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Is Sly Stallone this years Lauren Bacall?

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    Fishbiscuit
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    #211333

    Sly wont have the same problem as Bacall. People actually like Stallone

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    AwardsConnect
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    #211334

    What helps Stallone in this particular comparison, beyond the fact that Bacall didn’t exactly have the reputation of being a…let’s say, particularly friendly lady, is the unpredictable nature of this line-up.

    An argument really could be made for any one of Rylance (likely BAFTA winner), Bale (very possible SAG winner), Ruffalo (if “Spotlight” takes Picture and they want to give it an acting prize) or Hardy (for having an amazing year) winning, in that particular order of likelihood.

    The thing with Bacall is Binoche was the crystal-clear alternative for those who didn’t want the former to prevail for her fluff performance. Allen, Hershey and Jean-Baptiste basically had no chance. For those who simply don’t want to see Stallone with an Oscar, there is no clear alternative to rally behind.

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    Fishbiscuit
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    #211335

    I think Hardy is the only nominee that can beat Sly. He’s in a film with WIDE support, most nominations, and is playing the type of role that often times wins Best Supporting Actor.  

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    RobertPius
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    #211336

    After seeing the ovation at the Critic’s Choice, I think he is a lock. Plus I can’t see who would beat him. Bale just won, Ruffalo didn’t get a SAG nomination and didn’t really stand out from the ensemble. Rylamce is a quiet performance in a less popular film, and Hardy’s nomination is his award. (I guess Hardy has the best chance but I don’t really see it happening.) 

     

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    Moviebuff22
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    #211337

    I don’t know the top acting categories are such locks I wouldn’t be surprised for a stunner in the supporting categories. Not being nominated for Bafta and SAG may end up costing Stallone but I doubt it. I agree that Hardy’s the only on with a chance to beat him but that’s contingent upon how much the academy loved the revenant. If revenant sweeps actor, director, and picture along with the technical categories hardy may be carried along with the film.

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    RobertPius
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    #211338

    Bacall really wasn’t very good in that film. I think they smartened up at the last minute and justifiable didn’t go for a career award for a person who really didn’t have that great of a career. 

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    Joe Burns
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    #211339

    Stallone is indeed well liked, much more then Bacall was.  I don’t think he’s locked either, but the fact that there’s no clear alternative will help him unless Rylance wins both SAG and BAFTA.  

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    Zooey the Dreamer
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    #211340

    I’m Stallone doesn’t win I believe it will be Tom Hardy. But after last night Stallone is the clear favorite

    I don’t buy Stallone as the clear favorite. A clear favorite would have at least a SAG nomination and his film was seen on time. They had more than enough time to see it. He had all the buzz in November and December and he still missed. Not even a BAFTA nomination. He won what he could and from now on we’ll see two precursors where he won’t even be a nominee. And how does that make him a clear favorite?

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    Zooey the Dreamer
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    #211341

    After seeing the ovation at the Critic’s Choice, I think he is a lock. Plus I can’t see who would beat him. Bale just won, Ruffalo didn’t get a SAG nomination and didn’t really stand out from the ensemble. Rylamce is a quiet performance in a less popular film, and Hardy’s nomination is his award. (I guess Hardy has the best chance but I don’t really see it happening.) 

    Okay, maybe you want Stallone to win but don’t twist facts!
    There is no way that Creed is a more popular film than Bridge of Spies. Bridge of Spies has six Oscar nominations, including best picture. Creed has one nomination. Precursor-wise, Stallone has the Globe but he won’t be at the SAG Awards and the BAFTA’s. Mark Rylance will be there and stands a very good chance at winning both. Stallone could have some sentiment, but so did Mickey Rourke. And he even won BAFTA. He still lost. Rylance is a beloved stage actor. Maybe the general public doesn’t know about his achevements on stage, but many Academy voters do. And the performance is subtle but powerful. The Academy has more than a month to forget about Stallone. 

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    Rooney Moore
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    #211342

    Yep, that late release argument for Stallone on SAG is pretty weak, especially considering everyone is betting on him to win right now mostly because of his narrative, not because his performance in the movie whatsoever. So the people that voted for Leo before even seeing him could have voted for him as well.

    Creed release date= 25 November= 0 SAG nominations.
    The Big Short release date= 11 December= 2 SAG nominations including one for the top award.
    The Revenant=25 December=1 SAG nominations. 

    I don’t give SAG nom com. too much weight as much as most here but these are facts.

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    montana82
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    #211343

    Creed is a far better reviewed film this year than The Mirror Has Two Faces was in 1996.  And none of Stallone’s competition are in films that will sweep as many awards as The English Patient did that year.

    Stallone could still lose but someone will have to get momentum at SAG and I think there is a chance none of them do and Rylance loses to Jacob Tremblay.

    "Here's a wonderfully b*tchy post from Montana82...." - Tom O'Neill Emmy Prediction Slugfest August 1st, 2019

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    Moviebuff22
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    #211344

    I think Christian Bale will take the SAG award but I’ve heard absolutely nothing about him being an Oscar contender. I had heard that Creed wasn’t screened before the Baftas and SAG awards but maybe I’m mistaken. This is the acting category where an upset is most likely I just can’t figure out whom.

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    ankehuber
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    #211345

    everyone is talking about diversity (in that moment) so, why the academy members would decide to reward stallone for a character he created 40 years ago ?…This is his 2nd acting nomination for the same role !!!… Come on !… with all the problems caused with this years 20 actors nominees, every voters should choose someone who embodies a real change for the Oscars and i think Rylance is the one ! Christian Bale is already an Oscar winner, Tom Hardy, 1st time nominee, is “the” actor of the year (Legend/Mad Max/The revenant) Mark Ruffalo, has just received a 2nd acting nod, 2 year in a row, that’s a reward !… Stallone a movie star, more famous for his number of razzies nominations than everything else… So in my opinion, this is the moment to reward a great stage actor like Rylance for his contribution for the Cinema !… END OF STORY

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    Rooney Moore
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    #211346

    Christian Bale-The Big Short == Tommy Lee Jones-Lincoln.

    Bale is the only person in his category that has no chance of winning the Oscar, but every arrow points to him at the SAG. This year is THAT strange. 

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    Zooey the Dreamer
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    #211347

    Creed is a far better reviewed film this year than The Mirror Has Two Faces was in 1996.  And none of Stallone’s competition are in films that will sweep as many awards as The English Patient did that year.

    Stallone could still lose but someone will have to get momentum at SAG and I think there is a chance none of them do and Rylance loses to Jacob Tremblay.

    That would be a precedent as SAG has never ever given its award to somebody snubbed by the Academy and they had plenty of opportunities. I think people overthink SAG. They’ll go with Mark Rylance. I can’t think of them going with anybody else. The Big Short is up for Cast but this doesn’t mean it has to win something. Is the urge to absolutely reward the film there? If so, maybe I just don’t see it. To me, Rylance is your typical SAG winner and he has a lot of support already. And of all people, SAG should know who he is.

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