Likelihood of both The Banshees of Inisherin and The Fabelmans being shut out?

[Setia Yasmine Khalil Joined: Jan 14th, 2022 Topics: 1 Posts: 1696 View Predictions]

#1205272892

fabelmans yes

banshees no it will win os and actor

X

ReplyCopy URL

[filmfan92 Joined: Feb 4th, 2017 Topics: 1 Posts: 1 View Predictions]

#1205272982

I agree with an earlier poster; I think it’s much more likely that Fablemans goes home empty-handed than Banshees. I have no stats or science to back up my hunch, but I just feel Banshees is a film they will want to reward with something, whereas Fabelmans…maybe not so much? I can’t imagine a scenario where they BOTH go home empty-handed, unless we are predicting a total EEAAO sweep…lately the Academy seems to enjoy spreading most of the gold around. Just my two cents.

X

ReplyCopy URL

[joesilver Joined: Oct 1st, 2011 Topics: 1 Posts: 1254 View Predictions]

#1205273009

It seems like half of the BP nominees will go empty handed because EEAAO is frontrunner in many categories

X

ReplyCopy URL

[Brayfers Joined: Oct 19th, 2018 Topics: 17 Posts: 1720 View Predictions]

#1205273449

A:TWOW: VFX

Banshees: Original Screenplay

Elvis: Actor, Production Design, M&HS

TF: zero

EEAAO: Pic, Dir., S. Actor

TG:M: Sound, Film Editing

WT: Adapted Screenplay

AQOTWF: Int. Feature, Cinematography

TOS: zero

TAR: Actress

Letterboxd: Brayfers

!EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE!
- SEVEN OSCARS
- BEST PICTURE
- Michelle Yeoh, Best Actress
- Ke Huy Quan, Best Supporting Actor
- Jamie Lee Curtis, Best Supporting Actress
- Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert, Best Director & Best Original Screenplay
- Paul Rogers, Best Film Editing

FYC (TV):
- Abbott Elementary
- House of the Dragon
- The White Lotus
- The Last of Us

X

ReplyCopy URL

[YeohBestActress Joined: Sep 16th, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 2650 View Predictions]

#1205273547

I think Banshees can still do ‘The Favourite.’ The movie blanks in every category except ‘actor’. With Batman and Banshees in contention, Butler and Fraser splitting the votes due to both being transformative performances and Farrell being a known face in the industry – I can see him winning the prize in the end.

I have EEAAO winning Original Screenplay. The whole academy will be voting and despite how you feel about the film, its originality is something that makes its so singularly unique. And we have seen screenplays going to Get Out, Her, Promising Young Woman – films that are the second strongest of their category but due to it being unique and such a sleeper hit, Academy rewarding it here.

I have Spielberg winning Director right now. But yes, Fabelmans is something that is more likely to blank.

X

ReplyCopy URL

[YeohBestActress Joined: Sep 16th, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 2650 View Predictions]

#1205273578

gorman wrote:

I’m fearing this will be the case with Banshees. It’s sort of funny because it feels like on a good day it could win four – Picture, Actor, Supp. Actress and Original Screenplay.

Yep. I know many people weren’t fans of 3 Billboards but while Banshees has consensus and overall favorable reviews, Billboards had strong passion. That’s why Banshees is more vulnerable to blanking out.

X

ReplyCopy URL

[Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 0 Posts: 33 View Predictions]

#1205273602

This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.

[FilmRoyalty Joined: Oct 5th, 2011 Topics: 68 Posts: 3010 View Predictions]

#1205273622

Banshees is winning BP.

X

ReplyCopy URL

[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 2 Posts: 769 View Predictions]

#1205275094

It’s certainly possible, both movies are 1-3 in several categories so they might just get unlucky. I think Spielberg is pretty strong in director though, so Banshees feels more likely

X

ReplyCopy URL

[Mladen Joined: Dec 11th, 2013 Topics: 0 Posts: 731 View Predictions]

#1205275124

I think “The Fabelmans” will go empty-handed in major categories (Picture, Director, Screenplay, Actress and SUpporting Actor). I think EEAAO is the best candidate for trifecta – Picture, Director, Screenplay. Naturally, Supporting Actor and Editing. Actress is a toss-up but I can see a world TAR getting that one. And Banshees getting actor.

Spreading the Love: Oscars 2023
Best Picture: Everything Everywhere All At Once
Best Director: The Daniels
Best Actor: Colin Farrell
Best Actress: Cate Blanchett
Best Supporting Actor: Ke Huy Quan
Best Supporting Actress: Angela Bassett

X

ReplyCopy URL

[jez89 Joined: Aug 14th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 320 View Predictions]

#1205275233

wrote:

I agree with the above sentiment; AMPAS usually goes for what’s more original. You can’t deny Everything‘s originality and I think it’s gonna have the edge over Banshees‘. Both screenplays are absolutely genius and it’s a tough call and will be such after Banshees possibly wins the screenplay BAFTA. On that note, Banshees may get its consolation prize in an acting category. If Condon wins BAFTA, I’d be very worried for Bassett. And best actor isn’t set in stone yet. Both Condon and Farrell were excellent. As of Fabelmans, it’s indeed losing everything (unless it snatches score over Babylon), and nobody will shed a tear over it.

EEAAO is original, but its also stupid and the script doesn’t make sense. IMO it will be a travesty if Banshees doesn’t win Original Screenplay.

X

ReplyCopy URL

[espnfan Joined: Nov 24th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 78 View Predictions]

#1205275288

Am I the only person who thinks it is absolutely crazy the notion of the Fabelmans going home Empty handed on Oscar night? I understand a logical breakdown of their nominations makes it very feasible, but man that seems nuts to me.

Considering how hot this movie came out of the gate during Festival season and the fact this pretty much is THE story about Steven Spielberg, to see it fade out so spectacularly to the point of being shut out blows me away. Not to mention this movie is one gigantic love letter to Hollywood, and if there is one thing the Academy loves rewarding, are films about itself.

I can still see them giving the Best Director Oscar to Steven Spielberg considering the personal nature of this film. While this is certainly not his magnum opus (he has made far better films and more ambitious films), this may be his most personal, meaningful, and sentimental film ever. They may also want to honor him one last time as he is getting up there in age.

X

ReplyCopy URL

[Mladen Joined: Dec 11th, 2013 Topics: 0 Posts: 731 View Predictions]

#1205275300

espnfan wrote:

Am I the only person who thinks it is absolutely crazy the notion of the Fabelmans going home Empty handed on Oscar night? I understand a logical breakdown of their nominations makes it very feasible, but man that seems nuts to me.

Well, realistically speaking…

1. Williams is not winning Actress over Yeoh or Blanchett
2. Hirsch is not winning Supporting Actor over Ke Huy QUan
3. Spielberg/Kusher are not winning script over McDonagh/Daniels/Field

Which only leaves Director and Picture of the main ones. Spielberg can win, that is for sure, but it would be underwhelming. We’ll wait to see how PGA and DGA award the movies, but currently I am more inclined to see Daniels and EEAAO winning here.

Spreading the Love: Oscars 2023
Best Picture: Everything Everywhere All At Once
Best Director: The Daniels
Best Actor: Colin Farrell
Best Actress: Cate Blanchett
Best Supporting Actor: Ke Huy Quan
Best Supporting Actress: Angela Bassett

X

ReplyCopy URL

[babypook Joined: Nov 4th, 2010 Topics: 22 Posts: 3624 View Predictions]

#1205275312

If Spielberg misses direction, it will blank.
Banshee’s sp and perfs are stellar, but they’re vulnerable to losses from staunch competition. It can blank.
They could both go home empty.

Of course I’ll forget I said any of this if they do well @BAFTA/SAG.

The Sunne in Splendour.
I prefer my roses white

X

ReplyCopy URL