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Original Song and Score Predictions

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    RBBrittain
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    #1204678312

    The official press release for all 10 shortlists is at https://www.oscars.org/news/94th-oscarsr-shortlists-10-award-categories-announced . The two shortlists are as follows, copied & pasted from the press release:

    MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE)
    Fifteen scores will advance in the Original Score category for the 94th Academy Awards. One hundred thirty-six scores were eligible in the category. Members of the Music Branch vote to determine the shortlist and the nominees.

    The scores, listed in alphabetical order by film title, are:

    “Being the Ricardos”
    “Candyman”
    “Don’t Look Up”
    “Dune”
    “Encanto”
    “The French Dispatch of the Liberty, Kansas Evening Sun”
    “The Green Knight”
    “The Harder They Fall”
    “King Richard”
    “The Last Duel”
    “No Time to Die”
    “Parallel Mothers”
    “The Power of the Dog”
    “Spencer”
    “The Tragedy of Macbeth”

    MUSIC (ORIGINAL SONG)
    Fifteen songs will advance in the Original Song category for the 94th Academy Awards. Eighty-four songs were eligible in the category. Members of the Music Branch vote to determine the shortlist and the nominees.

    The original songs, along with the motion picture in which each song is featured, are listed below in alphabetical order by film title:

    “So May We Start?” from “Annette”
    “Down To Joy” from “Belfast”
    “Right Where I Belong” from “Brian Wilson: Long Promised Road”
    “Automatic Woman” from “Bruised”
    “Dream Girl” from “Cinderella”
    “Beyond The Shore” from “CODA”
    “The Anonymous Ones” from “Dear Evan Hansen”
    “Just Look Up” from “Don’t Look Up”
    “Dos Oruguitas” from “Encanto”
    “Somehow You Do” from “Four Good Days”
    “Guns Go Bang” from “The Harder They Fall”
    “Be Alive” from “King Richard”
    “No Time To Die” from “No Time to Die”
    “Here I Am (Singing My Way Home)” from “Respect”
    “Your Song Saved My Life” from “Sing 2”

    The Academy does NOT list composers in either shortlist, or even in materials sent to Music Branch voters (though those voters definitely figure them out). I’ll do my usual list of composers, performers & YouTube links for BOS sometime this weekend, and will probably list score composers then as well since we have them consolidated in one Movies forum thread now.

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    Vincent Figueroa
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    #1204678418

    Don’t  look  up really deserves the award  .  Nicholas  Britell  nailed  it

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    The Oscarguy
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    #1204678422

    Original Score:

    1. Dune – Hans Zimmer

    2. The Power of the Dog – Jonny Greenwood

    3. Spencer – Jonny Greenwood

    4. The French Dispatch – Alexandre Desplat

    5. Parallel Mothers – Alberto Iglesias

     

    Original Song:

    1. “No Time to Die” – No Time to Die

    2. “Be Alive” – King Richard

    3. “Dos Oroguitas” – Encanto

    4. “Just Look Up” – Don’t Look Up

    5. “Beyond the Shore” – CODA

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    RBBrittain
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    #1204678463

    Here are the shortlists with composers added, and for Original Song (my specialty) performers & video links:

    BEST ORIGINAL SCORE:

    Being the Ricardos: Daniel Pemberton
    Candyman: Robert Aiki Aubrey Lowe
    Don’t Look Up: Nicholas Britell
    Dune: Hans Zimmer
    Encanto: Germaine Franco
    The French Dispatch of the Liberty, Kansas Evening Sun: Alexandre Desplat
    The Green Knight: Daniel Hart
    The Harder They Fall: Jeymes Samuel
    King Richard: Kris Bowers
    The Last Duel: Harry Greyson-Williams
    No Time to Die: Hans Zimmer
    Parallel Mothers: Alberto Iglesias
    The Power of the Dog: Jonny Greenwood
    Spencer: Jonny Greenwood
    The Tragedy of Macbeth: Carter Burwell

    BEST ORIGINAL SONG:

    Annette: “So May We Start?”
    Composers: Ron & Russell Mael (Sparks; some sources add Leos Carax)
    Performer: Sparks (+ Adam Driver & Marion Cotillard feat. Simon Helberg on soundtrack)
    Lyric video: https://youtu.be/di3mNRymKZg

    Belfast: “Down to Joy”
    Composer: Van Morrison
    Performer: Van Morrison
    (No free video or audio available; watch Belfast in theaters or on PVOD. An unreleased Van Morrison song “Coming Down to Joy” is on YouTube, but apparently is enough different from “Down to Joy” that the latter qualifies.)

    Brian Wilson: Long Promised Road: “Right Where I Belong”
    Composers: Brian Wilson, Jim James
    Performers: Brian Wilson, Jim James (some sources omit James)
    Official audio: https://youtu.be/_l5ynS5URCQ

    Bruised: “Automatic Woman”
    Composers: Brittany Hazard, Gabriella Wilson (H.E.R.), Van Hunt
    Performer: H.E.R.
    Official visualizer: https://youtu.be/et2CRPWAIkY

    Cinderella: “Dream Girl”
    Composers: Idina Menzel, Laura Veltz
    Performer: Idina Menzel
    Official audio: https://youtu.be/0YIJ9qHjpFc

    CODA: “Beyond The Shore”
    Composers: Nicholai Baxter, Matt Dahan, Sian Heder, Marius de Vries
    Performer: Emilia Jones
    Official audio: https://youtu.be/jG_XmVxb1Yo

    Dear Evan Hansen: “The Anonymous Ones”
    Composers: Benj Pasek, Justin Paul, Amandla Stenberg
    Performers: Amandla Stenberg (in-film), SZA (end credits)
    Lyric video (Stenberg): https://youtu.be/U_2tXe_bswQ
    Official video (SZA): https://youtu.be/5-EDweqdbQM

    Don’t Look Up: “Just Look Up”
    Composers: Nicholas Britell, Ariana Grande, Scott Mescudi (Kid Cudi), Taura Stinson
    Performers: Ariana Grande & Kid Cudi
    Lyric video: https://youtu.be/X6SuW5HhQoc

    Encanto: “Dos Oruguitas”
    Composer: Lin-Manuel Miranda
    Performer: Sebastián Yatra (in Spanish, in-film; in English as “Two Oruguitas”, end credits)
    Lyric video (Spanish): https://youtu.be/ELsgRAGIgw0
    Lyric video (English): https://youtu.be/NnuV5qoJ2GQ

    Four Good Days: “Somehow You Do”
    Composer: Diane Warren
    Performer: Reba McEntire
    Official video: https://youtu.be/r_sSxlIjDzE

    The Harder They Fall: “Guns Go Bang”
    Composers: Jeymes Samuel, Scott Mescudi (Kid Cudi), Shawn Carter (Jay Z)
    Performers: Kid Cudi & Jay Z
    Official visualizer: https://youtu.be/nd038gbflqw

    King Richard: “Be Alive”
    Composers: Beyoncé Knowles-Carter, Dixson
    Performer: Beyoncé
    Lyric video: https://youtu.be/4wYdZi3tFJ4

    No Time to Die: “No Time To Die”
    Composers: Billie Eilish, Finneas O’Connell
    Performer: Billie Eilish
    Official video: https://youtu.be/BboMpayJomw
    Title sequence (Vimeo): https://vimeo.com/644790658

    Respect: “Here I Am (Singing My Way Home)”
    Composers: Jamie Alexander Hartman, Jennifer Hudson, Carole King
    Performer: Jennifer Hudson
    Official video: https://youtu.be/Numz97dBEm0

    Sing 2: “Your Song Saved My Life”
    Composers: Credited in-film as “Music by U2 / Lyrics by Bono”, same as their past nominee “Ordinary Love” from Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom. Nomination, if any, is most likely to be in their individual real names, again just like “Ordinary Love”: Paul Hewson (Bono), Dave Evans (The Edge), Adam Clayton & Larry Mullen; Bono & The Edge could also be nommed under those names (as in “The Hands That Built America” from Gangs of New York). Group nominations are now allowed, but mainly to fit larger groups within the limit of four nominated writers (not necessary for U2 with four members & no collaborators).
    Performer: U2
    Lyric video: https://youtu.be/7KuGie4eWgQ

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    Brayfers
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    #1204678584

    Score:

    1. Dune
    2. The Power of the Dog
    3. Parallel Mothers
    4. Don’t Look Up
    5. The French Dispatch

    (No Time To Die, Spencer)

    Song:

    1. No Time To Die
    2. King Richard
    3. Don’t Look Up
    4. Encanto
    5. Belfast

    (CODA, Dear Evan Hansen)

    Letterboxd: Brayfers

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    Pablo J Garcia
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    #1204679403

    One thing is sure, Diane Warren will be nominated again. Besides, they like to nominate a country song once in a while.

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    FreemanGriffin
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    #1204679436

    Score:

    1. Dune
    2. The Power of the Dog
    3. Parallel Mothers
    4. Don’t Look Up
    5. The French Dispatch

    (No Time To Die, Spencer)

    Song:

    1. No Time To Die
    2. King Richard
    3. Don’t Look Up
    4. Encanto
    5. Belfast

    (CODA, Dear Evan Hansen)

    For those of you who have seen Parallel Mothers is the score really that good?

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    estrelas
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    #1204679443

    Spencer didn’t get shortlisted for Original Score. For those of you who have seen Parallel Mothers is the score really that good?

     

    Erm, Spencer did get shortlisted for Score.

    Regarding Parallel Mothers, personally, I think it’s one of Alberto Iglesias weakest scores. But I wouldn’t mind a nomination.

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    Owl-Always-watching
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    #1204679779

    Even though I found Annette a weird out there movie, the song is catchiest of most in shortlist.

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    RBBrittain
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    #1204681499

    Still going thru my BOS predictions, but here’s my first impressions:

    * NTTD remains the prohibitive front runner. The video requirement added to BOS submissions, along with the end of bake-off scoring, completely changed the fortunes of Bond themes in this category. Besides, the only other two artists besides Billie Eilish ever to win all four General Field Grammys — Christopher Cross won all four in one night like Billie, while Adele won BNA for her first album & the rest for her second (and third) — each topped their Grammy sweep with the BOS Oscar (and in Adele’s case, with a Bond theme). The only negatives it has are its lengthy COVID delay & a few backhanded compliments that Billie is trying too hard to sound like Adele (yeah, so was Sam Smith); the movie itself offsets that.

    * “Be Alive” may finally force the Music Branch to run out of excuses for snubbing Beyoncé. Given she only has one songwriting collaborator here (Dixson) and King Richard contending for multiple bigger Oscars, the old “she doesn’t really write her own songs” saw has little if any currency this year.

    * It won’t win, but the only thing between “Somehow You Do” & Diane Warren’s 13th nomination is the sheer volume of big names on this shortlist. In past years other songs were clearly snubbed to leave room for Warren’s obligatory nom. Could turnabout be fair play this year?

    * As many different works as Lin-Manuel Miranda has submitted this year, I expect enough of then will go vote for his only shortlist entry “Dos Oruguitas” to give him a shot at completing the EGOT.

    That basically leaves a pile of movies vying for that 5th slot, if not squeezing out a front-runner. There’s a lot if sentiment (including my own) IMO for “Here I Am”, but Carole King might not be able to offset JHud’s falling odds in Best Actress to get the fifth dual acting / songwriting nominee. (Not to mention its blink-and-you-miss it lack of exposure in the body of the film.) The problem with “Just Look Up” is it’s too melancholy, even though it’s supposed to be. “So May We Start?” is hurt by Edgar Wright’s Sparks Brothers documentary failing to make that shortlist. “Guns Go Bang” is fading, and Van Morrison’s anti-vaxx stance hurts “Down to Joy”. My surprise #5 is “Your Song Saved My Life”, because U2 is a two-time prior nominee & it ties directly to Bono’s critical voiceover role in the film.

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    bledsoe
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    #1204681781

    NTTD remains the prohibitive front runner. The video requirement added to BOS submissions, along with the end of bake-off scoring, completely changed the fortunes of Bond themes in this category.  

     

    whats it?

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    Camilo Madrigal AKA Nectar
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    #1204681783

    I’m aware of bake-offs happening in the VFX category. Does it happen in other technical categories as well?

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    bledsoe
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    #1204684271

    The 2021 North Carolina Film Critics Association (NCFCA) Nominations

    BEST SCORE
    Don’t Look Up
    Dune
    No Time To Die
    The Power of the Dog
    Spencer

    BEST ORIGINAL SONG
    Every Letter – Cyrano
    Guns Go Bang – The Harder They Fall
    Just Look Up – Don’t Look Up
    No Time To Die – No Time To Die
    So May We Start – Annette

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    PersonalCoochiePopper
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    #1204684460

    Just Look Up is so getting in BOS.

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    RBBrittain
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    #1204686169

    whats it?

    In the BOS version of bake-off scoring, members of the Music Branch scored each submitted song on a 6 to 10 scale; only songs with at least an 8.25 average score could be nominated, with the top five nommed if more than five made it. (Other categories that used bake-off scoring had a lower minimum average.) Over the years, members began giving excessively high scores to songs they supported & excessively low scores to those that didn’t. That led to a few years with only three nominees, and ultimately to the embarrassing 2012 race with only two nominees. Ever since, BOS nominations — and in recent years, the shortlist — use basically the same “preferential voting” system as most other categories, with songs simply ranked instead of scored on each ballot.

    Of course having Adele write “Skyfall” helped, but the fact remains that before it only three official Bond themes were ever nommed for BOS, with none winning: “Live and Let Die”, “Nobody Does It Better* from The Spy Who Loved Me, and “For Your Eyes Only”. (And before them, “The Look of Love” from the 1967 spoof Casino Royale.) Since those rule changes Bond themes have gone 2 for 2 in BOS, with Billie Eilish trying to make it 3 for 3.

    Actually, the video snippet requirement introduced a year or two before — along with the limitation on closing credits songs — may have done even more for Bond themes than ending bake-off scoring. Since Bond themes typically play over the opening credits, that rule results in Music Branch members seeing some of the work of Daniel Kleinman, who has designed all but one Bond title sequence since GoldenEye (replacing the legendary Maurice Binder), with the song snippet before voting on it.

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