February 16, 2018 at 12:03 pm #1202495191
I wrongly predicted Nolan to win the DGA, I thought that being his fourth nomination he might be able to pull that one off. However, I am quite surprised that pretty much no one of the so called experts is predicting him to win at home turf. My guess is that 3B is much stronger than TSOW at BAFTAs (I think 3B will win picture, actress, supporting actor and original screenplay) so Del Toro might have trouble to win there, even though he’ll win the Oscar.
What do you think?February 16, 2018 at 12:13 pm #1202495195
I have Dunkirk taking Picture and Director (along with 3 crafts) at BAFTA. I think they will give 3B Best British Film and Orignal Screenplay (along with the two acting). But who knows, I loved Dunkirk and may be a little blinded.February 16, 2018 at 12:15 pm #1202495197
Oh… My…. God…February 16, 2018 at 12:20 pm #1202495203
I find it ironic that you’re trying to question the validity of the experts by calling them “so called experts” when you’re the one that predicted Nolan at DGA when del Toro was so obviously going to win there. And del Toro won’t have any problem winning at BAFTA.February 16, 2018 at 12:35 pm #1202495220
Neah…I’m sticking with Del Toro.February 16, 2018 at 12:59 pm #1202495229
Nolan could win and Dunkirk may even sweep ; the war looms large in the British psyche and patriotism , like Nationalism and Religion, can really influence the voters
It seems more likely that 3 Bills wins BP , but Nolan could still pull of a win as BD …it’s difficult to call , but only SHAPE not winning BP seems like an easy call !February 16, 2018 at 1:12 pm #1202495231
I think Dunkirk could win Best Film at the BAFTAs, but anyone except Del Toro winning Director is a verrrry long shot.February 16, 2018 at 1:33 pm #1202495243
I’m not predicting this, but I definitively wouldn’t be surprised if it happens. I’m not sure if they’ll love The Shape of Water that much.February 16, 2018 at 3:23 pm #1202495273
I am predicting Nolan too, but to the pundits’ credit, The Shape of Water has the most nominations, including acting and writing, unlike Dunkirk. The other thing is that we give BAFTA way too much credit for having independent thinking. When someone is sweeping, they do not really get in the way. Ben Affleck, Alfonso Cuarón and Damien Chazelle won DGA, Critics’ Choice and the Globe, then swept up the BAFTA as well. The Revenant won the Globe and DGA for Best Director and BAFTA did not nominate the Critics’ Choice winner, so The Revenant easily swept up the BAFTA for Best Director. The only year that BAFTA has diverged from the momentum with the whole BAFTA academy voting was when they awarded went for Boyhood over DGA winner Birdman, but Boyhood had already won Critics’ Choice and the Globe. Guillermo Del Toro has a much stronger consensus.
"I don't even believe in god, but I'm going to thank her tonight."February 16, 2018 at 3:55 pm #1202495283
Del Toro is the favorite here. I mean, lets look at the past BAFTA Best Director winners:
2016 – La La Land
2015 – The Revenant
2014 – Boyhood
2013 – Gravity
2012 – Argo
2011 – The Artist
2010 – The Social Network
2009 – The Hurt Locker
2008 – Slumdog Millionaire
2007 – No Country for Old Men
In the last ten years, the BAFTA Best Director winner won the DGA or Globe. In fact 8/10 of them won the DGA.
What makes people say Nolan here? Del Toro won the BFCA, Globe, DGA, and 10 critics circle best director prizes.
Honestly, I think Dunkirk’s big haul will be in the technical categories.February 16, 2018 at 7:34 pm #1202495353
I’m predicting SoW to win picture, but Nolan director. I don’t know, just feel like brits would like a lot more Dunkirk than Americans, since it’s a more typical awards film.
Maybe is a very basic justification but if it happens I would be very proud of that prediction.February 16, 2018 at 7:45 pm #1202495354
no1curr about dunkirk
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