November 15, 2013 at 12:21 pm #118354
There are three guaranteed slots in Sup. Actor as far as I am concerned. Michael Fassbender for Twelve Years a Slave, Tom Hanks for Saving Mr. Banks and Jared Leto for Dallas Buyers’ Club. Two other slots, I think, are anyone’s guess. It could go to a many number of contenders, Barkhad Abdi, Daniel Bruhl, John Goodman, Bradley Cooper, Josh Brolin, Jonah Hill, James Gandolfini, David Oyelowo, Jeremy Renner… or many Matthew McConaughey could pull off a double nomination for Mud.
I really liked Mud, it is easily one of the Top 10 of the year for me. I especially loved how McConaughey portrayed the titular character. He could easily make a nomination for me, but the sad truth is that Mud has an early release date, and it may easily be forgotten by the later, flashier efforts. I hope that they still remember it, like they remembered Moonrise Kingdom last year (another great movie).
I even think that Jeff Nichols could score a Writing nomination because that category is so scattered. I think that the only guarantee in that category is Blue Jasmine and Inside Llewyn Davis. Everything else, American Hustle, Enough Said, Dallas Buyers’ Club, The Butler, Gravity, Her, Nebraska and Saving Mr. Banks could potentially be left off for various reasons.
But who knows? I could be completely off, but I am saying that don’t underestimate McConaughey or Nichols when nomination morning arrives.
FYC: Ready Player One. Sound Editing, Sound Mixing, Visual Effects, Original Score, Production Design, Director and BEST PICTURE (make it happen Oscars!!)Riley (the normal one, not the one who won the predictions contest)ParticipantNovember 15, 2013 at 12:58 pm #118356
I loved Mud and I encourage everyone to see it. I do not normally like Rotten Tomatoes, but 98% on anything is amazing. Between this and Take Shelter,
Jeff Nichols absolutely deserves Academy Award nominee status, but I am
not seeing an awards-worthy performance from McConaughey in it. He is
really good in it and never misses a beat, but not everything needs or
has the material to warrant an Oscar nomination. I have only seen
twenty-one films from this year so far and not a single November or
December release and McConaughey is only my third favourite male
supporting performance of the year, if he even is supporting. It is
probably the right place for him, since the story is not from his
perspective, but he freaking is Mud and the entire poster is a picture
of him, so it is kind of weird. Mud getting some Oscar
attention would be excellent, but I would be disappointed if it were
just for McConaughey because this film is much more than just him. It
almost reminds me of when Albert Brooks kept winning all of those
critics’ awards for Drive even though he was probably only like the tenth best part of the movie. Side-note: In Brazil, this movie is called Amor Bandido (“Love Bandit”), ha!November 15, 2013 at 1:22 pm #118357
I don’t think it’s weird at all that he’s in supporting for Mud. The young boy is clearly the lead of the film, and McConaughey is only featured all over the posters/marketing etc.so as to sell the film. And titular characters aren’t necessarily always protagonists. (That said, I’m convinced if McConaughey didn’t have Dallas Buyers Club, they would have committed category fraud and put Tye Sheridan in supporting, and McConaughey in lead instead). Speaking of Sheridan, I thought he was amazing and one of my favorite lead actor performances of the year. Sadly he has no chance of any awards, but I’m hoping he at least wins the Critics Choice award for best young performer. I mean, surely he’s got to be a lock for that award.November 15, 2013 at 1:25 pm #118358
McConaughey’s clearly supporting here.
There is a small chance we might have two different actors up for lead also nominated for supporting the same year – that’s never happened. McConaughey’s chances are decreased a bit by the chance he might be splitting his votes for supporting with Wolf of Wall Street.November 15, 2013 at 1:43 pm #118359
I thought Mud was FANTASTIC, and it was EASILY one of the BEST films of the year! McConaughey should definitely score a nomination. If not, I will be deeply saddened. This entire film was quite a gem. I have referred it to SOOO many people, and they have all loved it equally as well.November 15, 2013 at 2:02 pm #118360
I would fully support Nichols getting recognition, because it was an excellent film. I would currently support a McConaughey nomination but am anticipating some excellent performances in December releases, including McConaughey himself in Wolf of Wall Street. He is currently in my top 3, but that will likely change before nominations morning.
Come participate in this year's Goldderby Rankings! http://www.goldderby.com/forum/movies/2017-goldderby-rankings/November 15, 2013 at 2:13 pm #118361
One inside baseball curiosity – Roadside has a dilemma about where it’s interest lies. Does getting MM in for Mud, for which he might win as a consolation prize for not winning for DBC, perhaps increase Redford’s chances (AIL is theirs as well). Or does getting him a double nomination help him the best actor race, hurting Redford?
Mud is long gone from theaters and not a brand new DVD release, so they have little to gain financially otherwise in promoting him heavily for supporting actor.November 15, 2013 at 2:47 pm #118362
McConaughey’s clearly supporting here.
There is a small chance we might have two different actors up for lead also nominated for supporting the same year – that’s never happened. McConaughey’s chances are decreased a bit by the chance he might be splitting his votes for supporting with Wolf of Wall Street.
It did happen once for actresses though. In 1994 Holly Hunter and Emma Thompson were both nominated in Lead and Supporting Actress. Not trying to call you out or anything just think it’s interestingNovember 15, 2013 at 2:52 pm #118363
Appreciate your catching that nkb – I didn’t remember that, and good work remembering that and correcting me.
Hunter won that year, but Thompson didn’t (she already had one acting Oscar – by that logic, McConaughey would have a better chance of winning if both he and Hanks have double noms.)November 15, 2013 at 8:51 pm #118364
Said it before and sticking to it. McConaughey is getting in for this effort and im all for it.November 15, 2013 at 8:57 pm #118365
If McConaughey gets a nomination for ‘Mud’, count me in the group that will be all for it. He has given my favorite performance by a supporting actor so far this year.November 15, 2013 at 9:17 pm #118366
I don’t really remember him in Mud, and I saw that less than two months ago. I think he’s good in Dallas Buyers Club and I’d probably pick him over Whitaker, Ejiofor, Redford, and Hanks.November 15, 2013 at 9:48 pm #118367
I liked McConaughey better in Mud then in Dallas Buyers Club.November 16, 2013 at 8:23 am #118368
I don’t think Hanks is a lock in supporting just yet as the film could wind up with terrible box office (which I personally think is unlikely, but I also thought it was unlikely for Rush to bomb).
What hurts both of them is that they both have (according to critics) better performances contending in the lead category, and with so many contenders in supporting, voters may not feel compelled to list them as #1.November 16, 2013 at 9:13 am #118369
I think the problem McConaughey’s performance in this film has is that the film ahs been out for a while now (it won’t be as fresh in the minds of voters as other perfs) and that the film is not really competitive for anything else. Maybe a longshot for Original Screenplay. I also believe thos efactors would probably helps him win for Dallas Buyers Club vefore winning for this one.
That said, I fully expect McConaughey to be a factor all throughout the race, and if there’s enough push he could get in for both.
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