Oscar nominations – Major surprises/snubs

[Watcher Joined: Jan 3rd, 2020 Topics: 1 Posts: 263 View Predictions]

#1204782220

Who will be the Lakeith type shock this year? Like an ‘isn’t even in the conversation/on the predictions list’ type shock?

Not necessarily your wishful thinking noms, but who might realistically get in that no-one was predicting?

Mine is probably The Last Duel showing up in a couple of non-technical categories (screenplay, picture, director or even supporting actress).

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[Beastialg Joined: Sep 15th, 2011 Topics: 2 Posts: 292 View Predictions]

#1204782294

Cooper Hoffman in Best Actor

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[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 245 Posts: 37605 View Predictions]

#1204782299

Watcher wrote:

Who will be the Lakeith type shock this year?

I really think there’s going to be a shock in best actress. It feels like such a wide open race and each of the frontrunners in that category (sans Gaga) feel like they have their own strikes against them.

I’ve never had Jessica Chastain in my best actress predictions because whilst she’ll get plenty of number one votes, I just question whether many academy members have even seen this film. She’s of course a well liked actress and the performance is baity so it wouldn’t surprise me if she did turn up on nominations day but she feels like an also ran in this category and this is a film that I anticipate has a lot of passionate supporters from certain demographics whilst also having a lot of apathy from quite a few other demographics (televangelism isn’t a big thing in many countries outside of North and South America).

But then I also find it difficult to figure who to put in her place. The thought of Stewart being the Ruth Negga to her Amy Adams is tempting but I’m not predicting in order not to get my hopes up. The thought of Emilia Jones coat-tailing to CODA is also tempting but I’m not too confident CODA is strong enough a contender for that to happen. Ditto with Rachel Zegler (although she has had a lot more visibility during the voting period). Pre BAFTA I was predicting The Tragedy of Macbeth to absolutely explode and thus predicting McDormand to get carried along (she is well loved and Lady Macbeth is a meaty role) but then the film under-performed at BAFTA so I dropped her and am not really sure what to make of it in Picture. Then after the BAFTA nominations I slotted in Renate Reinsve – not because of the BAFTA nominations but rather because I wondered if she was actually one of the membership 12 in her category and because The Worst Person in the World had attracted a lot of support in the voting period so I wondered if it was being sought out in the industry. But I’m too much of a coward to predict her so I’ve now defaulted to Cruz because she feels like a go between Chastain and Reinsve. She has a similar industry profile to Chastain but she’s also in a film that holds a lot of international appeal and seemed to be attracting a lot of support at the right time.

FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.

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[LLLhawks Joined: Dec 28th, 2018 Topics: 13 Posts: 897 View Predictions]

#1204782361

Highly doubt a LaKeith nomination will happen this year but I’ll play.

There was a blurb that a lot of people voted this year, higher than normal. So that’s probably because they wanna make sure something that normally would not get in gets in this time around. It was apparently something beloved across 80 countries or so. So in conclusion, Spiderman for Best Picture.

If that’s too crazy of an answer, then I say Judi Dench for Belfast. She hasn’t turned up anywhere and could be in if the film is really strong for voters.

I just love movies. And awards.

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[m_butterfly Joined: Feb 3rd, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 253 View Predictions]

#1204782421

Macbeth overperforming and getting into best picture would be nice!

But a surprise in best actress is more likely and it could be anyone. Three of those spots are up for grabs. The only surpring snubs would be Kidman or Gaga.

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[Rachel615 Joined: Sep 20th, 2018 Topics: 6 Posts: 2335 View Predictions]

#1204782512

It will never happen but I’d love it if Martha Plimpton received a surprise nomination.

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[Derrick Eoghan Oisín O'Callaghan Joined: Dec 5th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 972 View Predictions]

#1204782613

I would love for Joanna Scanlan to get nominated for Best Actress with After Love.

I’m getting a feeling Andrew Garfield might get snubbed but I could be wrong………..

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[Scoopster Joined: Sep 21st, 2011 Topics: 2 Posts: 107 View Predictions]

#1204782622

The most shocking snub of all would be Lady Gaga missing in Best Actress, just because she is currently considered the front runner and is the only leading actress who has hit every pre-cursor + trifecta. It would be very shocking and one of the biggest snubs in AMPAS history.

Any of the others missing in Best Actress would not be as shocking.

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[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 245 Posts: 37605 View Predictions]

#1204782707

Derrick_Eoghan_Oisin_OCallaghan wrote:

I would love for Joanna Scanlan to get nominated for Best Actress with After Love.

She’s sadly not eligible for the Oscars.

FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.

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[Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 12 Posts: 76 View Predictions]

#1204782711

This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.

[Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 12 Posts: 76 View Predictions]

#1204782716

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[P(oweR) Valley Joined: Sep 27th, 2011 Topics: 2 Posts: 5407 View Predictions]

#1204782728

wolfali wrote:

She’s sadly not eligible for the Oscars.

Why not?

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[Flickchick Joined: Oct 16th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 82 View Predictions]

#1204782741

I’m dreading it, but I feel like Garfield will get snubbed.  I desperately hope I’m wrong.

And Dunst.

People will run around saying Stewart got snubbed, but I would actually be shocked if she gets in.

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[almanzarlamarcarlile Joined: Jul 27th, 2020 Topics: 20 Posts: 4467 View Predictions]

#1204782753

People/movies who are 100/1 that I can see surprising

Picture
House Of Gucci

Director
Joel Coen
Adam McKay

Supporting Actress
Judi Dench

Original Screenplay
The French Dispatch
C’mon, C’mon

Editing
Summer Of Soul

Score
Being The Ricardos

Song
Bruised (it’s by H.E.R., lmao)

I’m a coward tho and am only predicting SOS in editing and BTR in score from these.

EEAAO Sweep

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[winslets Joined: Jul 8th, 2021 Topics: 16 Posts: 177 View Predictions]

#1204782759

McDormand being nominated would be so funny Twitter would explode.

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