Last Eleven Oscars Supporting Actress Category: An Analysis

[Manav]

#1204775576

This thread is meant to look into the supporting actress category at the Oscars in the last 10-12 years and analyse it.

Feel free to post your personal nominees or winners of any category.What are the trends that are recurring? What is the correlation with other categories? What are some agregious category frauds? What’s the diversity in this category?

Winners:

2010- Melissa Leo, The Fighter
2011- Octavia Spencer, The Help
2012- Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
2013- Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years A Slave
2014- Patricia Arquette, Boyhood
2015- Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
2016- Viola Davis, Fences
2017- Allison Janney, I, Tonya
2018- Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk
2019- Laura Dern, Marriage Story
2020- Youn Yuh-Jung, Minari

2021- Ariana DeBose, West Side Story

• This topic was modified 4 months, 3 weeks ago by Manav.

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[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 245 Posts: 37614 View Predictions]

#1204775609

Last 11 personal winners.

2010 – Lesley Manville, Another Year
2011 – Sareh Bayat, A Separation
2012 – Amy Adams, The Master
2013 – Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years a Slave
2014 – Laura Dern, Wild
2015 – Molly Shannon, Me and Earl and the Dying Girl
2016 – Naomie Harris, Moonlight
2017 – Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
2018 – Rachel Weisz, The Favourite
2019 – Cho Yeo-jeong, Parasite
2020 – Yuh-jung Youn, Minari

FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.

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[Manav Joined: Dec 21st, 2019 Topics: 61 Posts: 6711 View Predictions]

#1204775638

It’s interesting how the Academy has rejected interesting roles in favour of the same kind of roles.
Laura Dern is the only winner in the last 11 years whose role is not wife or grandma or mother or maid. The Academy rejected a marketing executive (Kate Winslet,Steve Jobs) and a unique role (Amy Adams,The Master).

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[kat_ebbs Joined: Jun 10th, 2021 Topics: 29 Posts: 8397 View Predictions]

#1204775664

Manav wrote:

t’s interesting how the Academy has rejected interesting roles in favour of the same kind of roles. Laura Dern is the only winner in the last 11 years whose role is not wife or grandma or mother or maid.

Really interesting point, and even in Dern’s case, she was in a film that was very much tied up in those themes.

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[Manav Joined: Dec 21st, 2019 Topics: 61 Posts: 6711 View Predictions]

#1204775756

And the category fraud this decade was rampant.

In fact 2015 saw the greatest ever average screentime for any supporting category in Oscar’s history with Alicia Vikander and Rooney Mara being clear leads while Kate Winslet and Jennifer Jason Leigh had a huge presence.

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[Hawk Joined: Aug 16th, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 469 View Predictions]

#1204775801

My only analysis is that overall most of these winners are either subpar or just ok. A couple of really good ones though.

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[Manav Joined: Dec 21st, 2019 Topics: 61 Posts: 6711 View Predictions]

#1204775870

No.of winners in BP nominees= 8/11
No.of winners in BP winners=1/11 (Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years A Slave)

No.of nominees in BP nominees= 35/55
No.of nominees in BP winners= 7/55
(Helena Bonham Carter, The King’s Speech
Berenice Bejo, The Artist
Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years A Slave
Emma Stone, Birdman
Rachel McAdams, Spotlight
Naomie Harris, Moonlight
Octavia Spencer,The Shape Of Water)

No.of past winners who competed: 13/55 (None of them won)
Sally Field, Lincoln
Helen Hunt, The Sessions
Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle
Julia Roberts, August Osage County
Meryl Streep,Into The Woods
Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs
Nicole Kidman, Lion
Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures
Octavia Spencer, The Shape Of Water
Emma Stone,The Favourite
Rachel Weisz, The Favourite
Kathy Bates, Richard Jewell
Olivia Colman, The Father

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[Manav Joined: Dec 21st, 2019 Topics: 61 Posts: 6711 View Predictions]

#1204775876

Diversity Stats

5 Whites
4 Blacks
1 Asian
1 Swedish

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[Manav Joined: Dec 21st, 2019 Topics: 61 Posts: 6711 View Predictions]

#1204775888

7 of the 11 winners won on their first nominations

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[Butz Joined: Oct 15th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 1543 View Predictions]

#1204776082

Imho almost always the least interesting category. The winners are mostly deserving but few of them I would call spectacular.

For Your Consideration:
The Banshees of Inisherin in ALL categories, including:
- Best Picture
- Best Director
- Best Actor (Colin Farrell)
- Best Supporting Actor (Brendan Gleeson)
- Best Supporting Actor (Barry Keoghan)
- Best Supporting Actress (Kerry Condon)
- Best Supporting Actress (Sheila Flitton)
- Best Original Screenplay

Letterboxd: Ray_In_Bruges

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[Babylonian Joined: Aug 16th, 2021 Topics: 8 Posts: 4015 View Predictions]

#1204776112

I don’t understand the hype for Laurie Metcalf in Lady Bird. I am glad Allison Janney won that year tbh.

FYC:

Everything Everywhere All At Once in every eligible category

Hold My Hand - Lady Gaga for Best Original Song

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[laslo Joined: Oct 19th, 2021 Topics: 2 Posts: 1452 View Predictions]

#1204776215

Statistics for this category are very hard to analyze, the trends seem to be ever changing and there’s not much coherence between winning performances. Last decade’s winners were a mix bag, half of them were great and half of them were not great but most of them were undeserving.

2010
Rightful Winner: Jacki Weaver (Animal Kingdom) – Legendary performance.
Actual Winner: Melissa Leo (The Fighter) – A decent win but not at all remarkable or deserving.
2011
Rightful Winner: Melissa McCarthy (Bridesmaids) – Iconic.
Actual Winner: Octavia Spencer (The Help) – This movie aged so badly, it’s a shame this is Octavia Spencer’s win. Cute performance.
2012
Rightful Winner: Amy Adams (The Master) – The best performance in a weak lineup. Adams would’ve been a little more deserving than Hathaway but not an amazing winner also.
Actual Winner: Anne Hathaway (Les Misérables) – This was not an undeniable performance at all and she swept everything. Not a bad winner tho.
2013
Rightful Winner: Lupita Nyong’o (12 Yeras a Slave)
Actual Winner: Lupita Nyong’o (12 Yeras a Slave) – Great performance, deserved to win.
2014
Rightful Winner: Patricia Arquette (Boyhood)
Actual Winner: Patricia Arquette (Boyhood) – The winner of the decade in my opinion. Legendary performance in a movie that should’ve won Best Picture, what more could you want from a supporting winner?
2015
Rightful Winner: Alicia Vikander (The Danish Girl)
Actual Winner: Alicia Vikander (The Danish Girl) – Clearly category fraud but in terms of performance there is no denying she was the best, lackluster lineup but Vikander was amazing.
2016
Rightful Winner: Naomie Harris (Moonlight) – She would’ve been not only last decade’s best winner but also one of the best ever. This is ACTING! Everything about it was fucking amazing, not one false note and her vocal delivery throughout the film is impeccable. I don’t understand how anyone could see this performance and vote for somebody else.
Actual Winner: Viola Davis (Fences) – Nobody could’ve won other than Davis, the strongest narrative and a very solid performance. Category fraud but what really bothers me is that the win felt underwhelming. We all want to see Viola Davis win again for an iconic performance that better represents her onscreen presence, rather than a win cause she is great.
2017
Rightful Winner: Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird) or Lesley Manville (Phantom Thread)
Actual Winner: Allison Janney (I, Tonya) – I really like this win, it’s everything that makes Janney great but this was one of the strongest lineups of the last 20 years and everyone would’ve made a great winner; So even though I think Metcalf and Manville deserved it a tad bit more, I’m not mad at Janney winning at all.
2018
Rightful Winner: Rachel Weisz (The Favourite) or Marina de Tavira (Roma)
Actual Winner: Regina King – Again, great lineup where everyone – except Amy Adams – would’ve been a great winner. I don’t think Regina King did enough to warrant a win but she was great. Weisz would’ve been my winner with De Tavira runnerup and King taking third place, but a solid performance still and I’m happy Regina King is a winner.
2019 
Rightful Winner: Florence Pugh (Little Women) – VERY solid work in a VERY weak lineup.
Actual Winner: Laura Dern (Marriage Story) – One of the worst winners ever, should’ve never won for this since it does not represent Dern’s talent in the least.

Winners ranking: Arquette > Vikander > Nyong’o > Janney > King > Davis > Hathaway > Leo > Spencer > Dern.
Rightful Winners ranking: Harris > Arquette > Weisz > Weaver > McCarthy > Metcalf > Vikander > Pugh > Nyong’o > Adams.

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[Manav Joined: Dec 21st, 2019 Topics: 61 Posts: 6711 View Predictions]

#1204776231

I think it’s also noteworthy that Melissa Leo is the only one whose film won another acting award. This means the correlation to other acting races was 0 in Actor, 0 in Actress and 1 in Supporting Actor.

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[kat_ebbs Joined: Jun 10th, 2021 Topics: 29 Posts: 8397 View Predictions]

#1204776244

High proportion of actresses doing concurrent television that same year.

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[forwardswill Joined: Apr 9th, 2013 Topics: 26 Posts: 3680 View Predictions]

#1204776248

My personals:

2010: Helena Bonham Carter, The King’s Speech
2011: Melissa McCarthy, Bridesmaids
2012: Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
2013: Emma Watson, The Bling Ring
2014: Keira Knightely, The Imitation Game
2015: Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs
2016: Viola Davis, Fences
2017: Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
2018: Rachel Weisz, The Favourite
2019: Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey
2020: Yuh-jung Youn, Minari

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