Oscar nominee snub w/ Golden Globe + Critics Choice + SAG combination this year?

[emmastoner]

#1204778693

In the past decade, every year there has been a trend of acting nominees who got in all 3 precursors of the Globe, Critics Choice, and SAG but missed the Oscar nomination. Performers who tragically met the snubbed fate in spite of their Globe/BFCA/SAG combination include J-Lo, Chalamet, Blunt, Franco, Chau, and many more. Will there be such a potential nominee this year who will get snubbed in spite of a strong precursor performance?

Actors who got in all of GG, CC, and SAG:

Best Actor
Cumberbatch
Garfield
Smith
Washington

Best Actress
Chastain
Colman
Gaga
Kidman

Best Supporting Actor
Smit-McPhee
Kotsur

Best Supporting Actress
Balfe
Debose
Dunst

• This topic was modified 1 year, 3 months ago by emmastoner.

Michelle (Yeoh, Williams) Oscar campaign manager.

FYC:
Best Picture: Banshees of Inisherin, Everything Everywhere All At Once, Decision to Leave
Best Director: Park Chan-Wook Todd Field
Best Original Screenplay: Banshees of Inisherin, Everything Everywhere All At Once
Best Actor: Colin Farrell
Best Actress: Michelle Yeoh, Cate Blanchett, Tang Wei
Best Supporting Actor: Brendan Gleeson, Ke Huy Quan
Best Supporting Actress: Kerry Condon, Nina Hoss

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[Nameizmann Joined: Jan 16th, 2020 Topics: 33 Posts: 698 View Predictions]

#1204778700

Was there someone last year?

I think there will be no snubs this year.

Chastain is the easy pick for a snub but she’s still getting nominated. People who’ve watched the film think the performance is genuinely oscarworthy.

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[forwardswill Joined: Apr 9th, 2013 Topics: 26 Posts: 3882 View Predictions]

#1204778706

Chastain

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[Zuranthium Joined: Dec 9th, 2014 Topics: 1 Posts: 733 View Predictions]

#1204778708

Denzel, Dunst, Chastain.

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[braydenfitzsimmons Joined: May 3rd, 2015 Topics: 98 Posts: 8907 View Predictions]

#1204778712

Chastain, Garfield, Washington.

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[M Joined: Sep 27th, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 4480 View Predictions]

#1204778717

I think it will be Chastain. Starting off as a potential winner and frontrunner, she’s been losing momentum. She didn’t win any trifecta. And didn’t win the Globe when people mostly expected an upset from her rather than Kidman. And outside the U.S her support is weak, as evidenced by the fact she neither got in AACTA nor BAFTA.

 

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[Nameizmann Joined: Jan 16th, 2020 Topics: 33 Posts: 698 View Predictions]

#1204778739

M wrote:

I think it will be Chastain. Starting off as a potential winner and frontrunner, she’s been losing momentum. She didn’t win any trifecta. And didn’t win the Globe when people mostly expected an upset from her rather than Kidman. And outside the U.S her support is weak, as evidenced by the fact she neither got in AACTA nor BAFTA.

Neither did Colman…
Weaker movie is the only argument against Chastain.

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[M Joined: Sep 27th, 2017 Topics: 7 Posts: 4480 View Predictions]

#1204778743

Nameizmann wrote:

Neither did Colman….

At least she received Toronto and LFCC nominations and won the former. So she has some international support. And not to mention her movie has been showing up in the guilds, as opposed to the almost complete absence of TEOTF.

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[JV Joined: Dec 31st, 2019 Topics: 9 Posts: 5414 View Predictions]

#1204778755

Everybody from Best Actress, except Gaga.

Nameizmann wrote:

Was there someone last year?

Helena Zengel

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[coopC Joined: Nov 26th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 486 View Predictions]

#1204778759

Denzel, the movie doesn’t perform well throughout the award season, I think he’s fifth at the moment. I wanted to say Alana Haim but notice that she wasn’t nominated for SAG. I feel that Kidman is probably an option here, not sure how many number one votes she’ll get, I have a hunch that Colman or Chastain could end up having more number one votes than her, but her name will appear on so many ballots that might save her from being chopped. At this moment I’m keeping all actresses in, but if I have to pick a name it would probably be Chastain.

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[The Northman Joined: Nov 10th, 2021 Topics: 4 Posts: 1406 View Predictions]

#1204778768

Washington, because MacBeth is tragically under seen and the campaign was a mess by Apple, they fumbled it.

Colman, because the film is divisive as Spencer or even more than Spencer, despite an excellent performance by Colman or Chastain because let’s be real, who saw that film.

Supporting Categories are all set and locked top2 or top3.

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[Derrick Eoghan Oisín O'Callaghan Joined: Dec 5th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 983 View Predictions]

#1204778770

Even though TTOM is NOT gaining a lot of attention, Denzel is NOT getting snubbed.
I can see Jessica Chastain getting snubbed.

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[star Joined: Jul 27th, 2020 Topics: 20 Posts: 4493 View Predictions]

#1204778791

Chastain and maybe Colman are the only ones here I can see missing. Everyone else feels completely safe.

I’m totally devastated. There’s absolutely no excuse for this. We had everything we needed to make it to next year’s Champions League and we failed. We are Liverpool and qualifying to the competition is the bare minimum. I am sorry but it’s too soon for an uplifting or optimistic post. We let you and ourselves down.

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[Zuranthium Joined: Dec 9th, 2014 Topics: 1 Posts: 733 View Predictions]

#1204778828

2013 is the last time it happened to 3 people in one year: Tom Hanks, Emma Thompson, Daniel Bruhl

Nameizmann wrote:

Neither did Colman…
Weaker movie is the only argument against Chastain.

Chastain isn’t as well liked and her performance is worse, are other arguments.

JV wrote:

Helena Zengel

She wasn’t nominated in supporting at BFCA, this one doesn’t really count.

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[The Oscarguy Joined: Jan 11th, 2021 Topics: 5 Posts: 432 View Predictions]

#1204778893

JV wrote:

Everybody from Best Actress, except Gaga. Helena Zengel

Even Kidman?

I wouldn’t count Zengel because she didn’t get into the actual supporting actress lineup at Critic’s Choice. And due to how News of the World fell after it’s PGA miss, everyone expected her to get snubbed.

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