editing is probably happening.

    Let’s wait and see what precursors think, I guess.

    If you have Letterboxd, follow my Letterboxd at https://boxd.it/13SqN

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    GD
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    #1203826702

    It’s now yellow at 42 on Metacritic but it won’t change anything

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    Bassett
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    Dec 21st, 2016
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    #1203826709

    It’s now yellow at 42 on Metacritic but it won’t change anything

    Hmm it actually does

    A mere 50/100 could keep Glenn in contention for the win

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    Connor from Canada
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    #1203826711

    Means absolutely nothing after people saying Marhashala Ali won because his presence was felt throughout the film….

    You’ll see what I mean when you see the movie.

    If you have Letterboxd, follow my Letterboxd at https://boxd.it/13SqN

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    GD
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    #1203826714

    Hmm it actually does A mere 50/100 could keep Glenn in contention for the win

    Yeah but I mean with only 18 critics* because it’s too soon to tell

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    SDoesNotKnow504
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    #1203826716

    I can still see Close pulling off a win for what is essentially her hammiest role since when she played that male pirate in Hook. People will debate whether or not Close won for a performance that might be her worst to be nominated for, but that happens to overdue actors all the time…except it seems the Academy is making Glenn play by different rules than almost every other actor.

    If Glenn doesn’t win, then I hope she doesn’t get nominated at all. I rather her avoid the humiliation of going through the Oscar race thinking she might have a chance at an Oscar just for Colman to take it away again or someone else.

    Plus, another reason I don’t want Glenn to win is because she SHOULD WIN FOR A ROLE THAT IS WORTHY OF HER TALENT. She is a leading lady, a tour de force, a maniacal animal in an era of naturalism and/or Meryl Streep-overly mannered performances. She can play subtle so well, but even in The Wife, there was a hidden intensity (some of it let loose in the Christian Slater scenes) that just rips out. She needs a Patty Hewes like role again to win her an Oscar. Also, I want her to win for a role where she gets to look like herself – None of that cheesy OTT “transformative” bs with wigs, make-up, etc. She deserves better than to win for OTT failed Oscar bait.

    I also don’t think Sunset Boulevard is her ticket. For one, she’s like 30 years too old for that role to play it convincingly. On stage is one thing, but on screen, it’s another. Two, outside of her eerie, spooky performance, the musical itself is as dull as dishwasher. Broadway fans hardly ever think about it and nobody really remembers it other than like two Glenn Close songs. Three, Close has to deal with something in a movie remake she didn’t have to deal with on stage…comparisons to the original film and Gloria Swanson. That’ll hurt her chances, but then Renee Zellwegger just won for doing a horrendous Judy Garland impersonation and overacting, so who knows…

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    David
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    #1203826719

    Yeah I would say there’s a basket of contenders outside of Fincher and Zhao, the only two locks. Lee Isaac Chung Paul Greengrass Regina King Shaka King Aaron Sorkin George C. Wolfe Florian Zeller

    Lee Daniels as well. I agree though on Florian being very likely, but I don’t see him being a lock just yet.

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    Tyler
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    Jan 9th, 2018
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    #1203826721

    We all knew this would be terrible though, didn’t we?

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    gorman
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    Dec 24th, 2017
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    #1203826725

    Hmm it actually does A mere 50/100 could keep Glenn in contention for the win

    Yeah if it can get to/ stabilise somewhere between 48/52 I think Close is fine to challenge for a nom. I think the win will be easier to campaign for than the nomination itself too. Also, people will watch a Close/ Adams/ Howard film regardless of critical reception, so if they deem it okay and Close the best part of it I think she still has a chance. Her/ the films chances are only buried if it really tanks critically/ with audiences.

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    Bassett
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    #1203826727

    Yeah but I mean with only 18 critics* because it’s too soon to tell

    It’s definitely too soon

    But if it keeps trending up then Glenn will still be competitive. A 50/100 wouldn’t be impossible to overcome

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    Bassett
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    #1203826731

    Yeah if it can get to/ stabilise somewhere between 48/52 I think Close is fine to challenge for a nom. I think the win will be easier to campaign for than the nomination itself too. Also, people will watch a Close/ Adams/ Howard film regardless of critical reception, so if they deem it okay and Close the best part of it I think she still has a chance. Her/ the films chances are only buried if it really tanks critically/ with audiences.

    Exactly

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    wolfali
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    Sep 4th, 2018
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    #1203826736

    It’s definitely too soon But if it keeps trending up then Glenn will still be competitive. A 50/100 wouldn’t be impossible to overcome

    After all didn’t Winslet win for a film with 50 something on MC?

    I apologise to Estrelas because I may cause them to be more dizzy again lol…

    Oscars FYC:
    "Shiva Baby" – in all categories especially Picture, Adapted Screenplay, Score
    "Together" – in all categories especially Actress (Sharon Horgan), Actor (James McAvoy), Original Screenplay
    "CODA" – in all categories especially Supporting Actor (Troy Kotsur)
    "Everybody's Talking About Jamie" – Supporting Actor (Richard E. Grant), Supporting Actress (Sarah Lancashire)
    "I'm Your Man" – International Feature
    "Summer of Soul" – Documentary Feature

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