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I have to hold Oscar “experts” to account

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    John Smisek
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    #1204227301

    This whole season we heard nothing besides “Boseman will win” and no thought given to the category as a whole. Even with BAFTA and the overwhelming anonymous ballots indicating strong support for Hopkins, none of the editors on this site even gave him more than a 5 second mention.

    I was calling Hopkins for months. It was so obvious. Why couldn’t any experts see this? Can we discuss please?

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    Melvinezq
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    #1204227324

    I loved to have Hopkins first at my nomination prediction, but too sheepish to put him in my winning spot. I think the reason that almost everyone scared to put him was that most of us underestimate how confident The AMPAS was when it came to giving someone a win for a great performance. We also underestimated the perfect rising of some nominees, and most importantly, the importance of BAFTA.

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    crabbie
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    #1204227330

    Pundits pushed for Viola and Carey too much. There were multiples articles about how either of them could win but none for Frances.

    Michelle Williams Oscar campaign manager.

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    kaziz
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    #1204227332

    Quite honestly, the experts try to control the narrative and create it, rather than try to figure out which way the wind is blowing. And to a large degree they are successful—every year great performances go unmentioned because the experts coalesce around a few (usually the same people again and again) and when nomination time comes, there are not many surprises.

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    OccultCherry
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    Sep 13th, 2020
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    #1204227354

    i was screaming the whole season. i said he would win. even after the globe, after the SAG, after the BAFTA, i kept on at it. there was no way in hell he was going to lose for that performance.

    FYC:

    Picture: Nomadland
    Director: Chloe Zhao
    Leading Actress: Frances McDormand
    Leading Actor: Anthony Hopkins
    Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-jung
    Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
    Adapted Screenplay: The Father
    Original Screenplay: Promising Young Woman

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    Oscirus Jones
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    #1204227361

    I said it in another thread, but I’ll say it here as well, pre precursor noms the winner were supposed to be Boseman, Mulligan, Seyfried, Cohen. How were so many pundits so far off?

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    John Smisek
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    #1204227427

    I do a small blog and in my Oscar predictions I called Hopkins, remembering that so many times in the past I went against instinct to predict the “safe” choice: Glenn Close over Olivia Colman, julie Christie over Marion Cotillard, etc. it’s so clear in many years that the best performance is being overlooked simply because of the narrative that is built up during the awards precursors and I wasn’t going to do it again this year. There is no chance that anyone but Anthony Hopkins gave the best performance of the year

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    bicak
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    #1204227429

    Experts just pushed for delusion once again. Frances’ win brings justice to my words. I had warned you and I had absolutely spilled that Mulligan only won AACTA because she coattailed of PYW winning film. Her chances died when HFPA denied her, and that SAG loss was the cherry on the top. And all that aside, I was once again right spilling that Davis was Ruby Dee of this race. SAG always go with contender from ensemble-nominated movie when they face a frontrunner-less category. She was never winning over or alongside Chadwick for a non-BP nominated Netflix film. Plus, I’m more than sure she had the least passion of them all.
    To be fair though, I did go with Andra overlooking the fact that she had the weakest film, simply having faith in her ridiculously baity performance and the assumption that they wouldn’t give McDormand 3rd Oscar just like that.

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    #1204227443
    This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.
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    jez89
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    #1204227567

    This whole season we heard nothing besides “Boseman will win” and no thought given to the category as a whole. Even with BAFTA and the overwhelming anonymous ballots indicating strong support for Hopkins, none of the editors on this site even gave him more than a 5 second mention. I was calling Hopkins for months. It was so obvious. Why couldn’t any experts see this? Can we discuss please?

    Because a lot of them don’t know what they’re talking about lol

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    String Cheese Theory
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    Aug 16th, 2020
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    #1204230247

    I said this just the other day. Trust the Top 24 users rather than the Experts. I don’t even look at their picks.

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    JV
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    Dec 31st, 2019
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    #1204230268

    Clayton Davis and Scott Feinberg gave the last laugh. They both predicted Frances.

     

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    Elazul
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    #1204239175

    When Mank premiered everyone was on the Seyfried train…

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    Rachel615
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    #1204239460

    Clayton Davis and Scott Feinberg gave the last laugh. They both predicted Frances.

    Clayton Davis reminds me of the saying: “Even a stopped clock is right twice a day.”

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    Diamond Tier
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    #1204239780

    There was more of an agenda to push Mulligan as a winner than Boseman though. Everyone jumped on the Anthony Hopkins bandwagon at the last minute.

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